Rockets vs Trail Blazers
The early portion of the NBA season has been quite kind. I am yet to have a losing pick this season. That outcome is in large part to the Trail Blazers home/road split. We are going back to that well to keep the streak rolling.
The Rockets are one of the worst teams in the league, entering with a 1-10 record. That checks in as second worst in the league. The Trail Blazers are not much better, checking in at 5-7 overall. Both of these teams have a very similar trend that can be exploited in this game.
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Rockets vs Trail Blazers Betting Pick
This game will be played at Toyota Center at 8:10 PM ET on Friday, November 12th, 2021.
Why Bet The Rockets
✅ The Trail Blazers impossible road woes roll on. They are now 0-6 away from the comforts of home. Of the six games, they have only been able to be within eight points of their opponent one time. They continue to earn high marks in defensive ineptitude on the road. The Trail Blazers are the second worst team in terms of defensive efficiency and third worst in gross scoring allowed per game. It is only slightly better on offense. They are bottom third of the league in both efficiency and gross scoring. This all translates to the second worst team in the league in road scoring differential, at -12.2 per contest.
✅ The Rockets are not dissimilar to the Trail Blazers in terms of road struggles. The Rockets are 0-7 with a -9.4 road differential. Also like the Trail Blazers, they have been much better at home. While the record is just 1-3, the average differential shifts to just -4. The Rockets improve by five points per game in both defensive efficiency and scoring output allowed when shifting from road to home games. They should have no problem with scoring output on the other end, as the Trail Blazers defense is impossibly bad on the road.
✅ The predictive streak the Trail Blazers have given us is unspeakably good for sports bettors. They are consistently good at home. They are also consistently woeful on the road. A matchup with a lesser team is no matter. We are getting 6.5 points against a team that is still looking for one decent road showing. Even if the Blazers notch that win, it is highly unlikely to be a blowout.