Tampa Bay Buccaneers VS Indianapolis Colts Betting Pick & Preview – 11/26/2023

Jay Sanin on November 22nd, 2023

Buccaneers +2.5 (-110) +114

Colts -2.5 (-110) -135

Buccaneers (+114) over Colts

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Buccaneers +2.5 (-110) +114

Colts -2.5 (-110) -135

The Colts are a miserable 1-4 straight up at home so far this season.
Tampa Bay has been mediocre this season, but they are 7-3 against the spread this year and should be able to win outright as 2.5-point underdogs.

In the Buccaneers vs Colts game on Sunday, we will back the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win as moneyline underdogs. While the Colts have won two games in a row, they are just 1-4 at home on the season so far. Their home-field advantage has not translated to wins, while the Buccaneers will come out wish desperation as they hope to get a win that will keep them on pace with the rest of the leaders in the NFC South.

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NFL

Nov 26, 2023 01:00 PM

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Indianapolis Colts

Spread Pick Consensus

+2.5/-102

-2.5/-118

54% TB

IND 46%

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+122

-151

37% TB

IND 63%

Total Pick Consensus

44.5/-108

44.5/-112

20% UN

OV 80%

Team Stats

Offense/Defense

TB	Team Stats	IND
17	G	17
502	PTs	427
29.5	PPG	25.1
6793	YDS	6140
399.6	YDS/G	361.2
57	TD	45
3.4	TD/G	2.6
48.1	SC%	38.3
12.7	TO%	12.8

Defense/Offense

TB	Team Stats	IND
17	G	17
385	PTs	377
22.6	PPG	22.2
5810	YDS	5692
341.8	YDS/G	334.8
40	TD	40
2.4	TD/G	2.4
40.1	SC%	36.6
8.8	TO%	14.9

Passing

Offense/Defense

TB	Passing	IND
408	CMP	378
571	ATT	545
71.5	CMP%	69.4
250.4	YDS/GM	229.4
7.9	Y/A	7.6
7.0	NY/A	6.7
16	INT	16
40	SK	36

Defense/Offense

TB	Passing	IND
418	CMP	289
630	ATT	513
66.3	CMP%	56.3
243.9	YDS/GM	197.7
7.1	Y/A	7.0
6.1	NY/A	6.2
7	INT	19
46	SK	32

Rushing

Offense/Defense

TB	Rushing	IND
17	G	17
483	ATT	531
2536	YDS	2241
149.2	Y/G	131.8
5.3	Y/A	4.2
16	TD	18
0.9	TD/G	1.1

Defense/Offense

TB	Rushing	IND
17	G	17
389	ATT	496
1663	YDS	2331
97.8	Y/G	137.1
4.3	Y/A	4.7
13	TD	20
0.8	TD/G	1.2

Special Teams

Offense/Defense

TB	Special Teams	IND
21	Punts/Ret	32
159	Punt/Yds	405
7.6	Punt/Y/R	12.7
31	Kick Off/Ret	13
816	Kick Off/Yds	452
26.3	Kick Off/Y/rt	34.8

Defense/Offense

TB	Special Teams	IND
21	Punts/Ret	26
272	Punt/Yds	256
13.0	Punt/Y/R	9.8
23	Kick Off/Ret	22
626	Kick Off/Yds	644
27.2	Kick Off/Y/rt	29.3

Scoring

Offense/Defense

TB	Scoring	IND
17	G	17
16	RshTD	18
41	RecTD	27
30	FGM	30
32	FGA	38
29.5	Pts/G	25.1

Defense/Offense

TB	Scoring	IND
17	G	17
13	RshTD	20
27	RecTD	20
33	FGM	31
44	FGA	37
22.6	Pts/G	22.2

Team Advanced Defense

TB	Defense	IND
34.2%	Bltz%	17.5%
8.6%	Hrry%	7.7%
10.5%	QB Hit%	8.1%
24.3%	QB Prss%	20.8%

