Tom Aspinall vs Alexander Volkov Fight Odds
Tom Aspinall -120 vs Alexander Volkov
Fight is at heavyweight and is -175 to end inside the distance.
Tom Aspinall has been nothing short of wildly impressive in his UFC tenure thus far. In four fights, he’s notched four wins, all via stoppage. He only needed to go into the second round in one of those fights. It has become quite apparent that, despite Aspinall’s insistence he is in no rush to the top, he is already entering the elite echelon of the heavyweight division.
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Aspinall is a complete fighter that essentially brings no exploitable holes in his game. He is a tremendous grappler with a sound enough wrestling game to go with it. Aspinall has developed into quite a dangerous striker, with crisp boxing and fantastic movement and quickness. He is going to be a handful for any heavyweight and I don’t believe this opponent will slow his upward momentum.
Alexander Volkov has been a staple near the top of the heavyweight division since 2016. He is a tall and long striker, but will not have a huge reach advantage in this fight. He has only 2” of both height and reach on Aspinall. Volkov is okay as a defensive wrestler and is a sound grappler on the mat. That said, he will be in trouble if his takedown defense fails as Aspinall is a true submission and ground and pound threat.
Volkov has not been at his most impressive form of late. Most notably and despite winning a decision, he did not look like a top heavyweight in his most recent fight with Marcin Tybura. He will have to be better in this fight and sharp with his straight shots down the center line to keep Aspinall from properly closing the distance. That said, I do not believe Volkov is going to be able to do so, particularly not over five rounds.
What To Bet
We are going to see Aspinall be the quicker, busier and more efficient striker. I believe he will have a power edge as well. He will also be the slightly better wrestler and superior grappler if he chooses to mix it up. The ascending prospect is going to take a lap around the potentially declining main stay. I believe we get a wildly good value at -120 flat on Aspinall in this main event.
Betting Pick: Aspinall -120
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