Dustin Jacoby vs John Allan Odds
Dustin Jacoby -325 vs John Allan
Fight is at 205 lbs and is -170 to end inside the distance.
Dustin Jacoby vs John Allan Betting Preview
Dustin Jacoby replaces Aleksa Camur to face John Allan. Jacoby has had success since his return to the UFC. After an eight year absence, he has notched four wins and a draw in five fights. He draws another quite favorable matchup here on short notice. The striker simply outclasses his opponent on the feet in a massive way. Jacoby will land early, often and with power. He will feel like he is in a sparring session as he lands at will for as long as the fight lasts. Jacoby has been a difficult fighter to take down, and more so difficult to control. He will only have to worry about stuffing a takedown or two on his way to an easy win.
John Allan is one of the worst light heavyweights on the roster, and will likely be given his walking papers after this loss. His only hope in this fight is to have a career best performance on the wrestling side of things and control Jacoby long enough to steal two rounds. Of course this is a massively low percentage outcome. Essentially I am trying to play devil’s advocate and identify what might be a path to victory for Allan, as none are apparent.
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Jacoby will have his way from the opening exchange. He will most likely secure his third first round KO since his return to the UFC. That outcome brings a +280 return, and that will be our moonshot on value for this card. I also understand going the safer route and just playing Jacoby ITD at -115.
Betting Pick: Jacoby in Round 1 +280
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