Gloria de Paula vs Maria Oliveira Fight Odds
Gloria de Paula -265 vs Maria Oliveira
Fight is at 115 lbs and is +215 to end inside the distance.
Gloria de Paula ran into some issues after her impressive win on Dana White Contender Series. In her debut, she was stuck on her back against a high end BJJ fighter resulting in a decision loss. She then had the misfortune of eating one of the most perfectly timed kicks we will ever see in a KO loss to Cheyanne Vlismas. De Paula was standing up and took essentially a soccer kick to the face in the instant she became no longer grounded. She was able to right the ship with a decision win against Diana Belbita in her most recent fight.
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De Paula is a very good and still mostly unknown striker. She is tight and straight with her strikes and she is going to be a real problem for her opponent in this fight. De Paula has underrated power and I think we are going to see that on full display in this fight. She is going to put it on Maria Oliveira and mentally break her, likely in the second half of the fight. This is also an uncommon fight where de Paula will have a wrestling and grappling edge as well. No matter where this fight goes, it is going to belong to de Paula.
Maria Oliveira will enter her third fight under the UFC banner, and it could be her last. I do not know her fights remaining on her contract, but she could be in a do or die spot after losing on DWCS Brazil and in her debut against Tabatha Ricci. Oliveira is a decent enough offensive striker, but is also quite hittable. This will be her undoing as she was not able to pull away in the standup portions against Ricci. De Paula is levels and levels above as a striker. There is simply not an area to point to as a path to victory for Oliveira in this matchup.
De Paula’s flat price of -265 is probably a short one. That said, the ITD line is where we stand to truly profit on this fight. We are getting +320 on the -265 favorite. Knockouts will not always be the expectation for de Paula, but I truly believe it is the most likely outcome in this particular matchup. Look for de Paula to pour it on until Oliveira wants out.
Betting Pick: de Paula ITD +320
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