Open

Current

Book

IND

Consensus

+1.5 -106

-1.5 -108

+2.5 -106

-2.5 -116

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+1.0 -115

-1.0 -110

+3.0 -115

-3.0 -105

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Open

Current

Book

IND

Consensus

+100

-119

+122

-151

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+120

-145

+125

-150

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Open

Current

Book

Over

Under

Over

Under

Consensus

41.5 -117

41.5 -108

44.5 -112

44.5 -110

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42.5 -110

44.5 -110

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42.0 -110

44.5 -112

44.5 -109

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42.0 -110

44.5 -110

—-

42.0 -110

44.5 -110

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42.5 -110

44.5 -110

Injuries

Name	Position	Injury	Status	Updated
Brandon Walton	OL	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/26/23
Cam Gill	OLB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/26/23
Carlton Davis III	CB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/26/23
Chris Godwin	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/24/23
Devin White	LB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/26/23
Jamel Dean	CB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/26/23
John Wolford	QB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/26/23
Ke'Shawn Vaughn	RB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/26/23
Lavonte David	LB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/26/23
Logan Hall	DL	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/26/23
Matt Feiler	G	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/22/23
Mike Greene	DL	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/26/23
Rachaad White	RB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/26/23
Rakim Jarrett	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/26/23
Robert Hainsey	C	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/24/23
Russell Gage	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/26/23
Ryan Jensen	C	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/26/23
Ryan Neal	S	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/23/23
Silas Dzansi	OL	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/26/23
Tristan Wirfs	OT	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/23/23

Name	Position	Injury	Status	Updated
Anthony Richardson	QB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/26/23
Arlington Hambright	G	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/26/23
Ashton Dulin	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/26/23
Cameron McGrone	LB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/26/23
Dallis Flowers	CB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/26/23
Daniel Scott	S	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/26/23
Danny Pinter	G	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/26/23
Drew Ogletree	TE	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/26/23
Evan Hull	RB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/26/23
Genard Avery	DE	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/26/23
Grant Stuard	LB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/26/23
Grover Stewart	DT	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/26/23
Isaac Taylor-Stuart	CB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/26/23
Jake Witt	OT	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/26/23
Jelani Woods	TE	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/26/23
JuJu Brents	CB	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/26/23
Juwann Winfree	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/26/23
Kwity Paye	DE	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/22/23
Rodney Thomas II	S	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/24/23
Ryan Kelly	C	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/26/23
Titus Leo	DE	Scrambled	Scrambled	11/26/23

Betting Trends

TB	Betting Trends	IND
OVERALL		OVERALL
1-2-0	Win/Loss/Tie	2-1-0
3-0-0	ATS W/L/P	2-1-0
23.67	Avg Score	21.33
24	Avg Opp Score	19
AWAY		HOME
0-3-0	Win/Loss/Tie	1-2-0
3-0-0	ATS W/L/P	2-1-0
23	Avg Score	29.33
30	Avg Opp Score	31

TB	Betting Trends	IND
OVERALL		OVERALL
1-4-0	Win/Loss/Tie	2-3-0
4-1-0	ATS W/L/P	3-2-0
20.4	Avg Score	24.4
22.4	Avg Opp Score	26.6
AWAY		HOME
2-3-0	Win/Loss/Tie	1-4-0
5-0-0	ATS W/L/P	2-3-0
23	Avg Score	26.4
23.2	Avg Opp Score	30.6

TB	Betting Trends	IND
OVERALL		OVERALL
4-6-0	Win/Loss/Tie	5-5-0
7-3-0	ATS W/L/P	6-4-0
19.2	Avg Score	24.2
20	Avg Opp Score	24.8
AWAY		HOME
3-7-0	Win/Loss/Tie	1-9-0
5-5-0	ATS W/L/P	3-7-0
17.8	Avg Score	21.5
24.1	Avg Opp Score	26.3

