Nestor Cortes projections, stats and prop bet odds for Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees on Sep 25, 2024
Nestor Cortes Player Prop Bet: Earned Runs
Earned Runs Prop Bet Odds:
- Earned Runs 2.5 over: 128
- Earned Runs 2.5 under: -160
Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop Bet
Carlos Torres grades out as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is expected to be in charge of the strike zone today.
Yankee Stadium has the 7th-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.
The Baltimore Orioles have 7 hitters in the projected batting order that will hold the platoon advantage over Nestor Cortes today.
Nestor Cortes is an extreme flyball pitcher (42% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and will be disadvantaged pitching in the #5 HR venue among all parks in today's game.
Given that groundball hitters hold a notable advantage over flyball pitchers, Nestor Cortes and his 42% underlying GB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a tough position in this game facing 1 opposing GB batters.
Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Prop Bet
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s appraisal, Nestor Cortes's overall pitching talent ranks in the 87th percentile out of all starters in MLB currently.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Austin Wells (the Yankees's expected catcher in today's game) profiles as a good pitch framer.
The #1 venue in baseball for suppressing base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium.
In the league, Yankee Stadium's CF dimensions are the 5th-deepest.
According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the best for pitching on the slate today.
Projection For Today's Nestor Cortes Earned Runs Prop Bet
Nestor Cortes is projected to have 2.3 Earned Runs in todays game.
Nestor Cortes Player Prop Bet: Strikeouts
Strikeouts Prop Bet Odds:
- Strikeouts 5.5 over: 100
- Strikeouts 5.5 under: -130
Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop Bet
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Nestor Cortes in the 81st percentile when assessing his strikeout talent.
Throwing 93.8 adjusted pitches per GS this year on average, Nestor Cortes places in the 85th percentile.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Austin Wells (the Yankees's expected catcher in today's game) profiles as a good pitch framer.
Yankee Stadium's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense.
According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the best for pitching on the slate today.
Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Prop Bet
Carlos Torres grades out as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is expected to be in charge of the strike zone today.
The Baltimore Orioles have 7 hitters in the projected batting order that will hold the platoon advantage over Nestor Cortes today.
Given that groundball hitters hold a notable advantage over flyball pitchers, Nestor Cortes and his 42% underlying GB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a tough position in this game facing 1 opposing GB batters.
Nestor Cortes's 91.5-mph fastball velocity this year ranks in the 21st percentile among all starters.
Projection For Today's Nestor Cortes Strikeouts Prop Bet
Nestor Cortes is projected to have 5.7 Strikeouts in todays game.
