Miami Dolphins

Miami Dolphins

Nov 3, 2024

Buffalo Bills

Buffalo Bills
  • Overview
  • Props

Tua Tagovailoa Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Tua Tagovailoa projections and prop bets for Miami Dolphins at Los Angeles Rams on Nov 11, 2024

Tua Tagovailoa Player Prop Bet: Touchdown Passes

Touchdown Passes Prop Bet Odds:

  • Touchdown Passes 1.5 over: -110
  • Touchdown Passes 1.5 under: -120

Trends Favoring The Over Touchdown Passes Prop Bet

The Miami Dolphins have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a massive 61.6 plays per game.

The weatherman calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and lower run volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

With a fantastic 70.9% Adjusted Completion% (92nd percentile) this year, Tua Tagovailoa places among the most on-target passers in the NFL.

This year, the porous Rams defense has conceded a massive 1.88 passing TDs per game to opposing offenses: the 6th-highest rate in the league.

As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Los Angeles's unit has been awful this year, projecting as the 2nd-worst in the league.

Trends Favoring The Under Touchdown Passes Prop Bet

At the moment, the 9th-least pass-oriented team in football (58.2% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Dolphins.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Los Angeles Rams defense this year: 7th-fewest in the league.

This year, the formidable Rams defense has allowed a mere 68.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 8th-smallest rate in the NFL.

Projection For Tua Tagovailoa Touchdown Passes Prop Bet

Tua Tagovailoa is projected to have 1.7 Touchdown Passes in this weeks game.


Tua Tagovailoa Player Prop Bet: Passing Yards

Passing Yards Prop Bet Odds:

  • Passing Yards 253.5 over: -114
  • Passing Yards 253.5 under: -114

Trends Favoring The Over Passing Yards Prop Bet

The Miami Dolphins have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a massive 61.6 plays per game.

The weatherman calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and lower run volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

With a fantastic 70.9% Adjusted Completion% (92nd percentile) this year, Tua Tagovailoa places among the most on-target passers in the NFL.

This year, the anemic Rams defense has been gouged for the 4th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing teams: a massive 8.69 yards.

This year, the deficient Rams defense has conceded the 6th-most yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing teams: a monstrous 5.40 YAC.

Trends Favoring The Under Passing Yards Prop Bet

At the moment, the 9th-least pass-oriented team in football (58.2% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Dolphins.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Los Angeles Rams defense this year: 7th-fewest in the league.

Tua Tagovailoa has thrown for quite a few less adjusted yards per game (231.0) this year than he did last year (282.0).

Tua Tagovailoa's throwing efficiency has declined this season, compiling just 7.23 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 8.56 figure last season.

Projection For Tua Tagovailoa Passing Yards Prop Bet

Tua Tagovailoa is projected to have 251.5 Passing Yards in this weeks game.


Tua Tagovailoa Player Prop Bet: Interceptions

Interceptions Prop Bet Odds:

  • Interceptions 0.5 over: -130
  • Interceptions 0.5 under: 100

Trends Favoring The Over Interceptions Prop Bet

The Miami Dolphins have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a massive 61.6 plays per game.

The weatherman calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and lower run volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Los Angeles's unit has been awful this year, projecting as the 2nd-worst in the league.

Trends Favoring The Under Interceptions Prop Bet

At the moment, the 9th-least pass-oriented team in football (58.2% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Dolphins.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Los Angeles Rams defense this year: 7th-fewest in the league.

Los Angeles's defense ranks as the 6th-best in football this year when it comes to inducing interceptions, averaging 1.06 per game.

Projection For Tua Tagovailoa Interceptions Prop Bet

Tua Tagovailoa is projected to have 0.5 Interceptions in this weeks game.


