A fun ACC showdown is set for Tuesday night when the North Carolina Tar Heels (11-5, 3-2 in ACC) visit the Virginia Cavaliers (11-3, 3-2). North Carolina has won four of their last five games, while Virginia has now lost two of their last five. Below is my college basketball pick for North Carolina vs Virginia.
North Carolina vs Virginia Betting Pick
ℹ️ The Pick: | Virginia -4.5 |
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This game will be played at John Paul Jones Arena at 9:00 p.m. ET on Tuesday, January 10, 2023.
Why Bet Virginia -4.5
✅ Virginia is 9-0 against the spread in their last nine home games against UNC.
✅ The Cavaliers are 11-3 straight up in their last 14 games played.
✅ UNC is 2-7 ATS in their last nine games against UVA.
NCAABB
North Carolina Tar Heels
Virginia Cavaliers
Team Stats Per Game
Advanced Game Stats
Offense/Defense
NCAR | Advanced Game Stats | VIR |
---|---|---|
71.4 | Pace | 61.2 |
113.6 | Off.Rate | 96.2 |
.368 | FTr | .257 |
.359 | 3PAr | .399 |
.555 | TS% | .498 |
55.0 | TRB% | 51.2 |
51.6 | AST% | 52.1 |
8.1 | STL% | 8.3 |
10.4 | BLK% | 8.7 |
.513 | eFG% | .462 |
12.3 | TOV% | 16.7 |
32.8 | ORB% | 28.1 |
.278 | TF/FGA | .193 |
Defense/Offense
NCAR | Advanced Game Stats | VIR |
---|---|---|
71.4 | Pace | 61.2 |
97.9 | Off.Rate | 102.7 |
.283 | FTr | .251 |
.361 | 3PAr | .327 |
.502 | TS% | .512 |
45.0 | TRB% | 48.8 |
40.6 | AST% | 63.4 |
7.8 | STL% | 11.5 |
9.6 | BLK% | 15.9 |
.464 | eFG% | .493 |
13.2 | TOV% | 11.6 |
23.4 | ORB% | 26.0 |
.211 | TF/FGA | .160 |
Betting Trends
NCAR | Betting Trends | VIR |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
2-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-1-0 |
1-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-2-0 |
81 | Avg Score | 70.67 |
73 | Avg Opp Score | 63.33 |
AWAY | HOME | |
1-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-1-0 |
1-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 0-3-0 |
78.33 | Avg Score | 66.67 |
80 | Avg Opp Score | 60.33 |
NCAR | Betting Trends | VIR |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
4-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-2-0 |
2-3-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-4-0 |
82.4 | Avg Score | 68.4 |
75.8 | Avg Opp Score | 60.4 |
AWAY | HOME | |
1-4-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 4-1-0 |
1-4-0 | ATS W/L/P | 0-5-0 |
80.2 | Avg Score | 63.4 |
84 | Avg Opp Score | 57.6 |
NCAR | Betting Trends | VIR |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
6-4-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 7-3-0 |
4-6-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-9-0 |
82.5 | Avg Score | 66.2 |
76.5 | Avg Opp Score | 59.1 |
AWAY | HOME | |
4-6-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 9-1-0 |
4-6-0 | ATS W/L/P | 3-7-0 |
77.8 | Avg Score | 70.7 |
78.6 | Avg Opp Score | 57.6 |
Head to Head
Teams Last 10
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North Carolina Tar Heels
Last time out, North Carolina hosted the Notre Dame Fighting Irish and comfortably won 81-64. This was a close game for the first 11 minutes, but the Tar Heels took control from there and built a double-digit advantage at the half. North Carolina never trailed by more than three points, led by as many as 18, and easily covered the -11.0-point spread.
Armando Bacot had 21 points, 12 rebounds, four assists, and two blocks on the day. R.J. Davis added 13 points, five rebounds, five assists, and three steals in the victory.
Through 16 games, North Carolina is scoring 81.4 points per game, shooting 46.2% from the field, and assisting on 13.4 made shots. The Tar Heels are allowing 74.3 points, grabbing 39.8 rebounds, blocking 4.3 shots, and stealing the ball 6.2 times.
Virginia Cavaliers
Virginia hosted the Syracuse Orange and held on for a 73-66 win. The Cavaliers were in total control throughout this game, but a late Orange run made the final score seem much close than the game actually was. Virginia never trailed and led by as many as 23 points but could not cover the -12.5-point spread.
Armaan Franklin had 16 points, six rebounds, three assists, two steals and one block on the evening. Reece Beekman added 13 points, seven assists, and two steals in the victory.
After 14 games, Virginia is scoring 70.0 points per game, shooting 45.8% from the field, and assisting on 16.4 made shots. The Cavaliers are allowing 59.6 points, grabbing 32.5 rebounds, blocking 4.6 shots, and stealing the ball 7.1 times.
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