Cal Poly Mustangs

Cal Poly Mustangs

Mar 12, 2025

UC Davis Aggies

UC Davis Aggies
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Cal Poly Mustangs vs UC Davis Aggies Pick – 3/12/2025

The Cal Poly Mustangs and the UC Davis Aggies are set to face off on Wednesday, March 12, 2025, at 11:30 PM Eastern Time at the Lee's Family Forum in Henderson, Nevada. This Big West Conference tournament game promises to be a compelling contest between two teams looking to advance in postseason play.

Cal Poly Mustangs vs. UC Davis Aggies Game Preview

Cal Poly enters the game with a 14-18 overall record, while UC Davis stands at 15-16. The Mustangs have demonstrated a potent offense, averaging 81.66 points per game, but have struggled defensively, allowing 82.69 points per game. In contrast, the Aggies have a more balanced approach, scoring 67.71 points per game and conceding 69.77 points per game.

In their previous encounter on December 5, 2024, UC Davis secured a 77-66 victory over Cal Poly. In that game, UC Davis's Connor Sevilla led the team with 17 points, while Cal Poly's Owen Koonce scored 19 points.

Betting Insights

As of the latest available data, the betting lines for this matchup are as follows:

  • Point Spread: Cal Poly -3.5
  • Over/Under: 151.5 points
  • Moneyline: Cal Poly -154, UC Davis +134

These odds suggest that Cal Poly is favored to win by a narrow margin, with expectations of a moderately high-scoring game.

Betting Trends

Analyzing recent betting trends provides additional context for this matchup:

  • UC Davis has lost their last five games, with a 2-3 record against the spread (ATS) during that span.
  • Cal Poly has a 16-15 ATS record this season, indicating a slightly positive performance against the spread.
  • The total has gone over in 19 of Cal Poly's 31 games this season, suggesting a tendency for high-scoring affairs.

Cal Poly Mustangs vs. UC Davis Aggies Prediction

Considering the statistical profiles and recent performances of both teams, this game is expected to be closely contested. Cal Poly's high-scoring offense will challenge UC Davis's more balanced approach. However, Cal Poly's defensive vulnerabilities could be exploited by UC Davis.

Given the current betting lines and trends, a prudent approach would be to consider the following:

  • Point Spread: UC Davis +3.5
  • Over/Under: Over 151.5 points

While Cal Poly's offense is formidable, their defensive struggles may allow UC Davis to keep the game within the spread. Additionally, both teams' tendencies suggest a higher-scoring game, making the over a viable option.

As always, it's important to monitor any late-breaking news or changes that could impact the game's dynamics before making any betting decisions.

Be sure to check out all our free NCAABB picks here.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-1.5/-108
0% CALPOL
+1.5/-112
0% UCDV

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-125
75% CALPOL
+105
25% UCDV

Total Pick Consensus

152.5/-115
66% UN
152.5/-105
34% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Advanced Game Stats
  • Rushing
  • Special Teams

Offense/Defense

CALPOL
Team Stats Per Game
UCDV
81.66
PTS GM
69.77
62.5
FGA
54.94
.459
FG%
.425
.352
3PT%
.345
10.16
ORB
11.23
0.79
DRB
0.81
35.28
TRB
36.45
16.94
FTA
21.26
.768
FT%
.756
14.84
AST
12.74
2.22
BLK
2.48
16.09
TO
15.19
17.97
PF
18.9

Defense/Offense

CALPOL
Team Stats Per Game
UCDV
82.69
PTS GM
67.71
64.44
FGA
55.81
.455
FG%
.410
.338
3PT%
.324
12.34
ORB
10.35
0.81
DRB
0.74
38.28
TRB
33.23
20.41
FTA
21.06
.750
FT%
.740
14.38
AST
10.81
3.09
BLK
3.58
14.41
TO
13.16
16.88
PF
18.16

Offense/Defense

CALPOL
Advanced Game Stats
UCDV
75.2
Pace
68.5
107.0
Off.Rate
101.4
.271
FTr
.387
.513
3PAr
.372
.579
TS%
.536
48.0
TRB%
52.3
51.7
AST%
54.6
10.3
STL%
9.6
5.7
BLK%
6.8
.549
eFG%
.489
18.6
TOV%
18.9
28.1
ORB%
32.9
.208
TF/FGA
.292

Defense/Offense

CALPOL
Advanced Game Stats
UCDV
75.2
Pace
68.5
108.3
Off.Rate
98.4
.317
FTr
.377
.399
3PAr
.350
.558
TS%
.514
52.0
TRB%
47.7
49.0
AST%
47.2
12.4
STL%
11.7
10.2
BLK%
10.4
.523
eFG%
.467
16.3
TOV%
16.7
32.9
ORB%
29.1
.238
TF/FGA
.279

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
CALPOL UCDV
CALPOL UCDV
Consensus
-2.5 (-107)
+2.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-107)
+1.5 (-115)
-2.5 (-108)
+2.5 (-108)
-1.5 (-108)
+1.5 (-112)
-3.5 (-105)
+3.5 (-120)
-1.5 (-105)
+1.5 (-115)
-2.5 (-104)
+2.5 (-108)
-1.5 (-104)
+1.5 (-118)
-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
-1.0 (-110)
+1.0 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
+1.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
CALPOL UCDV
CALPOL UCDV
Consensus
-155
+130
-121
+100
-155
+130
-125
+105
-152
+126
-115
-104
-155
+125
-117
-104
-155
+130
-125
+105
-150
+125
-125
+105
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
151.0 (-110)
151.0 (-110)
151.5 (-115)
151.5 (-109)
151.5 (-108)
151.5 (-112)
151.5 (-112)
151.5 (-108)
151.5 (-115)
151.5 (-105)
151.5 (-115)
151.5 (-105)
151.5 (-114)
151.5 (-112)
151.5 (-117)
151.5 (-109)
151.0 (-110)
151.0 (-110)
152.0 (-110)
152.0 (-110)
151.5 (-105)
151.5 (-115)
151.5 (-110)
151.5 (-110)

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