Aaron Rodgers NFL Week 4 projections and prop bets for Denver Broncos at New York Jets on Sep 29, 2024
Aaron Rodgers Player Prop Bet: Interceptions
Interceptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Interceptions 0.5 over: 125
- Interceptions 0.5 under: -165
Trends Favoring The Over Interceptions Prop Bet
At the moment, the 4th-most pass-centric team in football (63.2% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Jets.
New York's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially reduced (and running stats inflated) on account of playing the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in football. We figure to be able to count on some correction with better weather in this game.
Denver's defense profiles as the 9th-worst in the league since the start of last season as it relates to generating interceptions, notching a measly 0.63 per game.
Trends Favoring The Under Interceptions Prop Bet
With a 6-point advantage, the Jets are favored in this game, implying more of a reliance on running than their normal approach.
Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the New York Jets are predicted by the predictive model to call just 62.3 plays on offense in this game: the 9th-lowest number on the slate this week.
In regards to pass-blocking (and the effect it has on all passing game stats), the O-line of the Jets ranks as the 2nd-worst in football since the start of last season.
The Broncos safeties rank as the 2nd-best collection of safeties in the league since the start of last season in defending receivers.
Projection For Aaron Rodgers Interceptions Prop Bet
Aaron Rodgers is projected to have 0.8 Interceptions in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
Aaron Rodgers Player Prop Bet: Touchdown Passes
Touchdown Passes Prop Bet Odds:
- Touchdown Passes 1.5 over: 115
- Touchdown Passes 1.5 under: -145
Trends Favoring The Over Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
The predictive model expects the New York Jets to be the most pass-centric team in football near the goal line (context-neutralized) right now with a 61.0% red zone pass rate.
New York's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially reduced (and running stats inflated) on account of playing the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in football. We figure to be able to count on some correction with better weather in this game.
Opposing QBs have completed passes at the highest clip in the NFL versus the Denver Broncos defense since the start of last season (73.9% Adjusted Completion%).
The Broncos defense has yielded the 5th-most TDs through the air in football: 1.60 per game since the start of last season.
Trends Favoring The Under Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
With a 6-point advantage, the Jets are favored in this game, implying more of a reliance on running than their normal approach.
Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the New York Jets are predicted by the predictive model to call just 62.3 plays on offense in this game: the 9th-lowest number on the slate this week.
In regards to pass-blocking (and the effect it has on all passing game stats), the O-line of the Jets ranks as the 2nd-worst in football since the start of last season.
The Broncos safeties rank as the 2nd-best collection of safeties in the league since the start of last season in defending receivers.
Projection For Aaron Rodgers Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
Aaron Rodgers is projected to have 1.5 Touchdown Passes in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
Aaron Rodgers Player Prop Bet: Carries
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
- Carries 2.5 over: 140
- Carries 2.5 under: -180
Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet
With a 6-point advantage, the Jets are favored in this game, implying more of a reliance on running than their normal approach.
After accounting for 0.0% of his offense's rush attempts last season, Aaron Rodgers has had a larger role in the rushing attack this season, currently comprising 6.1%.
The Denver Broncos defensive ends project as the worst group of DEs in football since the start of last season when it comes to defending the run.
Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet
The projections expect the Jets to be the 4th-least run-focused offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 36.8% run rate.
Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the New York Jets are predicted by the predictive model to call just 62.3 plays on offense in this game: the 9th-lowest number on the slate this week.
New York's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially reduced (and running stats inflated) on account of playing the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in football. We figure to be able to count on some correction with better weather in this game.
The predictive model expects Aaron Rodgers to accrue 1.7 rush attempts in this game, on balance: the 7th-fewest out of all QBs.
Projection For Aaron Rodgers Carries Prop Bet
Aaron Rodgers is projected to have 1.1 Carries in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
Aaron Rodgers Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 2.5 over: -130
- Rushing Yards 2.5 under: 100
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
With a 6-point advantage, the Jets are favored in this game, implying more of a reliance on running than their normal approach.
After accounting for 0.0% of his offense's rush attempts last season, Aaron Rodgers has had a larger role in the rushing attack this season, currently comprising 6.1%.
