Zach Ertz projections and prop bets for Carolina Panthers at Washington Commanders on Oct 20, 2024
Zach Ertz Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 3.5 over: 140
- Receptions 3.5 under: -170
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Commanders are projected by the model to call 66.4 plays on offense in this contest: the 6th-most on the slate this week.
The passing games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (3-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while ground volume may go down.
With an exceptional 79.1% Route% (91st percentile) this year, Zach Ertz stands as one of the TEs with the biggest workloads in football.
The predictive model expects Zach Ertz to earn 5.0 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 85th percentile among TEs.
Zach Ertz profiles as one of the top pass-game TEs this year, averaging a terrific 3.6 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 87th percentile.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
This game's line suggests a running game script for the Commanders, who are favored by 3 points.
Our trusted projections expect the Washington Commanders as the 2nd-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 50.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Opposing teams teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Carolina Panthers, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in football (a mere 30.3 per game) this year.
Projection For Zach Ertz Receptions Prop Bet
Zach Ertz is projected to have 3.6 Receptions in this weeks game.
Zach Ertz Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 31.5 over: -110
- Receiving Yards 31.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Commanders are projected by the model to call 66.4 plays on offense in this contest: the 6th-most on the slate this week.
The passing games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (3-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while ground volume may go down.
With an exceptional 79.1% Route% (91st percentile) this year, Zach Ertz stands as one of the TEs with the biggest workloads in football.
The predictive model expects Zach Ertz to earn 5.0 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 85th percentile among TEs.
When it comes to air yards, Zach Ertz ranks in the lofty 94th percentile among TEs this year, accumulating a whopping 41.0 per game.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
This game's line suggests a running game script for the Commanders, who are favored by 3 points.
Our trusted projections expect the Washington Commanders as the 2nd-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 50.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Opposing teams teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Carolina Panthers, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in football (a mere 30.3 per game) this year.
Zach Ertz has been one of the worst tight ends in the league at picking up extra yardage, averaging a measly 2.38 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 7th percentile.
Projection For Zach Ertz Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Zach Ertz is projected to have 34.9 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
