A fun Big Ten game is set for Thursday night when the Iowa Hawkeyes (12-7, 4-4 in Big Ten) visit the Michigan State Spartans (13-7, 5-4). Iowa just saw their long winning streak end, while Michigan State is in the midst of losing three of their last four games. Below is my college basketball prediction for Iowa vs Michigan State.
Iowa vs Michigan State Betting Pick
| ℹ️ The Pick: | Michigan State -4 |
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This game will be played at Breslin Center at 7:00 p.m. ET on Thursday, January 26, 2023.
Why Bet Michigan State -4
✅ Michigan State is 6-2 against the spread in their last eight games.
✅ The Spartans are 5-0 ATS in their last five home games.
✅ Iowa is 5-14 straight up in their last 19 games against Michigan State.
NCAABB
Iowa Hawkeyes
Michigan State Spartans
Team Stats Per Game
Advanced Game Stats
Offense/Defense
| IOWA | Advanced Game Stats | MST |
|---|---|---|
| 74.9 | Pace | 73.1 |
| 116.9 | Off.Rate | 90.9 |
| .275 | FTr | .286 |
| .484 | 3PAr | .392 |
| .600 | TS% | .478 |
| 50.3 | TRB% | 42.9 |
| 66.7 | AST% | 53.3 |
| 11.0 | STL% | 9.2 |
| 13.9 | BLK% | 6.8 |
| .583 | eFG% | .431 |
| 14.4 | TOV% | 16.0 |
| 29.3 | ORB% | 24.4 |
| .190 | TF/FGA | .224 |
Defense/Offense
| IOWA | Advanced Game Stats | MST |
|---|---|---|
| 74.9 | Pace | 73.1 |
| 94.8 | Off.Rate | 113.5 |
| .180 | FTr | .410 |
| .395 | 3PAr | .313 |
| .501 | TS% | .543 |
| 49.7 | TRB% | 57.1 |
| 42.2 | AST% | 63.8 |
| 9.3 | STL% | 8.2 |
| 10.5 | BLK% | 13.4 |
| .498 | eFG% | .484 |
| 18.9 | TOV% | 12.6 |
| 30.2 | ORB% | 37.5 |
| .092 | TF/FGA | .328 |
Betting Trends
| IOWA | Betting Trends | MST |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 2-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 1-2-0 |
| 2-1-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-1-0 |
| 83.67 | Avg Score | 67.33 |
| 81.33 | Avg Opp Score | 67.67 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 1-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-1-0 |
| 1-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 3-0-0 |
| 77.33 | Avg Score | 64 |
| 80.33 | Avg Opp Score | 58 |
| IOWA | Betting Trends | MST |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 4-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-3-0 |
| 4-1-0 | ATS W/L/P | 3-2-0 |
| 83.6 | Avg Score | 67.4 |
| 79.6 | Avg Opp Score | 68.6 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 1-4-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 4-1-0 |
| 1-4-0 | ATS W/L/P | 5-0-0 |
| 69.6 | Avg Score | 71 |
| 77.2 | Avg Opp Score | 59.6 |
| IOWA | Betting Trends | MST |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 5-5-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 7-3-0 |
| 5-5-0 | ATS W/L/P | 7-3-0 |
| 81.1 | Avg Score | 69.4 |
| 79.2 | Avg Opp Score | 62.4 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 5-5-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 8-2-0 |
| 6-4-0 | ATS W/L/P | 7-3-0 |
| 74.4 | Avg Score | 70.5 |
| 73.8 | Avg Opp Score | 61.9 |
Head to Head
Teams Last 10
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Iowa Hawkeyes
Last time out, Iowa took a trip to Ohio State and left with a 93-77 defeat. The Buckeyes started the game strong, but the Hawkeyes battled back and trailed by just two points at the half. After the break, the Buckeyes went off and were able to cruise to the double-digit win. Iowa trailed by as many as 16 points, never led by more than six, and could not cover the +3.0-point spread.
Kris Murray had 22 points, seven rebounds, and four assists in the game. Filip Rebraca added 15 points, three rebounds, and two assists in the loss.
Through 19 games, Iowa is scoring 81.7 points per game, shooting 45.5% from the field, and assisting on 16.9 made shots. The Hawkeyes are allowing 73.5 points, grabbing 38.3 rebounds, blocking 3.8 shots, and stealing the ball 6.5 times.
Michigan State Spartans
Michigan State visited the Indiana Hoosiers and were comfortably beaten 82-69. The Spartans started off strong and built an early lead, but the Hoosiers started closing the gap and led by five at the half. It was much of the same after halftime as Indiana was able to absorb a Sparty run and start to run away with the game. Michigan State trailed by as many as 15 points, led by nine, and could not cover the +4.5-point spread.
Joey Hauser had 22 points, six rebounds, and one assist on the day. Jaden Akins added 11 points, two rebounds, and two assists in the victory.
After 20 games, Michigan State is scoring 69.7 points per game, shooting 44.7% from the field, and assisting on 15.0 made shots. The Spartans are allowing 65.9 points, grabbing 37.1 rebounds, blocking 3.0 shots, and stealing the ball 4.7 times.
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