David Dvorak vs Matheus Nicolau Fight Odds
David Dvorak -135 vs Matheus Nicolau
Fight is at 125 lbs and is +150 to end inside the distance.
This flyweight scrap is very low on the card, and honestly, I’m not sure why. It really is an awesome fight. This matchup is only a tick or two down from the main card flyweight fight between Askar Askarov and Kai Kara-France. That fight will likely bring a number one championship contender.
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David Dvorak and Matheus Nicolau have combined to win eight of their nine UFC fights. They both have shown they have skill sets to notch wins at this level, and are now both looking to climb the ladder.
David Dvorak is an aggressive striker. He truly enjoys pressuring, ushing forward and throwing heavy shots at his opponents. He loves to stripe the lead leg of his opponent as well, and that is an area he could have real success in this fight. Where I believe he will have far less success is in pressing forward and throwing big punches. He is facing an opponent that has strengths in counters and in their BJJ game. The Dvorak style could very well be setting himself up for failure in this matchup.
Matheus Nicolau is quite a well rounded fighter, with his BJJ being the strength of his skill set. He tends to wait for his opponents to go in the stand up and counter. He is a fighter that does not need to move forward to find success. What is more advantageous than countering for Nicolau, is ducking under aggression and shooting takedowns. Top position on the floor is the best place Nicolau can be in this matchup. Dvorak is a sound grappler to be sure, but Nicolau is better in that department.
What To Bet
While these fighters will fare quite similarly against the same levels of competition, I believe Nicolau has all the stylistic advantages in this matchup. I believe the Dvorak approach plays right into Nicolau’s hands. I believe he has more power with landing the counter shots. Additionally, I believe he will be able to take the fight down. There are just too many things pointing in the underdog’s direction to ignore. We will take the +115 flat on Nicolau.
Betting Pick: Nicolau +115
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