Washington Commanders at Arizona Cardinals Pick & Prediction – 9/29/2024

Commanders vs Cardinals Betting Odds

Washington Commanders vs Arizona Cardinals Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Washington Commanders vs Arizona Cardinals Betting Preview

Jayden Daniels and the Washington Commanders faceoff against Kyler Murray and the Arizona Cardinals. The Cardinals enter the game as a favorite (-175) as the home team. Arizona is currently favored by -3.5 points while the Game Total is currently sitting on 50.5.

Washington's biggest weakness has been their defense, ranking #30 in the league while allowing 364 yards per game. Much of their struggle has come in trying to lock down the pass game, as they've allowed opposing QBs pass for the #4-most yards per game: 238. That's not to give any unnecessary credit to their run defense, though, which checks in at #5-worst in yards per carry (4.75). The Commanders have been at their worst when it comes to shutting down opposing wide receivers, allowing them to rack up 172 yards per game (#2-worst). Washington's worst position group in coverage has been their cornerbacks, which rank just #31 in the league in locking down route-runners. Washington's pass rush has been weak this year, being weighed down by their linebackers, which check in as just the #29-best unit in terms of getting to the passer. In terms of their offense, the Commanders have ranked #21 in the league in total yards per game. They've passed for 231 yards per game (#16 in football). On the ground they've ranked #9 with 4.28 yards per carry.

Arizona's primary disadvantage has been their defense, which has allowed a monstrous 353 yards per game this year, sliding them into the #10 spot among the league's worst. Much of their struggle has come in trying to shut down the run game, as they've allowed opposing ball-carriers to rush for the #4-most yards per carry: 4.79. That kind of ineffectiveness has also leached over to their pass defense, which has landed them in the #30 spot in terms of yards per target (8.17). Cardinals defensive tackles are perhaps most responsible for their dismal run defense this year, given that they grade out as the #8-worst unit in the NFL. When it comes to their offense, the Cardinals check in at #24 in football when it comes to total yards per game. Their passing game has compiled 202 yards per game (#27 in football). Their run game has ranked #19 with 4.02 yards per attempt on the ground.

Washington Commanders vs Arizona Cardinals Prediction

Final Score: Washington Commanders 22.29 vs Arizona Cardinals 26.38

NOTE: The above stats and rankings are adjusted for context based on sample size and matchup factors. Note that, by design, these stats will not match up with those you find on stat pages and leaderboards around the industry, however are more predictive for ranking stats and for contextualizing the data. Statistics include data from the beginning of the 2023 NFL season to the present time in the 2024 season to allow a more representative sample size.

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