Aaron Jones projections and prop bets for Minnesota Vikings at Tennessee Titans on Nov 17, 2024
Aaron Jones Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 60.5 over: -110
- Rushing Yards 60.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
With a 6-point advantage, the Vikings are favored in this game, implying more of an emphasis on rushing than their standard approach.
Our trusted projections expect Aaron Jones to accrue 15.4 rush attempts this week, on balance, putting him in the 85th percentile among RBs.
Among all running backs, Aaron Jones grades out in the 87th percentile for rush attempts this year, accounting for 57.8% of the workload in his team's running game.
Aaron Jones's 76.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season shows a noteable progression in his running talent over last season's 61.0 rate.
With an excellent tally of 4.82 adjusted yards per carry (76th percentile), Aaron Jones has been as one of the best running backs in the league this year.
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
The leading projections forecast the Minnesota Vikings to be the 8th-least run-oriented offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 37.9% run rate.
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Vikings are projected by the predictive model to run just 62.8 offensive plays in this contest: the 5th-lowest number on the slate this week.
The Vikings have run the 8th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 55.4 plays per game.
The Tennessee Titans defense owns the 9th-best efficiency against opposing run games this year, yielding just 4.40 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).
When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Tennessee's DT corps has been outstanding this year, projecting as the 3rd-best in the NFL.
Projection For Aaron Jones Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Aaron Jones is projected to have 63.6 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
