Tampa Bay Buccaneers VS Indianapolis Colts Betting Pick & Preview – 11/26/2023

Jay Sanin on November 22nd, 2023

Buccaneers +2.5 (-110) +114

Colts -2.5 (-110) -135

Buccaneers (+114) over Colts

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Buccaneers +2.5 (-110) +114

Colts -2.5 (-110) -135

The Colts are a miserable 1-4 straight up at home so far this season.
Tampa Bay has been mediocre this season, but they are 7-3 against the spread this year and should be able to win outright as 2.5-point underdogs.

In the Buccaneers vs Colts game on Sunday, we will back the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win as moneyline underdogs. While the Colts have won two games in a row, they are just 1-4 at home on the season so far. Their home-field advantage has not translated to wins, while the Buccaneers will come out wish desperation as they hope to get a win that will keep them on pace with the rest of the leaders in the NFC South.

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NFL

Nov 26, 2023 01:00 PM

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Indianapolis Colts

Spread Pick Consensus

+2.5/-102

-2.5/-118

54% TB

IND 46%

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+122

-151

37% TB

IND 63%

Total Pick Consensus

44.5/-108

44.5/-112

20% UN

OV 80%

Team Stats

Offense/Defense

TB	Team Stats	IND
14	G	14
403	PTs	329
28.8	PPG	23.5
5437	YDS	5125
388.4	YDS/G	366.1
46	TD	34
3.3	TD/G	2.4
47.0	SC%	38.0
13.2	TO%	13.3

Defense/Offense

TB	Team Stats	IND
14	G	14
326	PTs	280
23.3	PPG	20
4997	YDS	4359
356.9	YDS/G	311.4
35	TD	29
2.5	TD/G	2.1
39.7	SC%	33.5
10.6	TO%	15.8

Passing

Offense/Defense

TB	Passing	IND
329	CMP	318
464	ATT	456
70.9	CMP%	69.7
244	YDS/GM	224.4
7.8	Y/A	7.4
6.9	NY/A	6.4
14	INT	12
33	SK	33

Defense/Offense

TB	Passing	IND
351	CMP	233
525	ATT	424
66.9	CMP%	55.0
247.7	YDS/GM	190.4
7.1	Y/A	6.8
6.2	NY/A	5.9
7	INT	16
38	SK	26

Rushing

Offense/Defense

TB	Rushing	IND
14	G	14
389	ATT	445
2021	YDS	1983
144.4	Y/G	141.6
5.2	Y/A	4.5
14	TD	14
1	TD/G	1

Defense/Offense

TB	Rushing	IND
14	G	14
337	ATT	379
1529	YDS	1693
109.2	Y/G	120.9
4.5	Y/A	4.5
12	TD	13
0.9	TD/G	0.9

Special Teams

Offense/Defense

TB	Special Teams	IND
14	Punts/Ret	27
127	Punt/Yds	367
9.1	Punt/Y/R	13.6
25	Kick Off/Ret	10
644	Kick Off/Yds	283
25.8	Kick Off/Y/rt	28.3

Defense/Offense

TB	Special Teams	IND
18	Punts/Ret	20
243	Punt/Yds	219
13.5	Punt/Y/R	11.0
22	Kick Off/Ret	18
607	Kick Off/Yds	517
27.6	Kick Off/Y/rt	28.7

Scoring

Offense/Defense

TB	Scoring	IND
14	G	14
14	RshTD	14
32	RecTD	20
25	FGM	26
27	FGA	33
28.8	Pts/G	23.5

Defense/Offense

TB	Scoring	IND
14	G	14
12	RshTD	13
23	RecTD	16
25	FGM	24
35	FGA	27
23.3	Pts/G	20.0

Team Advanced Defense

TB	Defense	IND
32.7%	Bltz%	18.4%
6.0%	Hrry%	8.9%
11.2%	QB Hit%	8.1%
22.3%	QB Prss%	22.5%

