Tampa Bay Buccaneers VS Atlanta Falcons Betting Pick & Preview – 12/10/2023

Jay Sanin on December 7th, 2023

Buccaneers +105

Falcons -125

Falcons -1.5 (-110) over Buccaneers

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Buccaneers +105

Falcons -125

Atlanta thoroughly outplayed the Buccaneers in their first meeting during the regular season and the Falcons should do the same again in this contest.
The defense of the Falcons really clamped down on Baker Mayfield in that first game and the Atlanta defense will be the deciding factor in this contest as well.

In Week 14, Buccaneers vs Falcons will be a huge game in the race for the NFC South title. Expect the Falcons to win that game and cover the spread at home, as they should outplay the Bucs for the second time this season. Atlanta’s defense was great in Tampa Bay earlier this year, while Desmond Ridder was as effective as he has been all season in that contest as well. Expect those things to happen again in Atlanta to help the Falcons get a huge division win.

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NFL

Dec 10, 2023 01:00 PM

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Atlanta Falcons

Spread Pick Consensus

+1.5/-108

-1.5/-112

65% TB

ATL 35%

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+105

-127

48% TB

ATL 52%

Total Pick Consensus

41.5/-110

41.5/-110

26% UN

OV 74%

Team Stats

Offense/Defense

TB	Team Stats	ATL
10	G	11
279	PTs	274
27.9	PPG	24.9
3615	YDS	3928
361.5	YDS/G	357.1
32	TD	27
3.2	TD/G	2.5
44.9	SC%	47.7
11.2	TO%	8.3

Defense/Offense

TB	Team Stats	ATL
10	G	11
266	PTs	244
26.6	PPG	22.2
3893	YDS	3977
389.3	YDS/G	361.5
29	TD	25
2.9	TD/G	2.3
45.3	SC%	38.9
9.4	TO%	11.5

Passing

Offense/Defense

TB	Passing	ATL
243	CMP	270
344	ATT	377
70.6	CMP%	71.6
236.2	YDS/GM	229.9
7.3	Y/A	6.9
6.4	NY/A	6.5
9	INT	7
24	SK	10

Defense/Offense

TB	Passing	ATL
258	CMP	248
376	ATT	366
68.6	CMP%	67.8
264.1	YDS/GM	243.6
7.5	Y/A	7.8
6.5	NY/A	6.9
5	INT	9
28	SK	24

Rushing

Offense/Defense

TB	Rushing	ATL
10	G	11
253	ATT	316
1253	YDS	1399
125.3	Y/G	127.2
5.0	Y/A	4.4
8	TD	6
0.8	TD/G	0.5

Defense/Offense

TB	Rushing	ATL
10	G	11
260	ATT	290
1252	YDS	1297
125.2	Y/G	117.9
4.8	Y/A	4.5
9	TD	8
0.9	TD/G	0.7

Special Teams

Offense/Defense

TB	Special Teams	ATL
11	Punts/Ret	19
99	Punt/Yds	258
9.0	Punt/Y/R	13.6
16	Kick Off/Ret	22
455	Kick Off/Yds	602
28.4	Kick Off/Y/rt	27.4

Defense/Offense

TB	Special Teams	ATL
13	Punts/Ret	13
195	Punt/Yds	129
15.0	Punt/Y/R	9.9
12	Kick Off/Ret	21
333	Kick Off/Yds	540
27.8	Kick Off/Y/rt	25.7

Scoring

Offense/Defense

TB	Scoring	ATL
10	G	11
8	RshTD	6
24	RecTD	21
16	FGM	25
17	FGA	25
27.9	Pts/G	24.9

Defense/Offense

TB	Scoring	ATL
10	G	11
9	RshTD	8
20	RecTD	17
19	FGM	19
27	FGA	26
26.6	Pts/G	22.2

Team Advanced Defense

TB	Defense	ATL
29.1%	Bltz%	22.7%
6.8%	Hrry%	8.0%
9.3%	QB Hit%	8.0%
21.4%	QB Prss%	17.6%

