Boston Celtics

Boston Celtics

Apr 27, 2024

Miami Heat

Miami Heat
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Boston Celtics at Miami Heat Game 3 Best Bet – 4/27/2024

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Betting Pick & Prediction & Preview

  • Date: April 27, 2024
  • Venue: Kaseya Center
  • Spread: Boston Celtics -9.5 (-110), Miami Heat 9.5 (-110)
  • Total (Over/Under): 202.5
  • Moneyline: Boston Celtics -400, Miami Heat 325

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:

  • Boston Celtics - 77%
  • Miami Heat - 23%

Projected Win %:

  • Boston Celtics - 90%
  • Miami Heat - 10%

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Betting Preview

On Saturday night, the Boston Celtics and Miami Heat will face off in Game 3 of their Eastern Conference first round playoff series in Miami. Both teams enter the contest well-rested, with their last game being three days ago. This additional time off can be advantageous for both the Celtics and the Heat, allowing their players to recharge and potentially improve their chances of victory.

Despite being on the road, the Celtics are considered the heavy favorites. The current spread stands at Celtics -9.5, indicating that they are expected to win by a significant margin. The moneyline for the Celtics is -400, implying a 77% probability of victory, while the Heat's moneyline sits at +325, representing a 23% chance of success.

The Celtics have been playing exceptional basketball lately, winning 38 of their last 50 games. On the other hand, the Heat have also showcased strong performance, securing 24 wins in their previous 40 games.

Interestingly, the last encounter between these two teams saw an upset. The Heat defeated the Celtics with a score of 111-101, despite entering the game as 14.0 point underdogs with only a 12% chance of winning. This outcome demonstrates the unpredictable nature of basketball, as Miami set a franchise record for threes made in a playoff game in that Game 2 victory.

For those looking to place wagers, Nikola Jovic's Points, Rebounds, and Assists are drawing significant attention in the prop market. It is currently the most popular betting market for this game. Sharp bettors appear to be leaning towards the Over, as the prop total opened at Over 14.5 Points, Rebounds, and Assists (-125), before rising to 15.5 (-115).

As basketball fans await this exciting matchup, both the Celtics and the Heat will aim to secure a victory and continue their strong performances. With the odds in their favor, the Celtics will seek redemption for their previous loss, while the Heat will aim to prove that they can overcome the odds once again.

Pick and Prediction: Boston Celtics 112.3 - Miami Heat 97.55

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-9.5/-110
60% BOS
+9.5/-110
40% MIA

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-449
88% BOS
+343
12% MIA

Total Pick Consensus

205.0/-110
9% UN
205.0/-110
91% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

BOS
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
15
Games
13
41.9
FG
40.8
90.5
FGA
87.3
.463
FG%
.467
19.1
3Pt-FG
13.8
50.5
3Pt-FGA
38.0
.379
3Pt%
.362
22.7
2Pt-FG
27.0
40.0
2Pt-FGA
49.3
.568
2Pt%
.548
18.7
FT
14.8
22.8
FTA
18.2
.819
FT%
.810
10.3
ORB
11.2
32.5
DRB
34.7
42.7
TRB
45.8
25.9
AST
26.2
7.1
STL
7.4
4.9
BLK
5.4
12.1
TOV
15.9
16.5
PF
18.8
121.5
PTS
110.1

Defense/Offense

BOS
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
15
Games
13
42.7
FG
39.3
90.6
FGA
88.6
.472
FG%
.444
12.1
3Pt-FG
15.0
35.1
3Pt-FGA
39.2
.346
3Pt%
.382
30.6
2Pt-FG
24.3
55.5
2Pt-FGA
49.4
.551
2Pt%
.492
14.2
FT
17.3
18.5
FTA
22.2
.769
FT%
.779
10.4
ORB
10.5
32.7
DRB
32.4
43.1
TRB
42.8
25.7
AST
25.2
6.9
STL
9.9
4.1
BLK
3.8
13.9
TOV
12.8
19.8
PF
16.7
111.8
PTS
110.9

