Dream -6 over Mercury
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- The Mercury are 1-10 on the road this season, with their 10 road losses coming by an average of 15.5 points per game.
- Atlanta has lost two straight games, but those both came to an elite Connecticut Sun team, so there isn’t much concern with their recent form.
- To make matters worse for the Mercury, Diana Taurasi is out for this contest due to injury, making their offense less dangerous than usual.
This WNBA season has been a nightmare for the Phoenix Mercury, as they sit in 10th place in the 12-team standings. On Tuesday, they will look to put a stop to that nightmare with a visit to the Atlanta Dream, who will be aiming to end a losing streak of their own on their home floor. In our WNBA betting picks for Tuesday, we analyze Mercury vs Dream from Atlanta.
Mercury vs Dream Betting Pick
Dream -6 over Mercury
Why Bet on the Dream:
✅ Phoenix has had a horrible season on the road so far this year, dropping 10 of their 11 games away from home, with those 10 road losses coming by an average of 15.5 points per contest.
✅ Diana Taurasi is out for this game for the Mercury, which further limits their scoring capabilities from the perimeter, even more than usual.
✅ The Dream don’t have the size to stop Brittney Griner individually, but they do have the interior depth to make things tough on her, led by Cheyenne Parker and Monique Billings.
This game will be played at Gateway Center at 7:00 PM ET on Tuesday, July 25, 2023.
Phoenix Mercury
Coming into this Mercury vs Dream matchup, the Phoenix Mercury are 6-16 and sit in 10th place in the WNBA standings. They have been a team that has been hard to beat at home lately, but very easy to beat on the road, as they enter this matchup at 1-10 away from Footprint Center. In this game, it will be the defense of the Mercury that is tested against an explosive Dream squad.
So far this year, Phoenix ranks 10th in the WNBA in defensive rating, despite the fact that they allow fewer points per game than the Dream. That is a product of the paces with which these teams play, as the Mercury play a slower pace but give up a similar amount to their foes. If the Mercury cannot figure out a way to shut down the three-point line in this contest, Atlanta could run away with this one.
Atlanta Dream
The Atlanta Dream has lost two games in a row, with both of those losses coming to the Connecticut Sun in a home-and-home series. Here, the Dream will look to take advantage of facing a much less daunting foe, in their first meeting with the Mercury this season.
While the Dream are clearly the better team in this matchup, they will still need to avoid turning the ball over and giving the Mercury a chance to hang around in this contest. They will also need to figure out a way to make Brittney Griner catch the ball further from the basket than she would like, or easy Griner buckets and foul trouble for their bigs could become an issue for Atlanta.