Open

Current

Book

ATL

Consensus

+2.0 -112

-2.0 -110

+1.5 -112

-1.5 -110

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+2.5 -110

-2.5 -110

+1.5 -110

-1.5 -110

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Open

Current

Book

ATL

Consensus

+107

-131

+105

-127

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+110

-130

+105

-125

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Open

Current

Book

Over

Under

Over

Under

Consensus

40.0 -110

41.5 -110

41.5 -112

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40.0 -110

41.5 -110

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40.0 -110

41.5 -110

Second chance bet up to $500

40.5 -110

41.5 -108

41.5 -113

$1,000 First Bet on Caesars

40.5 -110

41.5 -110

—-

40.5 -110

41.5 -110

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39.0 -110

41.5 -110

Injuries

Name	Position	Injury	Status	Updated
Brandon Walton	OL	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/10/23
Cody Mauch	G	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/08/23
Devin White	LB	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/10/23
Jamel Dean	CB	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/10/23
J.J. Russell	ILB	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/07/23
John Wolford	QB	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/10/23
Josh Hayes	DB	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/08/23
Keenan Isaac	CB	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/10/23
Ke'Shawn Vaughn	RB	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/10/23
K.J. Britt	LB	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/10/23
Lavonte David	LB	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/07/23
Mike Greene	DL	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/10/23
Rakim Jarrett	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/10/23
Robert Hainsey	C	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/08/23
Russell Gage	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/10/23
Ryan Jensen	C	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/10/23
Silas Dzansi	OL	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/10/23
SirVocea Dennis	LB	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/07/23
Tristan Wirfs	OT	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/08/23
Vita Vea	NT	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/10/23

Name	Position	Injury	Status	Updated
Adetokunbo Ogundeji	OLB	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/10/23
A.J. Terrell	CB	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/10/23
Avery Williams	RB	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/10/23
Barry Wesley	OL	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/10/23
David Onyemata	DL	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/10/23
Drew Dalman	OL	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/10/23
Ethan Greenidge	OT	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/10/23
Feleipe Franks	TE	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/10/23
Grady Jarrett	DL	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/10/23
Ikenna Enechukwu	DL	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/10/23
Jacob Saylors	RB	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/10/23
Jeff Okudah	CB	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/10/23
Joe Gaziano	DL	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/10/23
Josh Ali	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/10/23
Kaleb McGary	OT	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/10/23
LaCale London	DL	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/10/23
Logan Woodside	QB	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/10/23
Mack Hollins	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/10/23
Matt Hennessy	OL	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/10/23
Mike Hughes	CB	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/10/23
Nate Landman	ILB	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/10/23
Troy Andersen	ILB	Scrambled	Scrambled	12/10/23

Betting Trends

TB	Betting Trends	ATL
OVERALL		OVERALL
1-2-0	Win/Loss/Tie	2-1-0
1-2-0	ATS W/L/P	2-1-0
18.33	Avg Score	20
24	Avg Opp Score	16
AWAY		HOME
0-3-0	Win/Loss/Tie	1-2-0
2-1-0	ATS W/L/P	1-2-0
23.67	Avg Score	22.67
31	Avg Opp Score	23.33

TB	Betting Trends	ATL
OVERALL		OVERALL
2-3-0	Win/Loss/Tie	2-3-0
3-2-0	ATS W/L/P	2-3-0
22.4	Avg Score	22.2
23.4	Avg Opp Score	21.4
AWAY		HOME
1-4-0	Win/Loss/Tie	3-2-0
4-1-0	ATS W/L/P	1-4-0
23	Avg Score	22.8
25.2	Avg Opp Score	22.6

TB	Betting Trends	ATL
OVERALL		OVERALL
3-7-0	Win/Loss/Tie	4-6-0
5-5-0	ATS W/L/P	3-7-0
18.6	Avg Score	17.7
21.1	Avg Opp Score	20.6
AWAY		HOME
3-7-0	Win/Loss/Tie	7-3-0
5-5-0	ATS W/L/P	4-6-0
19.5	Avg Score	23.1
24.7	Avg Opp Score	20.2

