Brendan Allen vs Jacob Malkoun Fight Odds
Brendan Allen -300 vs Jacob Malkoun
Fight is at 185 lbs and is -225 to end inside the distance.
I do not know precisely what it is, but the UFC is hesitating to give Brendan Allen the types of fights he deserves. He is likely not complaining as taking home win purses is good for him. That said, I would be surprised to see him fight in this type of matchup any time soon after Saturday night.
Allen’s striking continues to catch up with his grappling prowess, and that will be progressively bad news for the remainder of the middleweight division. Allen of course is phenomenal on the mat, and he knows how to secure submissions in MMA. He has five ground finishes just under the UFC banner, and the 26 year old will only continue to improve. I am looking for a disadvantage that Allen might face in this matchup and coming up empty.
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Jacob Malkoun is a wrestler that is coming off a pair of wrestling heavy wins. He had wrestling success against poor defensive wrestlers in those matchups. He now gets a massive step up in competition, and frankly, one he is not ready for. Malkoun’s striking leaves something to be desired, and we have already seen him knocked out in the octagon. Malkoun will be at a large striking disadvantage, which will likely see him resort to his wrestling. That is perhaps a bigger problem as Allen is the superior grappler. It will not be difficult for Allen to either return to his feet, or perhaps more likely, realistically threaten submissions. The paths to victory for Malkoun are limited to none, and the betting line simply does not reflect that fact.
Allen simply outclasses Malkoun as an overall fighter by a large margin. Allen has real counters for Malkoun’s strengths and the same cannot be said for Malkoun. The real dilemma is whether to take Allen on the flat line of -300 or get aggressive with the +100 ITD line. When I started this piece a day and a half ago, the Allen line was -260. The MMA community is hip to how favorable a matchup this is for Allen. While a finish is probably more likely than not, a victory in some capacity for Allen should be the takeaway. With that being the case, we will take Allen at the -260 flat price tag.
Betting Pick: Allen -260
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