Heat +5 (-110) over Mavericks
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- The Mavericks have lost three straight games, as it clearly takes more than a big game from Luka Doncic to win games.
- Duncan Robinson’s insertion into the starting lineup has helped the Heat be more dangerous offensively of late.
The Miami Heat will be facing off against the Dallas Mavericks on March 7, 2024, at 7:30 pm EST. Draftkings sportsbook has the Miami Heat as 4.5 point underdogs and the Dallas Mavericks as 4.5 point favorites. Currently, the Miami Heat are receiving 62% of the spread bets, while the Dallas Mavericks have 38%. The total opening at (231.5 -112) is showing a strong lean towards the over, with 83% of bets going in that direction. This matchup between the Miami Heat and the Dallas Mavericks is sure to be a thrilling and competitive game to watch.
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This Heat vs Mavericks matchup should go the way of the Miami Heat, who we like the cover the spread on the road. Miami’s defense is much better than that of the Mavs, who have been getting crushed by even the bad teams on their schedule of late. Dallas has lost three games in a row and they could very well lose this game outright as a home favorite, as they have in their last couple of contests against the 76ers and Pacers.
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NBA
Miami Heat
Dallas Mavericks
Team Stats Per Game
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DAL
82 Games 79 41.2 FG 43.6 88.7 FGA 91.8 .465 FG% .475 12.9 3Pt-FG 13.4 34.9 3Pt-FGA 36.3 .370 3Pt% .368 28.3 2Pt-FG 30.2 53.8 2Pt-FGA 55.5 .527 2Pt% .545 18.7 FT 17.1 22.8 FTA 22.3 .818 FT% .768 9.7 ORB 11.1 34.1 DRB 31.6 43.8 TRB 42.8 26.7 AST 28.0 7.8 STL 7.5 3.5 BLK 4.1 13.1 TOV 13.0 17.9 PF 20.9 114.0 PTS 117.6
MIA
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DAL
82 Games 79 41.6 FG 44.0 89.1 FGA 91.1 .467 FG% .483 13.4 3Pt-FG 15.0 38.1 3Pt-FGA 40.2 .353 3Pt% .373 28.2 2Pt-FG 29.0 51.0 2Pt-FGA 50.8 .553 2Pt% .571 15.5 FT 17.5 19.9 FTA 23.1 .780 FT% .758 9.6 ORB 9.9 34.7 DRB 30.7 44.3 TRB 40.5 27.4 AST 26.2 6.9 STL 7.0 4.9 BLK 5.0 14.2 TOV 11.7 19.6 PF 18.8 112.2 PTS 120.6 Four Factors
MIA
Four Factors
DAL
.538 eFG% .547 11.7 TOV% 11.4 21.8 RB% 73.3 .210 FT/FGA .186
MIA
Four Factors
DAL
.543 eFG% .566 12.7 TOV% 10.3 78.1 RB% 23.8 .174 FT/FGA .193 Analytics
MIA
Analytics
DAL
46 Pythag Wins 46 36 Pythag Losses 33 1.76 Margin Of Victory 2.90 114.0 O Rtg 120.6 112.2 D Rtg 117.6 96.2 Pace 98.3 .257 FTr .254 .394 3PAr .442 .578 TS% .595 Betting Trends
MIA
Betting Trends
DAL
OVERALL OVERALL 2-1-0 Win/Loss/Tie 0-3-0 1-2-0 ATS W/L/P 0-3-0 113.67 Avg Score 115.33 111 Avg Opp Score 131.67 AWAY HOME 2-1-0 Win/Loss/Tie 1-2-0 3-0-0 ATS W/L/P 1-2-0 108 Avg Score 119.67 103 Avg Opp Score 123.33
MIA
Betting Trends
DAL
OVERALL OVERALL 4-1-0 Win/Loss/Tie 1-4-0 3-2-0 ATS W/L/P 2-3-0 113.6 Avg Score 120.2 107.8 Avg Opp Score 128.2 AWAY HOME 4-1-0 Win/Loss/Tie 3-2-0 5-0-0 ATS W/L/P 2-3-0 107.8 Avg Score 117.4 101.6 Avg Opp Score 113.4
MIA
Betting Trends
DAL
OVERALL OVERALL 8-2-0 Win/Loss/Tie 5-5-0 8-2-0 ATS W/L/P 5-5-0 112.8 Avg Score 120.9 104.9 Avg Opp Score 119.5 AWAY HOME 6-4-0 Win/Loss/Tie 5-5-0 6-3-1 ATS W/L/P 3-7-0 106.5 Avg Score 120.5 105.8 Avg Opp Score 118.8 Head to Head
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