Tyreek Hill projections and prop bets for Miami Dolphins at Los Angeles Rams on Nov 11, 2024
Tyreek Hill Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 78.5 over: -115
- Receiving Yards 78.5 under: -115
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The Miami Dolphins have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a massive 61.6 plays per game.
The weatherman calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and lower run volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Our trusted projections expect Tyreek Hill to total 8.5 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 92nd percentile when it comes to WRs.
As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Los Angeles's unit has been awful this year, projecting as the 2nd-worst in the league.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
At the moment, the 9th-least pass-oriented team in football (58.2% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Dolphins.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Los Angeles Rams defense this year: 7th-fewest in the league.
After averaging 113.0 air yards per game last season, Tyreek Hill has undergone a big decline this season, currently pacing 91.0 per game.
Tyreek Hill's 64.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive volume) has been significantly lower this year than it was last year at 77.5.
Tyreek Hill has accumulated a lot fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (49.0) this year than he did last year (109.0).
Projection For Tyreek Hill Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Tyreek Hill is projected to have 71.2 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
Tyreek Hill Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 5.5 over: -115
- Receptions 5.5 under: -115
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
The Miami Dolphins have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a massive 61.6 plays per game.
The weatherman calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and lower run volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Our trusted projections expect Tyreek Hill to total 8.5 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 92nd percentile when it comes to WRs.
As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Los Angeles's unit has been awful this year, projecting as the 2nd-worst in the league.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
At the moment, the 9th-least pass-oriented team in football (58.2% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Dolphins.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Los Angeles Rams defense this year: 7th-fewest in the league.
Tyreek Hill's 64.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive volume) has been significantly lower this year than it was last year at 77.5.
Tyreek Hill's play as a receiver has diminished this season, compiling a mere 3.9 adjusted receptions vs 7.4 last season.
Tyreek Hill's possession skills have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate decreasing from 71.2% to 56.9%.
Projection For Tyreek Hill Receptions Prop Bet
Tyreek Hill is projected to have 4.8 Receptions in this weeks game.