Head to Head

DATE	TM	LN	ML	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	OT	SC
11/28/21	TB IND	53.5 3	-153 +130	0 3	14 21	14 0	10 7	0 0	38 31
12/08/19	IND TB	46.5 -3	+144 -175	10 14	17 7	8 7	0 10	0 0	35 38
11/29/15	TB IND	46 -3	N/A N/A	3 3	9 3	0 13	0 6	0 0	12 25
10/03/11	IND TB	40 -10	N/A N/A	3 0	7 7	7 10	0 7	0 0	17 24
10/07/07	TB IND	45 -9.5	N/A N/A	0 7	7 9	0 7	7 10	0 0	14 33
10/06/03	IND TB	37.5 -4	N/A N/A	0 14	0 7	7 7	28 7	3 0	38 35
11/02/97	TB IND	36.5 5.5	N/A N/A	7 3	14 7	0 11	10 7	0 0	31 28
09/11/94	IND TB	37.5 -2.5	N/A N/A	0 7	3 3	7 7	0 7	0 0	10 24
10/04/92	IND TB	34.5 -9.5	N/A N/A	7 7	0 7	10 0	7 0	0 0	24 14
12/22/91	IND TB	35 -6	N/A N/A	0 0	3 7	0 7	0 3	0 0	3 17

Teams Last 10

DATE	TM	SC	LN	TOP	RA-YDS	C-ATT-YDS
01/12/25	WAS TB	35 31	7.0 78.9	35:26 24:34	51-126 38-155	37-54-411 23-28-280
01/05/25	NO TB	13 18	29.9 -10.1	27:44 32:16	13-43 21-120	17-28-153 14-22-145
12/29/24	CAR TB	16 54	53.7 -11.3	18:49 41:11	15-44 45-228	17-32-187 31-36-395
12/22/24	TB DAL	24 26	-4.6 47.8	32:48 27:12	23-136 20-31	31-44-280 26-36-291
12/15/24	TB LAC	14 2	0.4 15.8	36:48 23:12	13-77 1-11	3-3-97 3-12-60
12/08/24	LV TB	7 20	33.8 -4.7	31:30 28:30	18-65 19-109	17-27-140 13-21-193
12/01/24	TB CAR	17 15	-4.2 29.5	39:31 27:39	25-151 13-50	14-22-134 17-29-185
11/24/24	TB NYG	23 4	-4.5 30.2	33:59 26:01	24-119 15-57	18-23-222 17-24-128
11/10/24	SF TB	24 21	52.6 7.2	31:48 28:12	23-79 28-116	26-38-356 19-31-110
11/04/24	TB KC	17 21	4.0 31.4	25:10 40:42	13-66 24-86	16-21-130 23-30-179

DATE	TM	SC	LN	TOP	RA-YDS	C-ATT-YDS
01/05/25	JAX IND	15 17	1.6 30.9	30:51 35:58	23-76 23-119	13-22-138 15-27-169
12/29/24	IND NYG	37 51	45.8 9.6	33:23 26:37	37-143 34-90	29-43-362 19-26-349
12/22/24	TEN IND	30 39	4.1 43.2	26:59 33:01	22-66 51-340	23-35-246 7-11-125
12/15/24	IND DEN	2 11	0.5 15.0	31:32 28:28	11-51 3-25	2-13-55 2-11-42
12/01/24	IND NE	16 15	26.3 1.0	25:48 34:12	22-92 20-128	5-15-70 15-19-142
11/24/24	DET IND	18 3	38.2 4.0	37:01 22:59	25-104 16-73	20-27-191 6-21-130
11/17/24	IND NYJ	3 3	13.2 -1.2	34:17 25:43	11-28 2-28	2-3-74 2-3-50
11/10/24	BUF IND	32 21	49.4 5.0	32:08 27:52	33-142 23-127	23-39-295 27-37-252
11/03/24	IND MIN	6 14	32.4 -3.8	23:06 36:54	13-47 22-92	11-19-110 20-24-195
10/27/24	IND HOU	29 34	10.8 66.3	24:40 35:20	38-240 43-141	15-47-206 37-55-393

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Tags: Indianapolis Colts, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

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