Since the start of last season, the formidable Broncos run defense has given up a mere 5.07 adjusted yards-per-carry to opposing squads: the 32nd-smallest rate in the NFL.
The Denver Broncos defensive ends project as the worst group of DEs in football since the start of last season when it comes to defending the run.
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
The projections expect the Jets to be the 4th-least run-focused offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 36.8% run rate.
Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the New York Jets are predicted by the predictive model to call just 62.3 plays on offense in this game: the 9th-lowest number on the slate this week.
New York's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially reduced (and running stats inflated) on account of playing the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in football. We figure to be able to count on some correction with better weather in this game.
The predictive model expects Aaron Rodgers to accrue 1.7 rush attempts in this game, on balance: the 7th-fewest out of all QBs.
Projection For Aaron Rodgers Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Aaron Rodgers is projected to have 2.4 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
Aaron Rodgers Player Prop Bet: Pass Attempts
Pass Attempts Prop Bet Odds:
- Pass Attempts 30.5 over: -135
- Pass Attempts 30.5 under: 100
Trends Favoring The Over Pass Attempts Prop Bet
At the moment, the 4th-most pass-centric team in football (63.2% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Jets.
New York's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially reduced (and running stats inflated) on account of playing the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in football. We figure to be able to count on some correction with better weather in this game.
Trends Favoring The Under Pass Attempts Prop Bet
With a 6-point advantage, the Jets are favored in this game, implying more of a reliance on running than their normal approach.
Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the New York Jets are predicted by the predictive model to call just 62.3 plays on offense in this game: the 9th-lowest number on the slate this week.
Projection For Aaron Rodgers Pass Attempts Prop Bet
Aaron Rodgers is projected to have 30.8 Pass Attempts in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
Aaron Rodgers Player Prop Bet: Passing Yards
Passing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Passing Yards 224.5 over: -110
- Passing Yards 224.5 under: -120
Trends Favoring The Over Passing Yards Prop Bet
At the moment, the 4th-most pass-centric team in football (63.2% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Jets.
New York's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially reduced (and running stats inflated) on account of playing the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in football. We figure to be able to count on some correction with better weather in this game.
Opposing QBs have completed passes at the highest clip in the NFL versus the Denver Broncos defense since the start of last season (73.9% Adjusted Completion%).
Since the start of last season, the porous Broncos defense has surrendered the 6th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing teams: a colossal 8.03 yards.
Trends Favoring The Under Passing Yards Prop Bet
With a 6-point advantage, the Jets are favored in this game, implying more of a reliance on running than their normal approach.
Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the New York Jets are predicted by the predictive model to call just 62.3 plays on offense in this game: the 9th-lowest number on the slate this week.
In regards to pass-blocking (and the effect it has on all passing game stats), the O-line of the Jets ranks as the 2nd-worst in football since the start of last season.
The Broncos safeties rank as the 2nd-best collection of safeties in the league since the start of last season in defending receivers.
Projection For Aaron Rodgers Passing Yards Prop Bet
Aaron Rodgers is projected to have 218.7 Passing Yards in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
Aaron Rodgers Player Prop Bet: Completions
Completions Prop Bet Odds:
- Completions 20.5 over: -109
- Completions 20.5 under: -120
Trends Favoring The Over Completions Prop Bet
At the moment, the 4th-most pass-centric team in football (63.2% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Jets.
New York's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially reduced (and running stats inflated) on account of playing the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in football. We figure to be able to count on some correction with better weather in this game.
Opposing QBs have completed passes at the highest clip in the NFL versus the Denver Broncos defense since the start of last season (73.9% Adjusted Completion%).
Trends Favoring The Under Completions Prop Bet
With a 6-point advantage, the Jets are favored in this game, implying more of a reliance on running than their normal approach.
Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the New York Jets are predicted by the predictive model to call just 62.3 plays on offense in this game: the 9th-lowest number on the slate this week.
In regards to pass-blocking (and the effect it has on all passing game stats), the O-line of the Jets ranks as the 2nd-worst in football since the start of last season.
The Broncos safeties rank as the 2nd-best collection of safeties in the league since the start of last season in defending receivers.
Projection For Aaron Rodgers Completions Prop Bet
Aaron Rodgers is projected to have 20.9 Completions in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