Head to Head

DATE	TM	LN	ML	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	OT	SC
10/22/23	ATL TB	37.5 -2.5	+125 -153	7 7	3 3	3 0	3 3	0 0	16 13
01/08/23	TB ATL	40.5 -6	+207 -251	7 10	10 0	0 10	0 10	0 0	17 30
10/09/22	ATL TB	46.5 -10	+383 -506	0 0	0 13	0 8	15 0	0 0	15 21
12/05/21	TB ATL	50.5 11	-537 +406	13 7	7 10	7 0	3 0	0 0	30 17
09/19/21	ATL TB	52 -13	+543 -756	0 7	10 14	15 7	0 20	0 0	25 48
01/03/21	ATL TB	50.5 -7	+269 -339	3 10	7 13	10 0	7 21	0 0	27 44
12/20/20	TB ATL	49.5 6	-285 +233	0 7	0 10	21 7	10 3	0 0	31 27
12/29/19	ATL TB	48 -1	-105 -116	10 0	6 22	0 0	6 0	6 0	28 22
11/24/19	TB ATL	51.5 -3.5	+152 -185	7 10	12 0	6 3	10 9	0 0	35 22
12/30/18	ATL TB	52 2.5	-140 +130	0 7	7 10	17 3	10 12	0 0	34 32

Teams Last 10

DATE	TM	SC	LN	TOP	RA-YDS	C-ATT-YDS
11/24/24	TB NYG	23 4	-4.5 30.2	33:59 26:01	24-118 15-57	18-23-222 17-24-128
11/10/24	SF TB	24 21	52.6 7.2	31:48 28:12	23-79 28-116	26-38-356 19-31-110
11/04/24	TB KC	17 21	4.0 31.4	25:10 40:42	13-66 24-86	16-21-130 23-30-179
10/27/24	ATL TB	46 38	70.0 3.3	27:26 32:34	43-190 32-150	34-43-390 55-74-486
10/21/24	BAL TB	26 19	31.7 1.7	24:55 35:05	19-152 19-78	11-14-164 19-28-221
10/13/24	TB NO	72 38	-4.9 59.8	34:02 25:58	49-389 30-114	34-51-446 31-56-312
10/03/24	TB ATL	17 20	0.8 24.1	27:38 33:37	14-89 6-41	11-13-96 23-33-265
09/29/24	PHI TB	21 44	56.2 1.8	23:43 36:17	27-151 33-149	24-40-153 40-63-447
09/22/24	DEN TB	13 2	19.8 -2.9	32:08 27:52	14-66 4-44	12-18-105 12-16-64
09/15/24	TB DET	25 20	12.1 66.1	26:07 33:53	29-89 34-177	15-24-186 44-71-412

DATE	TM	SC	LN	TOP	RA-YDS	C-ATT-YDS
11/17/24	ATL DEN	1 12	13.7 -0.6	29:55 30:05	2-15 2-32	2-3-54 3-10-91
11/10/24	ATL NO	18 21	49.4 3.9	35:07 24:53	34-190 28-101	24-40-302 17-26-283
11/03/24	DAL ATL	14 19	1.4 35.9	30:40 29:20	14-95 21-69	21-34-166 13-17-145
10/27/24	ATL TB	46 38	70.0 3.3	27:26 32:34	43-190 32-150	34-43-390 55-74-486
10/20/24	SEA ATL	21 5	1.2 32.0	28:52 31:08	16-64 20-96	12-18-147 16-22-133
10/13/24	ATL CAR	53 28	64.7 11.9	30:40 29:20	53-278 34-160	27-42-316 37-53-311
10/03/24	TB ATL	17 20	0.8 24.1	27:38 33:37	14-89 6-41	11-13-96 23-33-265
09/29/24	NO ATL	32 35	4.5 56.9	35:42 24:18	44-175 20-118	37-48-315 28-47-304
09/22/24	KC ATL	11 4	-1.5 22.7	34:57 25:03	16-62 12-40	13-19-106 5-14-112
09/16/24	ATL PHI	28 27	59.1 -7.0	24:21 35:39	36-193 47-236	25-37-296 29-38-228

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Tags: Atlanta Falcons, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

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