For the second straight year, the Eastern Conference Finals in the NBA will come down to a Game 7 between the Miami Heat and Boston Celtics. Boston won in this spot last season, and are heavy favorites to do the same at home on Monday night. In our NBA betting picks for Thursday night, we break down Heat vs Celtics Game 7 from TD Garden.
Heat vs Celtics Game 7 Betting Pick
| ℹ️ The Pick: | Under 203.5 |
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This game will be played at TD Garden at 8:30 PM ET on Monday, May 29, 2023.
Why Bet the Under:
✅ Unders have hit at better than 60% in Game 7s dating back to 2005 in the NBA. The combination of nerves and more conservative tempos from Boston and Miami will help this game stay under the total as well.
✅ The shooting struggles of Jimmy Butler and Jaylen Brown will be a huge factor in this game staying under the total as well.
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Miami Heat
No team has ever blown a 3-0 lead in a best of seven series in the NBA Playoffs, but the Miami Heat are dangerously close to doing just that. Miami has lost three straight games to the Celtics, including two games in Miami where they had a chance to close out the Celtics at home. After a buzzer-beating loss to Boston in Game 6 thanks to Derrick White’s incredible putback, the Heat will aim to get one last win to reach the NBA Finals.
For the Heat to win this game, they are going to need a more efficient performance from Jimmy Butler. Butler shot just 5/21 from the field in Game 6, and will not be able to afford another slow start if the Heat want to advance to the Finals.
Boston Celtics
The Boston Red Sox became the first team in Major League Baseball to come back from a 3-0 deficit to win a playoff series. Now the Boston Celtics have a chance to do the same thing in the NBA Playoffs, as they are a win away from advancing to play the Denver Nuggets in the Finals.
Boston shot just 7/35 from three-point range in Game 6, and they were still able to win in spite of those shooting woes. Boston cannot afford to shoot that poorly again, and will need someone besides Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown to shoot reliably to avoid that fate.
