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Tennessee Titans at Washington Commanders Pick For 12/1/2024
Titans vs Commanders Betting Odds
Spread: | Tennessee Titans 5.5, Washington Commanders -5.5 |
Over/Under: | 44.5 |
Moneyline: | Tennessee Titans 205, Washington Commanders -245 |
Tennessee Titans vs Washington Commanders Win Probabilities
Implied Win %: | Projected Win %: |
Tennessee Titans - 32% | Tennessee Titans - 24% |
Washington Commanders - 68% | Washington Commanders - 76% |
Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.
Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.
Tennessee Titans vs Washington Commanders Betting Preview
Sunday the Tennessee Titans (3-8) will battle the Washington Commanders (7-5). Oddsmakers peg the Commanders as the big favorite with an implied win probablity of 68%, leaving the Titans with a 32% chance to record a win. The current spread is the Commanders -5.5 with a Game Total of 44.5.
Washington's primary advantage has been their run offense, which ranks #6 in football at 4.8 yards per carry. Given their ground game success, this has opened up opportunities through the air too; Washington's 7.66 yards per target puts them #9 in football. This presents a decided advantage for Washington given that the Titans haven't had much success in stopping the run this year, giving up 4.08 yards per carry (#27-worst in the NFL). When it comes to their defense, the Commanders check in at #17 in football when it comes to total yards allowed per game. Opposing air attacks have notched 209 yards per game against Washington this year (#27 in football). Opposing ball-carriers have ranked #8 against them with 4.85 yards per ground attempt. This Commanders pass defense hits their peak effectiveness when it comes to defending opposing running backs, keeping them in check at just 22 yards per game (#2-best in the league). Washington's defensive effectiveness bottoms out when it comes to defending opposing running backs, who have caught 88.9% of their passes, #4-highest in the league.
Tennessee's biggest strength has been their defense, ranking #2 in the league while allowing just 300 yards per game. Much of their success has been in locking down the pass game, holding opposing QBs to the #1-least yards per game: 193. That's not to take anything away from their run defense, though, which checks in at #6 in yards per carry (4.08). The Titans have done the best job shutting down opposing wide receivers, holding them to 122 yards per game (#1-best). Tennessee's best position group in coverage has been their linebackers, which rank #6 in the league in locking down route-runners. Tennessee's pass rush has been strong this year, led by their defensive ends, which check in as the #8-best unit in terms of getting to the passer. In terms of their offense, the Titans have ranked #30 in the league in total yards per game. They've passed for 196 yards per game (#30 in football). On the ground they've ranked #21 with 3.98 yards per carry.
Tennessee Titans vs Washington Commanders Prediction
Final Score: Tennessee Titans 17.02 vs Washington Commanders 24.89
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