Tua Tagovailoa projections and prop bets for Miami Dolphins at Los Angeles Rams on Nov 11, 2024
Tua Tagovailoa Player Prop Bet: Touchdown Passes
Touchdown Passes Prop Bet Odds:
- Touchdown Passes 1.5 over: -110
- Touchdown Passes 1.5 under: -120
Trends Favoring The Over Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
The Miami Dolphins have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a massive 61.6 plays per game.
The weatherman calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and lower run volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
With a fantastic 70.9% Adjusted Completion% (92nd percentile) this year, Tua Tagovailoa places among the most on-target passers in the NFL.
This year, the porous Rams defense has conceded a massive 1.88 passing TDs per game to opposing offenses: the 6th-highest rate in the league.
As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Los Angeles's unit has been awful this year, projecting as the 2nd-worst in the league.
Trends Favoring The Under Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
At the moment, the 9th-least pass-oriented team in football (58.2% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Dolphins.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Los Angeles Rams defense this year: 7th-fewest in the league.
This year, the formidable Rams defense has allowed a mere 68.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 8th-smallest rate in the NFL.
Projection For Tua Tagovailoa Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
Tua Tagovailoa is projected to have 1.7 Touchdown Passes in this weeks game.
Tua Tagovailoa Player Prop Bet: Passing Yards
Passing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Passing Yards 253.5 over: -114
- Passing Yards 253.5 under: -114
Trends Favoring The Over Passing Yards Prop Bet
The Miami Dolphins have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a massive 61.6 plays per game.
The weatherman calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and lower run volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
With a fantastic 70.9% Adjusted Completion% (92nd percentile) this year, Tua Tagovailoa places among the most on-target passers in the NFL.
This year, the anemic Rams defense has been gouged for the 4th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing teams: a massive 8.69 yards.
This year, the deficient Rams defense has conceded the 6th-most yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing teams: a monstrous 5.40 YAC.
Trends Favoring The Under Passing Yards Prop Bet
At the moment, the 9th-least pass-oriented team in football (58.2% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Dolphins.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Los Angeles Rams defense this year: 7th-fewest in the league.
Tua Tagovailoa has thrown for quite a few less adjusted yards per game (231.0) this year than he did last year (282.0).
Tua Tagovailoa's throwing efficiency has declined this season, compiling just 7.23 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 8.56 figure last season.
Projection For Tua Tagovailoa Passing Yards Prop Bet
Tua Tagovailoa is projected to have 251.5 Passing Yards in this weeks game.
Tua Tagovailoa Player Prop Bet: Interceptions
Interceptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Interceptions 0.5 over: -130
- Interceptions 0.5 under: 100
Trends Favoring The Over Interceptions Prop Bet
The Miami Dolphins have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a massive 61.6 plays per game.
The weatherman calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and lower run volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Los Angeles's unit has been awful this year, projecting as the 2nd-worst in the league.
Trends Favoring The Under Interceptions Prop Bet
At the moment, the 9th-least pass-oriented team in football (58.2% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Dolphins.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Los Angeles Rams defense this year: 7th-fewest in the league.
Los Angeles's defense ranks as the 6th-best in football this year when it comes to inducing interceptions, averaging 1.06 per game.
Projection For Tua Tagovailoa Interceptions Prop Bet
Tua Tagovailoa is projected to have 0.5 Interceptions in this weeks game.