Open

Current

Book

IND

Consensus

+1.5 -106

-1.5 -108

+2.5 -106

-2.5 -116

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+1.0 -115

-1.0 -110

+3.0 -115

-3.0 -105

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Open

Current

Book

IND

Consensus

+100

-119

+122

-151

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+120

-145

+125

-150

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Open

Current

Book

Over

Under

Over

Under

Consensus

41.5 -117

41.5 -108

44.5 -112

44.5 -110

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42.5 -110

44.5 -110

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42.0 -110

44.5 -112

44.5 -109

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42.0 -110

44.5 -110

—-

42.0 -110

44.5 -110

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42.5 -110

44.5 -110

Injuries

Name	Position	Injury	Status	Updated
Brandon Walton	OL	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/26/23
Cam Gill	OLB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/26/23
Carlton Davis III	CB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/26/23
Chris Godwin	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/24/23
Devin White	LB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/26/23
Jamel Dean	CB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/26/23
John Wolford	QB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/26/23
Ke'Shawn Vaughn	RB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/26/23
Lavonte David	LB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/26/23
Logan Hall	DL	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/26/23
Matt Feiler	G	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/22/23
Mike Greene	DL	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/26/23
Rachaad White	RB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/26/23
Rakim Jarrett	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/26/23
Robert Hainsey	C	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/24/23
Russell Gage	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/26/23
Ryan Jensen	C	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/26/23
Ryan Neal	S	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/23/23
Silas Dzansi	OL	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/26/23
Tristan Wirfs	OT	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/23/23

Name	Position	Injury	Status	Updated
Anthony Richardson	QB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/26/23
Arlington Hambright	G	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/26/23
Ashton Dulin	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/26/23
Cameron McGrone	LB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/26/23
Dallis Flowers	CB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/26/23
Daniel Scott	S	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/26/23
Danny Pinter	G	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/26/23
Drew Ogletree	TE	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/26/23
Evan Hull	RB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/26/23
Genard Avery	DE	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/26/23
Grant Stuard	LB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/26/23
Grover Stewart	DT	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/26/23
Isaac Taylor-Stuart	CB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/26/23
Jake Witt	OT	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/26/23
Jelani Woods	TE	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/26/23
JuJu Brents	CB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/26/23
Juwann Winfree	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/26/23
Kwity Paye	DE	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/22/23
Rodney Thomas II	S	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/24/23
Ryan Kelly	C	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/26/23
Titus Leo	DE	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/26/23

Betting Trends

TB	Betting Trends	IND
OVERALL		OVERALL
1-2-0	Win/Loss/Tie	2-1-0
3-0-0	ATS W/L/P	2-1-0
23.67	Avg Score	21.33
24	Avg Opp Score	19
AWAY		HOME
0-3-0	Win/Loss/Tie	1-2-0
3-0-0	ATS W/L/P	2-1-0
23	Avg Score	29.33
30	Avg Opp Score	31

TB	Betting Trends	IND
OVERALL		OVERALL
1-4-0	Win/Loss/Tie	2-3-0
4-1-0	ATS W/L/P	3-2-0
20.4	Avg Score	24.4
22.4	Avg Opp Score	26.6
AWAY		HOME
2-3-0	Win/Loss/Tie	1-4-0
5-0-0	ATS W/L/P	2-3-0
23	Avg Score	26.4
23.2	Avg Opp Score	30.6

TB	Betting Trends	IND
OVERALL		OVERALL
4-6-0	Win/Loss/Tie	5-5-0
7-3-0	ATS W/L/P	6-4-0
19.2	Avg Score	24.2
20	Avg Opp Score	24.8
AWAY		HOME
3-7-0	Win/Loss/Tie	1-9-0
5-5-0	ATS W/L/P	3-7-0
17.8	Avg Score	21.5
24.1	Avg Opp Score	26.3

