Boston Celtics

Boston Celtics

Apr 27, 2024

Miami Heat

Miami Heat
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Boston Celtics at Miami Heat Game 3 Best Bet – 4/27/2024

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Betting Pick & Prediction & Preview

  • Date: April 27, 2024
  • Venue: Kaseya Center
  • Spread: Boston Celtics -9.5 (-110), Miami Heat 9.5 (-110)
  • Total (Over/Under): 202.5
  • Moneyline: Boston Celtics -400, Miami Heat 325

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:

  • Boston Celtics - 77%
  • Miami Heat - 23%

Projected Win %:

  • Boston Celtics - 90%
  • Miami Heat - 10%

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Betting Preview

On Saturday night, the Boston Celtics and Miami Heat will face off in Game 3 of their Eastern Conference first round playoff series in Miami. Both teams enter the contest well-rested, with their last game being three days ago. This additional time off can be advantageous for both the Celtics and the Heat, allowing their players to recharge and potentially improve their chances of victory.

Despite being on the road, the Celtics are considered the heavy favorites. The current spread stands at Celtics -9.5, indicating that they are expected to win by a significant margin. The moneyline for the Celtics is -400, implying a 77% probability of victory, while the Heat's moneyline sits at +325, representing a 23% chance of success.

The Celtics have been playing exceptional basketball lately, winning 38 of their last 50 games. On the other hand, the Heat have also showcased strong performance, securing 24 wins in their previous 40 games.

Interestingly, the last encounter between these two teams saw an upset. The Heat defeated the Celtics with a score of 111-101, despite entering the game as 14.0 point underdogs with only a 12% chance of winning. This outcome demonstrates the unpredictable nature of basketball, as Miami set a franchise record for threes made in a playoff game in that Game 2 victory.

For those looking to place wagers, Nikola Jovic's Points, Rebounds, and Assists are drawing significant attention in the prop market. It is currently the most popular betting market for this game. Sharp bettors appear to be leaning towards the Over, as the prop total opened at Over 14.5 Points, Rebounds, and Assists (-125), before rising to 15.5 (-115).

As basketball fans await this exciting matchup, both the Celtics and the Heat will aim to secure a victory and continue their strong performances. With the odds in their favor, the Celtics will seek redemption for their previous loss, while the Heat will aim to prove that they can overcome the odds once again.

Pick and Prediction: Boston Celtics 112.3 - Miami Heat 97.55

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-9.5/-110
60% BOS
+9.5/-110
40% MIA

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-449
88% BOS
+343
12% MIA

Total Pick Consensus

205.0/-110
9% UN
205.0/-110
91% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

BOS
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
74
Games
74
41.7
FG
41.3
90.0
FGA
88.6
.463
FG%
.466
17.9
3Pt-FG
13.7
48.3
3Pt-FGA
38.0
.370
3Pt%
.360
23.8
2Pt-FG
27.6
41.7
2Pt-FGA
50.6
.571
2Pt%
.546
15.6
FT
13.8
19.5
FTA
17.7
.798
FT%
.778
11.1
ORB
10.8
33.8
DRB
33.9
44.9
TRB
44.7
26.0
AST
26.5
7.3
STL
7.6
5.6
BLK
4.7
11.8
TOV
13.8
16.2
PF
17.0
116.9
PTS
110.1

Defense/Offense

BOS
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
74
Games
74
40.4
FG
39.9
89.3
FGA
86.2
.452
FG%
.462
12.9
3Pt-FG
13.7
36.8
3Pt-FGA
37.5
.350
3Pt%
.366
27.5
2Pt-FG
26.2
52.5
2Pt-FGA
48.8
.524
2Pt%
.536
14.1
FT
16.1
18.0
FTA
20.3
.781
FT%
.792
10.6
ORB
9.4
33.1
DRB
33.4
43.7
TRB
42.9
24.0
AST
26.3
6.9
STL
8.0
3.6
BLK
3.8
13.0
TOV
13.9
17.9
PF
15.6
107.8
PTS
109.5

Offense/Defense

BOS
Four Factors
MIA
.563
eFG%
.544
10.7
TOV%
12.5
25.2
RB%
75.6
.173
FT/FGA
.156

Defense/Offense

BOS
Four Factors
MIA
.525
eFG%
.542
11.8
TOV%
12.7
76.2
RB%
21.8
.158
FT/FGA
.186

Offense/Defense

BOS
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
74
Games
74
43.1
FG
42.5
93.0
FGA
91.1
.463
FG%
.466
18.5
3Pt-FG
14.1
49.9
3Pt-FGA
39.1
.370
3Pt%
.360
24.6
2Pt-FG
28.4
43.1
2Pt-FGA
52.0
.571
2Pt%
.546
16.1
FT
14.2
20.2
FTA
18.2
.798
FT%
.778
11.5
ORB
11.1
34.9
DRB
34.9
46.4
TRB
46.0
26.9
AST
27.3
7.6
STL
7.8
5.7
BLK
4.8
12.2
TOV
14.2
16.8
PF
17.5
120.7
PTS
113.2

Defense/Offense

BOS
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
74
Games
74
41.7
FG
41.0
92.2
FGA
88.7
.452
FG%
.462
13.3
3Pt-FG
14.1
38.0
3Pt-FGA
38.5
.350
3Pt%
.366
28.4
2Pt-FG
26.9
54.2
2Pt-FGA
50.1
.524
2Pt%
.536
14.6
FT
16.5
18.6
FTA
20.9
.781
FT%
.792
10.9
ORB
9.7
34.2
DRB
34.3
45.1
TRB
44.1
24.8
AST
27.0
7.1
STL
8.3
3.7
BLK
3.9
13.4
TOV
14.3
18.5
PF
16.0
111.3
PTS
112.6

BOS
Analytics
MIA
56
Pythag Wins
36
18
Pythag Losses
38
9.12
Margin Of Victory
-0.61
120.7
O Rtg
112.6
111.3
D Rtg
113.2
96.1
Pace
96.0
.217
FTr
.235
.537
3PAr
.435
.593
TS%
.575

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
BOS MIA
BOS MIA
Consensus
-7.5 (-112)
+7.5 (-110)
-9.5 (-112)
+9.5 (-109)
-7.5 (-110)
+7.5 (-110)
-9.5 (-110)
+9.5 (-110)
-7.5 (-114)
+7.5 (-110)
-9.5 (-114)
+9.5 (-106)
-8.0 (-107)
+8.0 (-110)
-10.5 (-107)
+10.5 (-114)
-8.0 (-115)
+8.0 (-110)
-9.5 (-115)
+9.5 (-105)
-7.5 (-110)
+7.5 (-110)
-9.5 (-110)
+9.5 (-110)
-7.5 (-110)
+7.5 (-110)
-9.5 (-110)
+9.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
BOS MIA
BOS MIA
Consensus
-311
+243
-449
+343
-310
+250
-440
+340
-295
+240
-420
+330
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
205.5 (-110)
205.5 (-110)
205.0 (-113)
205.0 (-109)
205.5 (-110)
205.5 (-110)
205.0 (-110)
205.0 (-110)
204.5 (-112)
204.5 (-108)
205.5 (-110)
205.5 (-110)
204.5 (-108)
204.5 (-113)
205.0 (-113)
205.0 (-108)
205.5 (-110)
205.5 (-110)
205.5 (-115)
205.5 (-105)
205.5 (-110)
205.5 (-110)
206.0 (-110)
206.0 (-110)
205.5 (-110)
205.5 (-110)
205.5 (-110)
205.5 (-110)

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