Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Kansas City Chiefs Prediction & Picks 11/4/2024

Buccaneers vs Chiefs Betting Odds

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Kansas City Chiefs Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Kansas City Chiefs Betting Preview

The last time these two teams played was in Week 4 of 2022. That contest produced a high scoring shootout, as the Chiefs pulled off the home win 41-31. The Buccaneers entered that game as a slight road favorite. They were favored by 2.0 points before covering the spread. The Game Total for that game was 47.0 and which the Over hit.

Tampa Bay's biggest strength has been their offense, ranking #4 in the league with 335 yards per game. They've achieved offensive success largely through the quality of their passing attack, which is #2-best in football with 241 yards per game. Perhaps because the defense has to take their pass game so seriously, the Buccaneers have also managed to rush for 5.02 yards per carry, which puts them in the top 10. In terms of their defense, the Buccaneers have ranked #28 in the league in total yards allowed per game. Opposing offenses have passed for 261 yards per game through the air against them (#4 in football). On the ground, opposing ball-carriers have ranked #5 with 5.19 yards per carry. Tampa Bay has been most effective in shutting down opposing wide receivers, holding them to 7.38 yards per target (#6-best). Tampa Bay has been least effective in shutting down opposing tight ends, giving up 10.38 yards per target (#2-worst).

Kansas City's primary advantage has been their defense, which has allowed a scant 298 yards per game -- #4-best in the NFL. They've succeeded in large part due to their run defense, which has held opposing ground attacks to the #2-least yards per game: 3.57. To give credit where credit is due, their pass defense has also been terrific, checking in at #9 in yards per target (7.34). This Chiefs run defense has been aided by their safeties, who grade out as the #2-best unit in the NFL. This presents a decided advantage for Kansas City given that the Buccaneers have had so little success running the ball this year, managing a mere 5.02 yards per carry (#26-worst in the league). When it comes to their offense, the Chiefs check in at #16 in football when it comes to total yards per game. Their passing game has compiled 200 yards per game (#14 in football). Their run game has ranked #24 with 3.84 yards per attempt on the ground.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Kansas City Chiefs Prediction

Final Score: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 20.09 vs Kansas City Chiefs 25.83

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