Head to Head

DATE	TM	LN	ML	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	OT	SC
11/28/21	TB IND	53.5 3	-153 +130	0 3	14 21	14 0	10 7	0 0	38 31
12/08/19	IND TB	46.5 -3	+144 -175	10 14	17 7	8 7	0 10	0 0	35 38
11/29/15	TB IND	46 -3	N/A N/A	3 3	9 3	0 13	0 6	0 0	12 25
10/03/11	IND TB	40 -10	N/A N/A	3 0	7 7	7 10	0 7	0 0	17 24
10/07/07	TB IND	45 -9.5	N/A N/A	0 7	7 9	0 7	7 10	0 0	14 33
10/06/03	IND TB	37.5 -4	N/A N/A	0 14	0 7	7 7	28 7	3 0	38 35
11/02/97	TB IND	36.5 5.5	N/A N/A	7 3	14 7	0 11	10 7	0 0	31 28
09/11/94	IND TB	37.5 -2.5	N/A N/A	0 7	3 3	7 7	0 7	0 0	10 24
10/04/92	IND TB	34.5 -9.5	N/A N/A	7 7	0 7	10 0	7 0	0 0	24 14
12/22/91	IND TB	35 -6	N/A N/A	0 0	3 7	0 7	0 3	0 0	3 17

Teams Last 10

DATE	TM	SC	LN	TOP	RA-YDS	C-ATT-YDS
12/15/24	TB LAC	14 2	0.4 15.8	36:48 23:12	13-77 1-11	3-3-97 3-12-60
12/08/24	LV TB	7 20	33.8 -4.7	31:30 28:30	18-65 19-109	17-27-140 13-21-193
12/01/24	TB CAR	17 15	-4.2 29.5	39:31 27:39	25-151 13-50	14-22-134 17-29-185
11/24/24	TB NYG	23 4	-4.5 30.2	33:59 26:01	24-119 15-57	18-23-222 17-24-128
11/10/24	SF TB	24 21	52.6 7.2	31:48 28:12	23-79 28-116	26-38-356 19-31-110
11/04/24	TB KC	17 21	4.0 31.4	25:10 40:42	13-66 24-86	16-21-130 23-30-179
10/27/24	ATL TB	46 38	70.0 3.3	27:26 32:34	43-190 32-150	34-43-390 55-74-486
10/21/24	BAL TB	26 19	31.7 1.7	24:55 35:05	19-152 19-78	11-14-164 19-28-221
10/13/24	TB NO	72 38	-4.9 59.8	34:02 25:58	49-389 30-114	34-51-446 31-56-312
10/03/24	TB ATL	17 20	0.8 24.1	27:38 33:37	14-89 6-41	11-13-96 23-33-265

DATE	TM	SC	LN	TOP	RA-YDS	C-ATT-YDS
12/15/24	IND DEN	2 11	0.5 15.0	31:32 28:28	11-51 3-25	2-13-55 2-11-42
12/01/24	IND NE	16 15	26.3 1.0	25:48 34:12	22-92 20-128	5-15-70 15-19-142
11/24/24	DET IND	18 3	38.2 4.0	37:01 22:59	25-104 16-73	20-27-191 6-21-130
11/17/24	IND NYJ	3 3	13.2 -1.2	34:17 25:43	11-28 2-28	2-3-74 2-3-50
11/10/24	BUF IND	32 21	49.4 5.0	32:08 27:52	33-142 23-127	23-39-295 27-37-252
11/03/24	IND MIN	6 14	32.4 -3.8	23:06 36:54	13-47 22-92	11-19-110 20-24-195
10/27/24	IND HOU	29 34	10.8 66.3	24:40 35:20	38-240 43-141	15-47-206 37-55-393
10/20/24	MIA IND	4 6	1.2 27.4	31:11 28:49	25-117 23-96	6-16-93 4-15-80
10/13/24	IND TEN	28 24	58.3 -3.5	29:28 30:32	39-112 39-205	31-53-266 22-38-134
10/06/24	IND JAX	19 21	24.7 -1.9	31:32 28:28	11-55 13-70	19-25-193 16-19-206

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Tags: Indianapolis Colts, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

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