Robert Whittaker vs Marvin Vettori Fight Odds
Robert Whittaker -230 vs Marvin Vettori
Fight is at 185 lbs and is +200 to end inside the distance.
This is a nice fight at the top of the middleweight division. Of course Robert Whittaker is a previous champion and recent title challenger against Israel Adesanya. Marvin Vettori is also a recent challenger to Adesanya, and this fight makes sense to happen.
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Marvin Vettori is the somewhat younger fighter and fighter that has the longer future in the middleweight division. That however is not really merit based, as Whittaker has discussed moving to light heavyweight for the remaining years of his career. Vettori is not an overly polished striker, rather relying on forward pressure and aggression. He is not the most leveled up striker, and also lacks a power element, particularly for as physically imposing as he can be in the cage. That physicality does show up in the wrestling however, and he brings a sound BJJ game.
Where Vettori will simply be outclassed in the stand up in this fight, if he can show his wrestling and floor control is truly better than that of the former champ, he will give himself a chance to win the fight. It will be paramount for Vettori to land multiple takedowns and have significant control time. If he is unable to do so and is forced to stand and striker for the vast majority of the fight, I do not believe this one will be close.
Don’t Forget About Bobby Knucks
Robert Whittaker has had quite the stretch at middleweight dating back to 2014. The former champ has just two losses in that span, both to Israel Adesanya. In his 12 fights against all other fighters, he is 12-0 and has been quite dominant. He even has the support of the champ Adesanya in this fight. When asked about this fight, Adesanya said he was excited for it, but then back tracked. He said he’s not really excited because he knows who is going to win. He believes Whittaker has this fight in the bag. No one will have more intimate knowledge than Adesanya as he has had two fights with both Whittaker and Vettori.
Whittaker will be the clearly leveled up striker in this matchup. While Vettori will pressure, Whittaker will make him pay as the sharper striker and better short area mover. Whittaker is a quality wrestler as well. He will need to have his takedown defense on point, but that should be little issue. He has only been controlled on the mat by Yoel Romero. No other fighter has been able to notch more than 30 seconds of control time during Whittaker’s run.
What To Bet
Whittaker is the rightful favorite and he is the fighter with the finishing upside. While Vettori is extremely tough and durable, he is going to be tested with big and clean shots from Whittaker. The more this fight stays in the stand up, the more clear it is going to be to the judges. I fully expect a decision and Whittaker will be the fighter doling out the damage, and I suspect it will be an easy one to score.
Betting Pick: Whittaker -230
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