San Francisco 49ers
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San Francisco 49ers vs Buffalo Bills Betting Pick & Preview – 12/1/2024
49ers vs Bills Betting Odds
Spread: | San Francisco 49ers 7, Buffalo Bills -7 |
Over/Under: | 44.5 |
Moneyline: | San Francisco 49ers 255, Buffalo Bills -305 |
San Francisco 49ers vs Buffalo Bills Win Probabilities
Implied Win %: | Projected Win %: |
San Francisco 49ers - 27% | San Francisco 49ers - 29% |
Buffalo Bills - 73% | Buffalo Bills - 71% |
Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.
Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.
San Francisco 49ers vs Buffalo Bills Betting Preview
Brandon Allen and the San Francisco 49ers faceoff against Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills. The Bills enter the game as a huge favorite (-305) as the home team. Buffalo is currently favored by -7.0 points while the Game Total is currently sitting on 44.5.
San Francisco's biggest strength has been their offense, ranking #5 in the league with 363 yards per game. They've achieved offensive success largely through the quality of their rushing attack, which is #4-best in football with 5.14 yards per carry. With how successful they've been on the ground, this has opened up opportunities through the air as well; San Francisco has averaged 8.39 yards per target, which ranks them #4 in football. In terms of their defense, the 49ers have ranked #8 in the league in total yards allowed per game. Opposing offenses have passed for 206 yards per game through the air against them (#28 in football). On the ground, opposing ball-carriers have ranked #18 with 4.5 yards per carry. San Francisco has been most effective in shutting down opposing tight ends, holding them to 34 yards per game (#1-best). San Francisco has been least effective in shutting down opposing running backs, giving up a 87.9% completion rate (#8-highest).
Buffalo's primary advantage has been their run offense, which ranks #8 in football at 4.63 yards per carry. Given their ground game success, this has opened up opportunities through the air too; Buffalo's 7.61 yards per target puts them #10 in football. When it comes to their defense, the Bills check in at #18 in football when it comes to total yards allowed per game. Opposing air attacks have notched 237 yards per game against Buffalo this year (#10 in football). Opposing ball-carriers have ranked #11 against them with 4.81 yards per ground attempt. This Bills defense hits their peak effectiveness when it comes to defending opposing running backs, allowing them to complete just 77.6% of their passes (#4-lowest in the league). Buffalo's defensive effectiveness in the pass game bottoms out when it comes to defending opposing running backs, who have scorched them for 47 yards per game (#2-worst in the league).
San Francisco 49ers vs Buffalo Bills Prediction
Final Score: San Francisco 49ers 18.28 vs Buffalo Bills 24.57
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San Francisco 49ers
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