Zay Flowers Projections & Prop Bets

Zay Flowers projections and prop bets for Baltimore Ravens at Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Oct 21, 2024

Zay Flowers Player Prop Bet: Receptions

Receptions Prop Bet Odds:

• Receptions 5.5 over: 105
• Receptions 5.5 under: -135

Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet

The Buccaneers defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the NFL (42.7 per game) this year.

The predictive model expects Zay Flowers to garner 7.7 targets this week, on balance, putting him in the 86th percentile among WRs.

Zay Flowers has been heavily involved in his team's passing offense, earning a Target Share of 27.5% this year, which ranks in the 93rd percentile among wide receivers.

In regards to protecting the passer (and the strong effect it has on all passing game statistics), the O-line of the Baltimore Ravens grades out as the 4th-best in football this year.

Zay Flowers checks in as one of the leading WRs in the game this year, averaging an impressive 5.5 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 88th percentile.

Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Ravens are favored in this game, indicating more of a focus on running than their normal game plan.

The leading projections forecast the Baltimore Ravens to be the 5th-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 51.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

At the present time, the 3rd-slowest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to the model is the Ravens.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers cornerbacks profile as the best group of CBs in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

Projection For Zay Flowers Receptions Prop Bet

Zay Flowers is projected to have 5.1 Receptions in this weeks game.

Zay Flowers Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards

Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:

• Receiving Yards 59.5 over: -125
• Receiving Yards 59.5 under: -105

Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet

The Buccaneers defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the NFL (42.7 per game) this year.

The predictive model expects Zay Flowers to garner 7.7 targets this week, on balance, putting him in the 86th percentile among WRs.

Zay Flowers has been heavily involved in his team's passing offense, earning a Target Share of 27.5% this year, which ranks in the 93rd percentile among wide receivers.

Zay Flowers ranks in the 76th percentile among WRs this year with an astounding 24.4% of his offense's air yards accumulated.

Zay Flowers has notched a lot more adjusted receiving yards per game (66.0) this season than he did last season (52.0).

Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Ravens are favored in this game, indicating more of a focus on running than their normal game plan.

The leading projections forecast the Baltimore Ravens to be the 5th-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 51.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

At the present time, the 3rd-slowest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to the model is the Ravens.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has shown good efficiency vs. wideouts this year, allowing 6.67 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 3rd-fewest in the league.

This year, the daunting Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has yielded the 6th-least yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing WRs: a paltry 3.5 YAC.

Projection For Zay Flowers Receiving Yards Prop Bet

Zay Flowers is projected to have 57.8 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.