Aaron Jones NFL Week 4 projections and prop bets for Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers on Sep 29, 2024
Aaron Jones Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 57.5 over: -125
- Rushing Yards 57.5 under: -105
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
The Vikings have played in the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which ought to lead to lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced passing attack performance when facing windier weather in this game.
The leading projections forecast Aaron Jones to total 13.6 carries in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 78th percentile when it comes to running backs.
Aaron Jones has received 57.6% of his offense's rush attempts this year, placing him in the 88th percentile among running backs.
With an exceptional total of 66.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (92nd percentile), Aaron Jones rates as one of the best pure rushers in the league since the start of last season.
Since the start of last season, the porous Packers run defense has surrendered a staggering 125.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing teams: the 9th-worst in the NFL.
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
This week's line suggests a passing game script for the Vikings, who are -5-point underdogs.
Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Minnesota Vikings to run on 39.7% of their downs: the 6th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
The Minnesota Vikings have called the 8th-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 56.4 plays per game.
Projection For Aaron Jones Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Aaron Jones is projected to have 58.1 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
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Aaron Jones Player Prop Bet: Carries
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
- Carries 13.5 over: -120
- Carries 13.5 under: -106
Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet
The Vikings have played in the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which ought to lead to lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced passing attack performance when facing windier weather in this game.
The leading projections forecast Aaron Jones to total 13.6 carries in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 78th percentile when it comes to running backs.
Aaron Jones has received 57.6% of his offense's rush attempts this year, placing him in the 88th percentile among running backs.
As it relates to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, Green Bay's collection of LBs has been lousy since the start of last season, ranking as the 3rd-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.
Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet
This week's line suggests a passing game script for the Vikings, who are -5-point underdogs.
Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Minnesota Vikings to run on 39.7% of their downs: the 6th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
The Minnesota Vikings have called the 8th-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 56.4 plays per game.
Projection For Aaron Jones Carries Prop Bet
Aaron Jones is projected to have 13.2 Carries in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
