Houston Rockets

Houston Rockets

Mar 3, 2025

Oklahoma City Thunder

Oklahoma City Thunder
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Houston Rockets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction – 3/3/2025


On March 3, 2025, the Houston Rockets will face off against the Oklahoma City Thunder at 8:00 PM ET at Paycom Center. This matchup features two teams on opposite ends of the performance spectrum, with the Thunder boasting a record of 49-12, while the Rockets sit at 37-23.

Oklahoma City enters this game as a significant favorite, currently favored by 10 points, reflecting their strong form of late. The Thunder have won 40 of their last 50 games, showcasing their dominance this season. However, they will face a challenge as this game marks a back-to-back performance after a high-scoring victory against the San Antonio Spurs, where they triumphed 146-132. The quick turnaround could hinder their energy levels, potentially impacting their performance.

In contrast, the Houston Rockets are struggling, having lost six consecutive road games. Their most recent outing resulted in a 113-103 loss to the Sacramento Kings. The Rockets' recent form away from home does not inspire confidence, and they will need to find a way to break their slump if they hope to compete.

From a betting perspective, the Rockets have an implied win probability of 19%, while the Thunder's stands at 81%. The Moneyline reflects this disparity, with the Thunder at -500 and the Rockets at +400. Sharp bettors are focusing on Cason Wallace's Points prop, which has gained traction, indicating a potential player to watch as the game unfolds.


Houston Rockets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Houston Rockets 111.45 vs Oklahoma City Thunder 125.75


Houston Rockets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Rockets19%10%
Thunder81%90%

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+14.0/-108
51% HOU
-14.0/-112
49% OKC

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+641
10% HOU
-967
90% OKC

Total Pick Consensus

228.5/-112
15% UN
228.5/-108
85% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

HOU
Team Stats Per Game
OKC
73
Games
72
42.0
FG
37.7
93.2
FGA
86.7
.451
FG%
.435
12.4
3Pt-FG
13.3
35.7
3Pt-FGA
39.0
.347
3Pt%
.341
29.6
2Pt-FG
24.4
57.5
2Pt-FGA
47.7
.515
2Pt%
.511
17.2
FT
18.3
23.2
FTA
23.7
.741
FT%
.772
14.8
ORB
11.7
33.8
DRB
33.2
48.6
TRB
44.9
22.8
AST
24.6
8.4
STL
6.7
5.0
BLK
4.8
14.0
TOV
17.1
19.2
PF
18.2
113.6
PTS
106.9

Defense/Offense

HOU
Team Stats Per Game
OKC
73
Games
72
40.2
FG
44.4
88.4
FGA
92.4
.455
FG%
.481
12.1
3Pt-FG
14.5
34.4
3Pt-FGA
38.8
.353
3Pt%
.372
28.1
2Pt-FG
30.0
54.0
2Pt-FGA
53.6
.520
2Pt%
.559
16.6
FT
16.6
21.9
FTA
20.2
.757
FT%
.820
10.8
ORB
10.7
31.5
DRB
34.2
42.3
TRB
44.9
23.1
AST
26.8
7.8
STL
10.4
5.8
BLK
5.8
14.4
TOV
11.9
19.6
PF
20.0
109.1
PTS
119.8

Offense/Defense

HOU
Four Factors
OKC
.517
eFG%
.511
11.9
TOV%
15.0
31.9
RB%
74.4
.184
FT/FGA
.211

Defense/Offense

HOU
Four Factors
OKC
.524
eFG%
.559
12.8
TOV%
10.5
75.8
RB%
24.4
.187
FT/FGA
.179

Offense/Defense

HOU
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
OKC
73
Games
72
42.4
FG
37.8
94.1
FGA
86.8
.451
FG%
.435
12.5
3Pt-FG
13.3
36.1
3Pt-FGA
39.0
.347
3Pt%
.341
29.9
2Pt-FG
24.4
58.0
2Pt-FGA
47.8
.515
2Pt%
.511
17.3
FT
18.3
23.4
FTA
23.7
.741
FT%
.772
15.0
ORB
11.8
34.1
DRB
33.3
49.1
TRB
45.0
23.1
AST
24.6
8.5
STL
6.7
5.1
BLK
4.8
14.1
TOV
17.1
19.4
PF
18.3
114.7
PTS
107.1

Defense/Offense

HOU
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
OKC
73
Games
72
40.6
FG
44.5
89.3
FGA
92.6
.455
FG%
.481
12.3
3Pt-FG
14.5
34.7
3Pt-FGA
38.9
.353
3Pt%
.372
28.4
2Pt-FG
30.0
54.5
2Pt-FGA
53.7
.520
2Pt%
.559
16.7
FT
16.6
22.1
FTA
20.2
.757
FT%
.820
10.9
ORB
10.8
31.9
DRB
34.2
42.7
TRB
45.0
23.3
AST
26.9
7.9
STL
10.4
5.9
BLK
5.8
14.5
TOV
11.9
19.8
PF
20.0
110.2
PTS
120.1

HOU
Analytics
OKC
47
Pythag Wins
60
26
Pythag Losses
12
4.48
Margin Of Victory
12.94
114.7
O Rtg
120.1
110.2
D Rtg
107.1
98.5
Pace
99.7
.249
FTr
.218
.384
3PAr
.420
.549
TS%
.591

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
HOU OKC
HOU OKC
Consensus
+11.0 (-111)
-11.0 (-110)
+14.0 (-111)
-14.0 (-110)
+11.0 (-108)
-11.0 (-110)
+14.0 (-108)
-14.0 (-112)
+12.0 (-110)
-12.0 (-110)
+14.0 (-110)
-14.0 (-110)
+12.0 (-113)
-12.0 (-107)
+14.0 (-113)
-14.0 (-108)
+11.5 (-105)
-11.5 (-110)
+14.0 (-105)
-14.0 (-115)
+11.5 (-105)
-11.5 (-110)
+13.5 (-105)
-13.5 (-115)
Open
Current
Book
HOU OKC
HOU OKC
Consensus
+450
-627
+641
-967
+455
-625
+675
-1050
+450
-600
+700
-1100
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
221.5 (-110)
221.5 (-110)
228.5 (-113)
228.5 (-109)
220.5 (-110)
220.5 (-110)
229.0 (-108)
229.0 (-112)
222.5 (-110)
222.5 (-110)
229.0 (-112)
229.0 (-108)
222.0 (-113)
222.0 (-108)
228.5 (-112)
228.5 (-109)
222.0 (-110)
222.0 (-110)
229.0 (-105)
229.0 (-115)
221.5 (-115)
221.5 (-105)
228.5 (-115)
228.5 (-105)

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