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January 4th, 2023

Ball State vs Toledo College Basketball Pick & Prediction 1/3/23

Jay Sanin Jay Sanin

The first day of conference play in MAC basketball features six games tipping simultaneously. One of those games will take place in Ohio, when the Ball State Cardinals visit the Toledo Rockets in a matchup between two of the top-three teams in the conference so far. In Tuesday’s college basketball predictions, we look at this Ball State vs Toledo matchup.

Ball State vs Toledo Betting Pick

ℹ️ The Pick: Ball State +9
? Recommended Sportsbook Promo: Bet $1, Win $200 at Bet365
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This game will be played at the Savage Arena at 7:00 PM ET on Tuesday, January 3, 2023.

Why Bet On Ball State:

✅ Ball State’s defense will keep it competitive on Tuesday night. They allow 65.8 points per game and will make Toledo work harder than usual to get things going offensively.

✅ Ball State has been very competitive on the road this season. They are 2-2 in true road games, and they will continue to compete away from home in what should be an evenly matched game.

✅ The Cardinals come into this contest on a five-game winning streak.

The Pick: Ball State +9

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NCAABB

Jan 03, 2023 07:00 PM

Ball State Cardinals

VS

Toledo Rockets

Matchup Odds Trends

Spread Consensus

+8.5/-110
BetMGM
$1000 Risk Free Bet
-8.5/-110

72% BALLST

TOLEDO 28%

MoneyLine Consensus

+314
DraftKings
Bet $5 Win $200
-407

29% BALLST

TOLEDO 71%

Total Consensus

157.0/-110
FanDuel
$1000 No Sweat Bet
157.0/-110

46% UN

OV 54%

Team Stats Per Game

Offense/Defense

BALLST Team Stats Per Game TOLEDO
76.41PTS GM77.11
55.78FGA61.06
.471FG%.460
.3693PT%.362
10.53ORB10.78
0.79DRB0.65
35.84TRB34.08
23.72FTA16.64
.689FT%.755
13.19AST13.75
3.84BLK3.42
12.22TO13.17
16.41PF18.83

Defense/Offense

BALLST Team Stats Per Game TOLEDO
71.62PTS GM85.61
58.53FGA61.17
.439FG%.495
.3833PT%.395
9.72ORB10.11
0.73DRB0.67
32.94TRB34.08
17.53FTA21.44
.729FT%.768
9.56AST14.86
2.47BLK2.94
11.66TO9.86
20.31PF16.14

Advanced Game Stats

Offense/Defense

BALLST Advanced Game Stats TOLEDO
68.5Pace71.2
111.1Off.Rate108.3
.425FTr.273
.3653PAr.377
.570TS%.559
52.1TRB%50.0
50.2AST%48.9
8.0STL%7.4
9.8BLK%8.6
.538eFG%.529
15.4TOV%16.0
31.2ORB%31.0
.293TF/FGA.206

Defense/Offense

BALLST Advanced Game Stats TOLEDO
68.5Pace71.2
104.1Off.Rate120.2
.300FTr.351
.3303PAr.353
.536TS%.600
47.9TRB%50.0
37.2AST%49.0
9.0STL%9.7
7.0BLK%7.7
.503eFG%.565
14.8TOV%12.1
27.7ORB%30.3
.218TF/FGA.269
  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
BALLST
TOLEDO
BALLST
TOLEDO
Consensus
+9.0 -110
-9.0 -110
+8.5 -110
-8.5 -110
Draftkings
Bet $5 Win $200
+9.0 -110
-9.0 -110
+8.5 -110
-8.5 -110
FanDuel
$1000 No Sweat Bet
+8.5 -112
-8.5 -120
+8.5 -112
-8.5 -108
BetRivers
$500 Risk Free
+9.0 -110
-9.0 -110
+8.5 -110
-8.5 -110
Caesars
Up To $1250 On Caesar
+9.0 -110
-9.0 -110
+8.5 -110
-8.5 -110
PointsBet
2 Free Bets Up To $2000
+9.0 -110
-9.0 -110
+8.5 -110
-8.5 -110
BetMGM
$1000 Risk Free Bet
+8.5 -110
-8.5 -110
+8.5 -110
-8.5 -110
Open
Current
Book
BALLST
TOLEDO
BALLST
TOLEDO
Consensus
+335
-425
+314
-407
Draftkings
Bet $5 Win $200
+340
-425
+320
-390
FanDuel
$1000 No Sweat Bet
+350
-465
+315
-410
BetRivers
$500 Risk Free
+330
-435
+310
-400
Caesars
Up To $1250 On Caesar
+350
-450
+320
-420
PointsBet
2 Free Bets Up To $2000
+330
-425
+350
-450
BetMGM
$1000 Risk Free Bet
+300
-400
+333
-450
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
Consensus
158.0 -110
158.0 -110
157.0 -110
157.0 -109
Draftkings
Bet $5 Win $200
158.0 -110
158.0 -110
157.0 -110
157.0 -110
FanDuel
$1000 No Sweat Bet
156.5 -114
156.5 -106
157.5 -110
157.5 -110
BetRivers
$500 Risk Free
157.5 -110
157.5 -110
157.0 -110
157.0 -109
Caesars
Up To $1250 On Caesar
157.5 -110
157.5 -110
156.5 -110
156.5 -110
PointsBet
2 Free Bets Up To $2000
158.0 -110
158.0 -110
156.5 -110
156.5 -110
BetMGM
$1000 Risk Free Bet
157.5 -105
157.5 -115
156.5 -110
156.5 -110