Offense/Defense

BOS
Four Factors
MIA
.569
eFG%
.546
10.7
TOV%
14.3
23.9
RB%
74.4
.206
FT/FGA
.169

Defense/Offense

BOS
Four Factors
MIA
.539
eFG%
.528
12.4
TOV%
11.5
75.7
RB%
23.2
.157
FT/FGA
.195

Offense/Defense

BOS
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
15
Games
13
42.1
FG
41.6
91.0
FGA
89.1
.463
FG%
.467
19.3
3Pt-FG
14.1
50.8
3Pt-FGA
38.8
.379
3Pt%
.362
22.9
2Pt-FG
27.6
40.3
2Pt-FGA
50.3
.568
2Pt%
.548
18.8
FT
15.1
22.9
FTA
18.6
.819
FT%
.810
10.3
ORB
11.4
32.7
DRB
35.4
43.0
TRB
46.8
26.0
AST
26.8
7.2
STL
7.5
4.9
BLK
5.5
12.1
TOV
16.3
16.6
PF
19.2
122.3
PTS
112.4

Defense/Offense

BOS
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
15
Games
13
43.0
FG
40.1
91.2
FGA
90.5
.472
FG%
.444
12.2
3Pt-FG
15.3
35.3
3Pt-FGA
40.1
.346
3Pt%
.382
30.8
2Pt-FG
24.8
55.9
2Pt-FGA
50.4
.551
2Pt%
.492
14.3
FT
17.7
18.6
FTA
22.7
.769
FT%
.779
10.5
ORB
10.7
32.9
DRB
33.1
43.4
TRB
43.7
25.8
AST
25.8
7.0
STL
10.1
4.2
BLK
3.8
14.0
TOV
13.1
19.9
PF
17.0
112.5
PTS
113.2

BOS
Analytics
MIA
11
Pythag Wins
7
4
Pythag Losses
6
9.73
Margin Of Victory
0.85
122.3
O Rtg
113.2
112.5
D Rtg
112.4
97.3
Pace
97.2
.252
FTr
.251
.558
3PAr
.443
.605
TS%
.564

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
BOS MIA
BOS MIA
Consensus
-7.5 (-112)
+7.5 (-110)
-9.5 (-112)
+9.5 (-109)
-7.5 (-110)
+7.5 (-110)
-9.5 (-110)
+9.5 (-110)
-7.5 (-114)
+7.5 (-110)
-9.5 (-114)
+9.5 (-106)
-8.0 (-107)
+8.0 (-110)
-10.5 (-107)
+10.5 (-114)
-8.0 (-115)
+8.0 (-110)
-9.5 (-115)
+9.5 (-105)
-7.5 (-110)
+7.5 (-110)
-9.5 (-110)
+9.5 (-110)
-7.5 (-110)
+7.5 (-110)
-9.5 (-110)
+9.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
BOS MIA
BOS MIA
Consensus
-311
+243
-449
+343
-310
+250
-440
+340
-295
+240
-420
+330
-335
+270
-455
+350
-335
+260
-480
+360
-325
+250
-425
+330
-300
+240
-450
+340
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
205.5 (-110)
205.5 (-110)
205.0 (-113)
205.0 (-109)
205.5 (-110)
205.5 (-110)
205.0 (-110)
205.0 (-110)
204.5 (-112)
204.5 (-108)
205.5 (-110)
205.5 (-110)
204.5 (-108)
204.5 (-113)
205.0 (-113)
205.0 (-108)
205.5 (-110)
205.5 (-110)
205.5 (-115)
205.5 (-105)
205.5 (-110)
205.5 (-110)
206.0 (-110)
206.0 (-110)
205.5 (-110)
205.5 (-110)
205.5 (-110)
205.5 (-110)