Miami Dolphins

Miami Dolphins

Nov 3, 2024

Buffalo Bills

Buffalo Bills
  • Overview
  • Props

Tyreek Hill Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Tyreek Hill projections and prop bets for Miami Dolphins at Los Angeles Rams on Nov 11, 2024

Tyreek Hill Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards

Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:

  • Receiving Yards 78.5 over: -115
  • Receiving Yards 78.5 under: -115

Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet

The Miami Dolphins have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a massive 61.6 plays per game.

The weatherman calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and lower run volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Our trusted projections expect Tyreek Hill to total 8.5 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 92nd percentile when it comes to WRs.

As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Los Angeles's unit has been awful this year, projecting as the 2nd-worst in the league.

Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet

At the moment, the 9th-least pass-oriented team in football (58.2% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Dolphins.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Los Angeles Rams defense this year: 7th-fewest in the league.

After averaging 113.0 air yards per game last season, Tyreek Hill has undergone a big decline this season, currently pacing 91.0 per game.

Tyreek Hill's 64.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive volume) has been significantly lower this year than it was last year at 77.5.

Tyreek Hill has accumulated a lot fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (49.0) this year than he did last year (109.0).

Projection For Tyreek Hill Receiving Yards Prop Bet

Tyreek Hill is projected to have 71.2 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.


Tyreek Hill Player Prop Bet: Receptions

Receptions Prop Bet Odds:

  • Receptions 5.5 over: -115
  • Receptions 5.5 under: -115

Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet

The Miami Dolphins have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a massive 61.6 plays per game.

The weatherman calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and lower run volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Our trusted projections expect Tyreek Hill to total 8.5 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 92nd percentile when it comes to WRs.

As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Los Angeles's unit has been awful this year, projecting as the 2nd-worst in the league.

Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet

At the moment, the 9th-least pass-oriented team in football (58.2% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Dolphins.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Los Angeles Rams defense this year: 7th-fewest in the league.

Tyreek Hill's 64.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive volume) has been significantly lower this year than it was last year at 77.5.

Tyreek Hill's play as a receiver has diminished this season, compiling a mere 3.9 adjusted receptions vs 7.4 last season.

Tyreek Hill's possession skills have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate decreasing from 71.2% to 56.9%.

Projection For Tyreek Hill Receptions Prop Bet

Tyreek Hill is projected to have 4.8 Receptions in this weeks game.


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Player Props

  • To Score a Touchdown
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • Total Rushing & Receiving Yards
  • Total Rushing Yards
  • To Record a 30+ Yard Reception
  • Total Receptions
  • Total Receiving Yards
  • Longest Reception
  • To Record a 20+ Yard Reception
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
  • To Score a Touchdown
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • Total Rushing & Receiving Yards
  • Total Rushing Yards
  • To Record a 30+ Yard Reception
  • Total Receptions
  • Total Receiving Yards
  • Longest Reception
  • To Record a 20+ Yard Reception
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
Open
Current
Book
No
Yes
No
Yes
Consensus
-185
+145
-186
+142
Consensus
-
+700
-
+800
Consensus
-
+750
-
+750
Consensus
-
+550
-
+550
Consensus
-
+320
-
+320
Consensus
-
+310
-
+310
Consensus
-
+490
-
+500
-
+125
-
+130
-
+750
-
+800
-
+750
-
+750
-
+550
-
+550
-
+310
-
+330
-
+310
-
+300
-
+500
-
+500
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+1000
+987
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
82
81
80
83
81
82
83
80
82
81
80
83
81
82
83
80
Consensus
-115
-117
-117
-117
-115
-118
-115
-115
-120
-115
-117
-117
-115
-118
-115
-115
-119
-119
-119
-119
-115
-115
-115
-115
-119
-119
-119
-119
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-120
-110
-115
-110
-115
-110
-120
-110
-120
-115
-115
-120
-120
-115
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
1
1
1
1
Consensus
+124
-157
+115
-160
+110
-151
+118
-163
+115
-160
+120
-155
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+135
+135
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
7
6
7
6
7
6
7
6
Consensus
+117
-149
-158
+115
+111
-152
-159
+112
+116
-151
-151
+114
+118
-157
-163
+116
+115
-150
-150
+115
+115
-150
-155
+120
+112
-
-128
-
-102
-
-132
-
+115
-160
-150
+115
+115
-160
-155
+115
+115
-
-130
-
+105
-
-130
-
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
81
78
76
77
79
80
75
15
16
77
81
78
76
80
79
75
16
15
81
78
76
77
79
80
75
15
16
77
81
78
76
80
79
75
16
15
Consensus
-115
-117
-118
-117
-117
-116
-
-
-
-113
-117
-114
-111
-115
-113
-
-
-
-115
-117
-115
-115
-114
-116
-
-
-
-115
-117
-117
-111
-115
-115
-
-
-
Consensus
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-108
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-118
-111
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-111
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-113
-
-119
-119
-119
-119
-119
-
-
-
-115
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-119
-119
-119
-119
-119
-
-
-
-115
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-
-115
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-115
-120
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-
-115
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-113
-110
-
-
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-110
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-110
-
-
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-110
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-108
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-118
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-111
-115
-115
-120
-110
-115
-110
-120
-
-
-120
-115
-115
-115
-120
-115
-115
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-120
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-110
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-115
-
-125
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-120
-
-105
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-125
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
27
25
26
28
26
27
28
25
27
25
26
28
26
27
28
25
Consensus
-115
-
-
-110
-
-117
-118
-
-111
-
-
-110
-
-112
-118
-
-117
-
-
-117
-
-117
-117
-
-117
-
-
-117
-
-117
-117
-
-
-118
-114
-
-118
-
-
-108
-
-120
-110
-
-115
-
-
-106
-115
-
-120
-110
-110
-115
-120
-
-120
-
-120
-110
-110
-120
-120
-
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
-300
-300
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+5300
+5100