
Cal Poly Mustangs
UC Davis Aggies

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Cal Poly Mustangs vs UC Davis Aggies Pick – 3/12/2025
The Cal Poly Mustangs and the UC Davis Aggies are set to face off on Wednesday, March 12, 2025, at 11:30 PM Eastern Time at the Lee's Family Forum in Henderson, Nevada. This Big West Conference tournament game promises to be a compelling contest between two teams looking to advance in postseason play.
Cal Poly Mustangs vs. UC Davis Aggies Game Preview
Cal Poly enters the game with a 14-18 overall record, while UC Davis stands at 15-16. The Mustangs have demonstrated a potent offense, averaging 81.66 points per game, but have struggled defensively, allowing 82.69 points per game. In contrast, the Aggies have a more balanced approach, scoring 67.71 points per game and conceding 69.77 points per game.
In their previous encounter on December 5, 2024, UC Davis secured a 77-66 victory over Cal Poly. In that game, UC Davis's Connor Sevilla led the team with 17 points, while Cal Poly's Owen Koonce scored 19 points.
Betting Insights
As of the latest available data, the betting lines for this matchup are as follows:
- Point Spread: Cal Poly -3.5
- Over/Under: 151.5 points
- Moneyline: Cal Poly -154, UC Davis +134
These odds suggest that Cal Poly is favored to win by a narrow margin, with expectations of a moderately high-scoring game.
Betting Trends
Analyzing recent betting trends provides additional context for this matchup:
- UC Davis has lost their last five games, with a 2-3 record against the spread (ATS) during that span.
- Cal Poly has a 16-15 ATS record this season, indicating a slightly positive performance against the spread.
- The total has gone over in 19 of Cal Poly's 31 games this season, suggesting a tendency for high-scoring affairs.
Cal Poly Mustangs vs. UC Davis Aggies Prediction
Considering the statistical profiles and recent performances of both teams, this game is expected to be closely contested. Cal Poly's high-scoring offense will challenge UC Davis's more balanced approach. However, Cal Poly's defensive vulnerabilities could be exploited by UC Davis.
Given the current betting lines and trends, a prudent approach would be to consider the following:
- Point Spread: UC Davis +3.5
- Over/Under: Over 151.5 points
While Cal Poly's offense is formidable, their defensive struggles may allow UC Davis to keep the game within the spread. Additionally, both teams' tendencies suggest a higher-scoring game, making the over a viable option.
As always, it's important to monitor any late-breaking news or changes that could impact the game's dynamics before making any betting decisions.
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Cal Poly Mustangs
UC Davis Aggies