Washington Commanders vs Cincinnati Bengals Odds & Picks – 9/23/2024

Commanders vs Bengals Betting Odds

Washington Commanders vs Cincinnati Bengals Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Washington Commanders vs Cincinnati Bengals Betting Preview

Monday Night Football will showcase a matchup between the Washington Commanders (1-1) and Cincinnati Bengals (0-2). Oddsmakers peg the Bengals as the huge favorite with an implied win probablity of 75%, leaving the Commanders with a 25% chance to record a win. The current spread is the Bengals -7.5 with a Game Total of 47.0.

Cincinnati's primary disadvantage has been their defense, which has allowed a monstrous 376 yards per game this year, sliding them into the #1 spot among the league's worst. They've struggled in large part because they've been unable to keep opposing offenses from moving the chains via their pass attack. Opposing QBs have thrown for the #2-most yards per game (249) against the Bengals. That kind of ineffectiveness has also leached over to their run defense, which has landed them in the #27 spot in terms of yards per carry (4.69). Opposing wide receivers have given the Bengals the most trouble, posting 10.01 yards per target (#1-worst in football). Cincinnati's defensive tackles are perhaps most responsible for their paltry pass rush this year, given that they grade out as the #8-worst unit in the NFL. When it comes to their offense, the Bengals check in at #13 in football when it comes to total yards per game. Their passing game has compiled 253 yards per game (#8 in football). Their run game has ranked #18 with 3.97 yards per attempt on the ground.

Washington's biggest weakness has been their defense, ranking #31 in the league while allowing 375 yards per game. Much of their struggle has come in trying to lock down the pass game, as they've allowed opposing QBs pass for the #2-most yards per game: 249. That's not to give any unnecessary credit to their run defense, though, which checks in at #6-worst in yards per carry (4.69). The Commanders have been at their worst when it comes to shutting down opposing wide receivers, allowing them to rack up 179 yards per game (#1-worst). Washington's worst position group in coverage has been their cornerbacks, which rank just #30 in the league in locking down route-runners. Washington's pass rush has been weak this year, being weighed down by their linebackers, which check in as just the #27-best unit in terms of getting to the passer. In terms of their offense, the Commanders have ranked #14 in the league in total yards per game. They've passed for 245 yards per game (#12 in football). On the ground they've ranked #8 with 4.3 yards per carry.

Washington Commanders vs Cincinnati Bengals Prediction

Final Score: Washington Commanders 20.12 vs Cincinnati Bengals 25.35

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