Dallas Mavericks

Dallas Mavericks

May 22, 2024

Minnesota Timberwolves

Minnesota Timberwolves
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves Game 1 Pick 5/22/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves Game 1 Betting Pick, Prediction & Preview

  • Date: May 22, 2024
  • Venue: Target Center

Mavericks vs Timberwolves Game 1 Betting Odds

Spread: Dallas Mavericks 4.5 (-110), Minnesota Timberwolves -4.5 (-110)
Over/Under Total: 207
Moneyline: Dallas Mavericks 155, Minnesota Timberwolves -180

Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves Game 1 Win Probabilities

Implied Win %: Projected Win %:
Dallas Mavericks - 38% Dallas Mavericks - 42%
Minnesota Timberwolves - 62% Minnesota Timberwolves - 58%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves Game 1 Betting Preview

The Dallas Mavericks (58-36) are set to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves (64-29) in an exciting Wednesday Night matchup in Game 1 of the Western Conference Finals. The game is scheduled to tip off at 8:30 PM ET at the Target Center, which is the Timberwolves' home arena.

Being the home team, the Timberwolves are considered favorites in this game. The current spread stands at Timberwolves -4.5, indicating that they are expected to win by more than four points. Additionally, the Moneyline for the Timberwolves is -180, while the Mavericks' Moneyline is +155. Based on these odds, the Mavericks have an implied win probability of 38%, while the Timberwolves have an implied win probability of 62%.

Both teams have been performing well lately, with the Mavericks winning 34 of their last 50 games and the Timberwolves also winning 34 of their last 50 games. In their most recent game, the Timberwolves pulled off an upset victory against the Denver Nuggets, winning 98-90 in Game 7 of their second-round playoff series. This unexpected win was particularly notable as the Timberwolves entered the game as 4.5-point underdogs with just a 37% chance of winning.

For those interested in player prop betting, Anthony Edwards's Points has been the most popular market for this game. Sharp bettors have been leaning towards the Over, as the prop total opened at Over 27.5 Points (-125) and has since moved to 28.5 (-110).

As the Mavericks and Timberwolves face off, basketball fans and bettors alike will be eagerly watching to see which team comes out on top. With the odds favoring the Timberwolves, it will be interesting to see if they can capitalize on their home-court advantage and secure a win against the Mavericks.

Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves Game 1 Prediction

Final Score: Dallas Mavericks 105.78 vs Minnesota Timberwolves 108.71

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+4.5/-110
26% DAL
-4.5/-110
74% MIN

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+160
15% DAL
-195
85% MIN

Total Pick Consensus

206.5/-110
8% UN
206.5/-110
92% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

DAL
Team Stats Per Game
MIN
15
Games
14
43.2
FG
41.4
89.7
FGA
87.6
.481
FG%
.473
12.2
3Pt-FG
11.5
35.1
3Pt-FGA
32.9
.347
3Pt%
.350
31.0
2Pt-FG
29.9
54.6
2Pt-FGA
54.8
.568
2Pt%
.546
17.0
FT
16.7
21.9
FTA
20.9
.775
FT%
.801
11.5
ORB
10.6
32.9
DRB
31.4
44.4
TRB
42.0
25.1
AST
24.0
7.9
STL
9.6
5.1
BLK
5.0
13.0
TOV
15.4
20.8
PF
20.0
115.6
PTS
111.1

Defense/Offense

DAL
Team Stats Per Game
MIN
15
Games
14
39.1
FG
40.9
87.5
FGA
85.8
.447
FG%
.476
12.5
3Pt-FG
15.8
37.0
3Pt-FGA
41.4
.339
3Pt%
.382
26.6
2Pt-FG
25.1
50.5
2Pt-FGA
44.4
.526
2Pt%
.564
18.5
FT
16.4
24.9
FTA
20.8
.743
FT%
.787
12.1
ORB
9.5
32.1
DRB
31.1
44.3
TRB
40.6
26.1
AST
25.4
7.5
STL
8.1
4.2
BLK
4.6
14.4
TOV
16.2
18.9
PF
19.3
109.3
PTS
113.9

Offense/Defense

DAL
Four Factors
MIN
.549
eFG%
.538
11.6
TOV%
13.7
26.3
RB%
74.5
.189
FT/FGA
.191

Defense/Offense

DAL
Four Factors
MIN
.519
eFG%
.568
12.8
TOV%
14.6
73.1
RB%
23.3
.211
FT/FGA
.191

Offense/Defense

DAL
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIN
15
Games
14
44.0
FG
41.9
91.4
FGA
88.6
.481
FG%
.473
12.4
3Pt-FG
11.6
35.8
3Pt-FGA
33.2
.347
3Pt%
.350
31.6
2Pt-FG
30.2
55.6
2Pt-FGA
55.4
.568
2Pt%
.546
17.3
FT
16.9
22.3
FTA
21.1
.775
FT%
.801
11.7
ORB
10.8
33.5
DRB
31.7
45.2
TRB
42.4
25.6
AST
24.3
8.1
STL
9.7
5.2
BLK
5.1
13.2
TOV
15.5
21.2
PF
20.2
117.7
PTS
112.3

Defense/Offense

DAL
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIN
15
Games
14
39.9
FG
41.3
89.2
FGA
86.7
.447
FG%
.476
12.8
3Pt-FG
16.0
37.7
3Pt-FGA
41.8
.339
3Pt%
.382
27.1
2Pt-FG
25.3
51.5
2Pt-FGA
44.9
.526
2Pt%
.564
18.8
FT
16.5
25.3
FTA
21.0
.743
FT%
.787
12.4
ORB
9.6
32.7
DRB
31.5
45.1
TRB
41.1
26.6
AST
25.6
7.6
STL
8.2
4.3
BLK
4.7
14.7
TOV
16.4
19.2
PF
19.5
111.3
PTS
115.1

DAL
Analytics
MIN
10
Pythag Wins
8
5
Pythag Losses
6
6.33
Margin Of Victory
2.79
117.7
O Rtg
115.1
111.3
D Rtg
112.3
98.2
Pace
98.2
.244
FTr
.242
.392
3PAr
.482
.582
TS%
.600

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
DAL MIN
DAL MIN
Consensus
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-113)
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-111)
+4.0 (-110)
-4.0 (-110)
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
+4.0 (-112)
-4.0 (-114)
+4.5 (-112)
-4.5 (-108)
+3.5 (-109)
-3.5 (-112)
+4.5 (-109)
-4.5 (-112)
+4.0 (-110)
-4.0 (-115)
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-105)
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
DAL MIN
DAL MIN
Consensus
+145
-174
+160
-195
+142
-170
+160
-192
+148
-176
+162
-194
+140
-167
+163
-195
+152
-180
+148
-175
+155
-190
+155
-190
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
206.0 (-110)
206.0 (-112)
206.5 (-110)
206.5 (-111)
206.5 (-110)
206.5 (-110)
206.5 (-110)
206.5 (-110)
206.0 (-110)
206.0 (-110)
207.0 (-110)
207.0 (-110)
206.0 (-109)
206.0 (-112)
206.5 (-108)
206.5 (-113)
206.0 (-110)
206.0 (-110)
207.0 (-105)
207.0 (-115)
206.5 (-110)
206.5 (-110)
206.5 (-115)
206.5 (-105)