Washington Commanders vs Baltimore Ravens Betting Pick – 10/13/2024

Commanders vs Ravens Betting Odds

Washington Commanders vs Baltimore Ravens Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Washington Commanders vs Baltimore Ravens Betting Preview

The last time these two teams played each other was Week 4 in 2020. That game resulted in a win for the Ravens with a final score of 31-17.

Baltimore's primary advantage has been their offense, which ranks #3 in football at 376 yards per game. The quality of their rushing attack has led to much of their success. The Ravens 5.9 yards per carry ranks #1-best in the NFL. Given their ground game success, this has opened up opportunities through the air too; Baltimore's 7.97 yards per target puts them #6 in football. When it comes to their defense, the Ravens check in at #19 in football when it comes to total yards allowed per game. Opposing air attacks have notched 296 yards per game against Baltimore this year (#3 in football). Opposing ball-carriers have ranked #26 against them with 4.13 yards per ground attempt. This Ravens defense hits their peak effectiveness when it comes to defending opposing running backs, allowing them to complete just 70.3% of their passes (#1-lowest in the league). Baltimore's defensive effectiveness bottoms out when it comes to defending opposing wide receivers, who have scorched them for 203 yards per game (#3-worst in the league).

Washington's biggest strength has been their rushing offense, ranking #3 in the league with 5.77 yards per carry. With how successful they've been on the ground, this has opened up opportunities through the air as well; Washington has averaged 8.2 yards per target, which ranks them #3 in football. In terms of their defense, the Commanders have ranked #12 in the league in total yards allowed per game. Opposing offenses have passed for 210 yards per game through the air against them (#20 in football). On the ground, opposing ball-carriers have ranked #6 with 5.06 yards per carry. Washington has been most effective in shutting down opposing tight ends, holding them to 25 yards per game (#5-best). Positionally, perhaps their worst defensive asset has been their cornerbacks, which rank just #31 in the league in locking down route-runners.

Washington Commanders vs Baltimore Ravens Prediction

Final Score: Washington Commanders 18.74 vs Baltimore Ravens 26.04

**NOTE: The above stats and rankings are adjusted for context based on sample size and matchup factors. Note that, by design, these stats will not match up with those you find on stat pages and leaderboards around the industry, however are more predictive for ranking stats and for contextualizing the data. Statistics include data from the beginning of the 2023 NFL season to the present time in the 2024 season to allow a more representative sample size.

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