Javier Baez projections, stats and prop bet odds for Detroit Tigers at Chicago Cubs on Aug 22, 2024
Javier Baez Player Prop Bet: Home Runs
Home Runs Prop Bet Odds:
- Home Runs 0.5 over: 525
- Home Runs 0.5 under: -909
Trends Favoring The Over Home Runs Prop Bet
Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.
Javier Baez will hold the platoon advantage over Justin Steele in today's matchup.
Javier Baez pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.7% — 78th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
In the last two weeks, Javier Baez's 18.8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 14.3%.
Despite posting a .226 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Javier Baez has had bad variance on his side given the .069 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .295.
Trends Favoring The Under Home Runs Prop Bet
Javier Baez is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Wrigley Field has the 7th-tallest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.
This matchup is expected to have the 8th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Javier Baez in today's matchup.
Javier Baez has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.3-mph dropping to 86.1-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games.
Projection For Today's Javier Baez Home Runs Prop Bet
Javier Baez is projected to have 0.1 Home Runs in todays game.
Javier Baez Player Prop Bet: Hits Runs and RBIs
Hits Runs and RBIs Prop Bet Odds:
- Hits Runs and RBIs 1.5 over: 110
- Hits Runs and RBIs 1.5 under: -141
Trends Favoring The Over Hits Runs and RBIs Prop Bet
Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.
Javier Baez will hold the platoon advantage over Justin Steele in today's matchup.
Javier Baez pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.7% — 78th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
In the last two weeks' worth of games, Javier Baez's 50% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 34.5%.
Despite posting a .226 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Javier Baez has had bad variance on his side given the .069 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .295.
Trends Favoring The Under Hits Runs and RBIs Prop Bet
Javier Baez is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Wrigley Field has the 7th-tallest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.
This matchup is expected to have the 8th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Javier Baez in today's matchup.
Javier Baez's exit velocity on flyballs has declined this season; his 91.5-mph EV last season has fallen off to 89.5-mph.
Projection For Today's Javier Baez Hits Runs and RBIs Prop Bet
Javier Baez is projected to have 1.4 Hits Runs and RBIs in todays game.
Javier Baez Player Prop Bet: Total Bases
Total Bases Prop Bet Odds:
- Total Bases 0.5 over: -172
- Total Bases 0.5 under: 140
Trends Favoring The Over Total Bases Prop Bet
Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.
Javier Baez will hold the platoon advantage over Justin Steele in today's matchup.
Javier Baez pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.7% — 78th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
In the last two weeks' worth of games, Javier Baez's 50% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 34.5%.
Despite posting a .226 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Javier Baez has had bad variance on his side given the .069 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .295.
Trends Favoring The Under Total Bases Prop Bet
Javier Baez is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Wrigley Field has the 7th-tallest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.
This matchup is expected to have the 8th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Javier Baez in today's matchup.
Javier Baez's exit velocity on flyballs has declined this season; his 91.5-mph EV last season has fallen off to 89.5-mph.
Projection For Today's Javier Baez Total Bases Prop Bet
Javier Baez is projected to have 0.8 Total Bases in todays game.
Javier Baez Player Prop Bet: RBIs
RBIs Prop Bet Odds:
- RBIs 0.5 over: 220
- RBIs 0.5 under: -300
Trends Favoring The Over RBIs Prop Bet
Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.
Javier Baez will hold the platoon advantage over Justin Steele in today's matchup.
Javier Baez pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.7% — 78th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
In the last two weeks' worth of games, Javier Baez's 50% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 34.5%.
Despite posting a .226 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Javier Baez has had bad variance on his side given the .069 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .295.
Trends Favoring The Under RBIs Prop Bet
Javier Baez is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Wrigley Field has the 7th-tallest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.
This matchup is expected to have the 8th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Javier Baez in today's matchup.
Javier Baez's exit velocity on flyballs has declined this season; his 91.5-mph EV last season has fallen off to 89.5-mph.
Projection For Today's Javier Baez RBIs Prop Bet
Javier Baez is projected to have 0.3 RBIs in todays game.
Javier Baez Player Prop Bet: Hits
Hits Prop Bet Odds:
- Hits 0.5 over: -172
- Hits 0.5 under: 140
Trends Favoring The Over Hits Prop Bet
Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.
Javier Baez will hold the platoon advantage over Justin Steele in today's matchup.
Javier Baez pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.7% — 78th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
In the last two weeks' worth of games, Javier Baez's 50% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 34.5%.
Despite posting a .226 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Javier Baez has had bad variance on his side given the .069 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .295.
Trends Favoring The Under Hits Prop Bet
Javier Baez is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.
This matchup is expected to have the 8th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Javier Baez in today's matchup.
Javier Baez's exit velocity on flyballs has declined this season; his 91.5-mph EV last season has fallen off to 89.5-mph.
Javier Baez's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined from last season to this one, decreasing from 39.8% to 34.5%.
Projection For Today's Javier Baez Hits Prop Bet
Javier Baez is projected to have 0.8 Hits in todays game.
