Heat +4.5 (-110) over Nuggets
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- Denver is on the second night of a back-to-back after winning at home against Sacramento on Wednesday.
- Miami has won five straight games and seven of their last eight.
The Miami Heat will take on the Denver Nuggets on February 29, 2024, at 10:00 pm EST. The DraftKings sportsbook has the Heat as +4.5 underdogs and the Nuggets as -4.5 favorites. With the Heat receiving 70% of spread bets and the Nuggets getting 30%, the early action is favoring Miami. The opening total of 214.0 has 76% leaning towards the under and 24% towards the over. Keep an eye on this matchup for a thrilling game between these two competitive teams.
Visit the NBA picks and predictions section for the rest of today's games.
In this Heat vs Nuggets rematch from last year’s NBA Finals, the Miami Heat should be able to cover the spread on the road as 4.5-point underdogs. Miami has a rest advantage coming into this game, as the Nuggets had to play last night against the Sacramento Kings. With Miami playing some excellent basketball of late and being on fresher legs here, Miami could very well win this game outright in the Mile High City.
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NBA
Miami Heat
Denver Nuggets
Team Stats Per Game
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
Offense/Defense
MIA | Team Stats Per 100 Poss | DEN |
---|---|---|
82 | Games | 79 |
41.2 | FG | 42.8 |
88.7 | FGA | 92.9 |
.465 | FG% | .461 |
12.9 | 3Pt-FG | 11.8 |
34.9 | 3Pt-FGA | 33.3 |
.370 | 3Pt% | .354 |
28.3 | 2Pt-FG | 31.0 |
53.8 | 2Pt-FGA | 59.6 |
.527 | 2Pt% | .521 |
18.7 | FT | 18.2 |
22.8 | FTA | 23.5 |
.818 | FT% | .776 |
9.7 | ORB | 11.5 |
34.1 | DRB | 29.3 |
43.8 | TRB | 40.7 |
26.7 | AST | 27.2 |
7.8 | STL | 7.5 |
3.5 | BLK | 5.1 |
13.1 | TOV | 12.0 |
17.9 | PF | 18.9 |
114.0 | PTS | 115.7 |
Defense/Offense
MIA | Team Stats Per 100 Poss | DEN |
---|---|---|
82 | Games | 79 |
41.6 | FG | 46.4 |
89.1 | FGA | 93.8 |
.467 | FG% | .495 |
13.4 | 3Pt-FG | 12.3 |
38.1 | 3Pt-FGA | 33.0 |
.353 | 3Pt% | .374 |
28.2 | 2Pt-FG | 34.1 |
51.0 | 2Pt-FGA | 60.8 |
.553 | 2Pt% | .560 |
15.5 | FT | 16.0 |
19.9 | FTA | 21.0 |
.780 | FT% | .762 |
9.6 | ORB | 11.3 |
34.7 | DRB | 31.1 |
44.3 | TRB | 42.5 |
27.4 | AST | 31.1 |
6.9 | STL | 7.5 |
4.9 | BLK | 5.9 |
14.2 | TOV | 12.1 |
19.6 | PF | 19.2 |
112.2 | PTS | 121.2 |
Four Factors
Offense/Defense
MIA | Four Factors | DEN |
---|---|---|
.538 | eFG% | .525 |
11.7 | TOV% | 10.4 |
21.8 | RB% | 73.0 |
.210 | FT/FGA | .196 |
Defense/Offense
MIA | Four Factors | DEN |
---|---|---|
.543 | eFG% | .561 |
12.7 | TOV% | 10.5 |
78.1 | RB% | 27.9 |
.174 | FT/FGA | .171 |
Analytics
MIA | Analytics | DEN |
---|---|---|
46 | Pythag Wins | 52 |
36 | Pythag Losses | 27 |
1.76 | Margin Of Victory | 5.16 |
114.0 | O Rtg | 121.2 |
112.2 | D Rtg | 115.7 |
96.2 | Pace | 94.5 |
.257 | FTr | .224 |
.394 | 3PAr | .351 |
.578 | TS% | .588 |
Betting Trends
MIA | Betting Trends | DEN |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
3-0-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-0-0 |
3-0-0 | ATS W/L/P | 3-0-0 |
111 | Avg Score | 121 |
100.33 | Avg Opp Score | 103.67 |
AWAY | HOME | |
3-0-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-1-0 |
3-0-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-1-0 |
111 | Avg Score | 115 |
100.33 | Avg Opp Score | 102.67 |
MIA | Betting Trends | DEN |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
5-0-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 4-1-0 |
5-0-0 | ATS W/L/P | 4-1-0 |
113 | Avg Score | 118.2 |
100.4 | Avg Opp Score | 104.6 |
AWAY | HOME | |
5-0-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 4-1-0 |
5-0-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-3-0 |
113 | Avg Score | 115.4 |
100.4 | Avg Opp Score | 103.8 |
MIA | Betting Trends | DEN |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
8-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 7-3-0 |
8-1-1 | ATS W/L/P | 5-5-0 |
111.3 | Avg Score | 113.8 |
101.6 | Avg Opp Score | 108.7 |
AWAY | HOME | |
7-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 9-1-0 |
5-3-2 | ATS W/L/P | 5-5-0 |
106.4 | Avg Score | 117.4 |
105 | Avg Opp Score | 106.7 |