Betting Trends

Last 3 Last 5 Last 10
BALLST Betting Trends TOLEDO
OVERALLOVERALL
3-0-0Win/Loss/Tie2-1-0
1-2-0ATS W/L/P1-1-0
70.33Avg Score90.67
62Avg Opp Score86.67
AWAYHOME
2-1-0Win/Loss/Tie3-0-0
3-0-0ATS W/L/P1-1-0
78.67Avg Score87.33
68.67Avg Opp Score74.33
BALLST Betting Trends TOLEDO
OVERALLOVERALL
5-0-0Win/Loss/Tie4-1-0
3-2-0ATS W/L/P2-2-0
75Avg Score84.8
62.8Avg Opp Score80.6
AWAYHOME
3-2-0Win/Loss/Tie5-0-0
4-1-0ATS W/L/P3-1-0
73.6Avg Score93.4
67.4Avg Opp Score79.6
BALLST Betting Trends TOLEDO
OVERALLOVERALL
7-3-0Win/Loss/Tie6-4-0
5-4-0ATS W/L/P4-5-0
74.3Avg Score81.5
67.3Avg Opp Score78.8
AWAYHOME
5-5-0Win/Loss/Tie8-2-0
5-5-0ATS W/L/P5-4-0
72.3Avg Score83.7
71.4Avg Opp Score73.9

Head to Head

DATE TM LN ML SC
02/04/2022
TOLEDO
BALLST
156.5
8.5
-422
+321
83
93
01/18/2022
BALLST
TOLEDO
154.5
-12.5
+607
-981
70
83
03/11/2021
BALLST
TOLEDO
155.5
-7.5
+268
-339
89
91
03/05/2021
BALLST
TOLEDO
155.5
-9.5
+361
-481
70
89
02/06/2021
TOLEDO
BALLST
149.0
8.5
-417
+321
67
81
02/29/2020
BALLST
TOLEDO
135.5
-3.0
+130
-150
63
69
01/03/2020
TOLEDO
BALLST
135.5
-2.0
+100
-120
57
61
02/26/2019
TOLEDO
BALLST
145.5
-1.0
+100
-120
80
72
01/04/2019
BALLST
TOLEDO
154.0
-5.0
+180
-210
79
64
02/17/2018
TOLEDO
BALLST
152.0
-2.5
+130
-150
71
99

Teams Last 10

Ball State Cardinals Toledo Rockets
DATE TM LN ML SC
03/09/23
OHIO
BALLST
57.5
-0.4
-41
-43
34
27
03/03/23
TOLEDO
BALLST
248.0
11.9
-324
+263
134
125
02/28/23
BALLST
AKRON
150.3
-10.3
+368
-488
90
94
02/25/23
BALLST
EMICH
75.6
1.9
-167
+132
34
37
02/21/23
KENTST
BALLST
89.4
1.2
-102
+85
44
52
02/18/23
BALLST
WMICH
217.2
11.2
-517
+403
102
116
02/14/23
NILL
BALLST
235.9
-18.7
+804
-1154
125
142
02/11/23
BOWLGR
BALLST
155.3
-9.4
+347
-455
75
97
02/07/23
BALLST
CMICH
119.2
6.3
-364
+279
56
44
01/31/23
BALLST
BOWLGR
162.8
2.2
-143
+117
73
63
DATE TM LN ML SC
03/14/23
TOLEDO
MICH
250.5
-9.2
+319
-400
123
138
03/11/23
KENTST
TOLEDO
141.7
-1.0
-105
-105
88
74
03/10/23
OHIO
TOLEDO
270.9
-9.2
+322
-402
125
137
03/09/23
MIAOH
TOLEDO
58.7
-5.3
+282
-470
29
35
03/03/23
TOLEDO
BALLST
248.0
11.9
-324
+263
134
125
02/28/23
TOLEDO
CMICH
157.8
16.2
-1777
+944
107
70
02/25/23
BUF
TOLEDO
82.3
-5.7
+238
-336
35
50
02/21/23
AKRON
TOLEDO
94.1
-2.5
+97
-118
40
53
02/18/23
TOLEDO
BOWLGR
245.6
14.2
-729
+540
136
128
02/14/23
MIAOH
TOLEDO
254.6
-26.0
+1567
-3205
116
145
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Ball State Cardinals

The Ball State Cardinals come into conference play in the MAC with a 9-4 record. They have won five straight games coming into this matchup, all of which came against Division I competition. Here, the Cardinals will need their defense to come to play against one of the more efficient offensive teams in all of college basketball.

Fortunately, defense is what Ball State has done best all season long. They rank third in the MAC in points allowed this season, sitting behind Akron and Kent State in that department. Against the top scoring team in the MAC, Ball State cannot afford a bad night on the defensive end of the floor.

Toledo Rockets

The Toledo Rockets are also 9-4 coming into their MAC opener on Tuesday night. They have reached that record much differently than Ball State has, relying on their offense to blow past their opponents. In this game, the Rockets will look to continue to do so against one of the top defensive teams in their conference.

For Toledo, Rayj Dennis has been the catalyst for their offense in non-conference play. He has averaged 19.1 points per game on 45% shooting, and a similarly efficient night will help Toledo get a win in their first conference game of the year.

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Tags: Ball State Cardinals, toledo rockets
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