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Player Props

  • To Score a Touchdown
  • Longest Rush
  • Longest Pass
  • Total Pass Completions
  • Interceptions Thrown
  • Total Rushing Attempts
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • Total Rushing Yards
  • To Throw An Interception
  • Total Passing Yards
  • To Complete First Pass
  • Total Passing Touchdowns
  • Total Passing + Rushing Yards
  • Total Passing Attempts
  • To Score a Touchdown
  • Longest Rush
  • Longest Pass
  • Total Pass Completions
  • Interceptions Thrown
  • Total Rushing Attempts
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • Total Rushing Yards
  • To Throw An Interception
  • Total Passing Yards
  • To Complete First Pass
  • Total Passing Touchdowns
  • Total Passing + Rushing Yards
  • Total Passing Attempts
Open
Current
Book
No
Yes
No
Yes
Consensus
-
+4600
-
+4900
Consensus
-
+2100
-
+3000
Consensus
-
+3700
-
+4400
Consensus
-
+2600
-
+2300
Consensus
-1609
+942
-1630
+906
Consensus
-
+4300
-
+4700
Consensus
-
+1800
-
+2600
-
+4900
-
+4800
-
+2100
-
+2100
-
+4800
-
+4800
-
+2300
-
+3800
-
+1500
-
+1300
-
+3900
-
+3400
-
+1500
-
+1400
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
6
5
6
5
6
5
6
5
Consensus
-108
-125
-125
-105
-105
-125
-125
-105
-110
-
-125
-
-105
-
-120
-
-105
-125
-125
-105
-105
-130
-130
-105
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
37
38
36
35
37
38
36
35
37
38
36
35
37
38
36
35
Consensus
-120
-115
-117
-
-113
-117
-107
-
-119
-113
-118
-
-116
-119
-113
-
-123
-111
-115
-
-131
-115
-119
-
-123
-111
-113
-
-111
-123
-119
-
-114
-114
-114
-114
-114
-114
-114
-114
-114
-114
-114
-114
-114
-114
-114
-114
-110
-110
-120
-
-110
-120
-110
-
-120
-110
-120
-
-115
-120
-110
-
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
22
23
23
22
22
23
23
22
Consensus
-131
-104
-127
-107
-132
-102
-129
+101
-137
+100
-133
+100
-137
+100
-137
+100
-135
-105
-130
+105
-125
+100
-130
+100
-
-106
-122
-
-
-115
-113
-
-130
+100
-125
-105
-140
+100
-135
-105
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
1
1
1
1
Consensus
-147
+111
-145
+111
-148
+112
-135
+106
-135
+120
-140
+110
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
3
2
2
3
3
2
2
3
Consensus
+130
-188
+135
-185
+140
-190
+132
-185
+140
-175
+150
-185
+140
-185
+140
-185
+140
-190
+140
-190
+130
-190
+140
-175
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+6750
+9500
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
6
7
7
6
6
7
7
6
Consensus
-113
-104
-129
-115
-114
-106
-126
-111
-115
-101
-133
-119
-103
-103
-135
-121
-115
-105
-125
-115
-115
-105
-125
-115
-120
-105
-120
-115
-115
-105
-125
-115
Open
Current
Book
No
Yes
No
Yes
Consensus
+108
-132
+102
-140
+108
-132
+102
-140
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
242
246
241
243
244
247
248
251
249
250
245
253
252
48
47
246
249
247
241
250
251
248
242
243
244
245
252
253
47
48
242
246
241
243
244
247
248
251
249
250
245
253
252
48
47
246
249
247
241
250
251
248
242
243
244
245
252
253
47
48
Consensus
-114
-113
-115
-114
-113
-112
-116
-114
-105
-112
-112
-
-
-
-
-115
-114
-114
-110
-113
-115
-114
-114
-114
-113
-114
-
-
-
-
-114
-113
-113
-111
-113
-115
-112
-115
-116
-114
-113
-
-
-
-
-113
-115
-113
-113
-115
-114
-115
-114
-115
-115
-113
-
-
-
-
Consensus
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-108
-118
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-112
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-108
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-115
-117
-117
-
-117
-117
-117
-108
-
-117
-117
-113
-
-
-
-
-117
-127
-117
-
-117
-
-117
-117
-117
-117
-123
-
-
-
-
-117
-117
-
-117
-117
-117
-108
-
-117
-117
-111
-
-
-
-
-117
-127
-117
-
-117
-
-125
-117
-117
-117
-121
-
-
-
-
-115
-105
-
-115
-110
-115
-115
-115
-110
-115
-110
-
-
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-115
-115
-
-115
-115
-115
-110
-115
-110
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-120
-120
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-113
-
-114
-
-
-114
-
-113
-
-114
-
-
-
-114
-114
-
-
-
-
-110
-113
-
-113
-114
-
-
-
-113
-
-
-113
-
-113
-
-
-114
-
-113
-
-114
-
-
-
-114
-113
-
-
-
-
-113
-113
-
-113
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-108
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-108
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-111
-112
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-111
-114
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-120
-115
-115
-
-115
-
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-
-
-
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-115
-
-120
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-115
-
-120
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Open
Current
Book
No
Yes
No
Yes
Consensus
+225
-350
+225
-350
+225
-350
+225
-350
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
2
2
2
2
Consensus
+121
-146
+120
-151
+116
-160
+116
-160
+115
-150
+120
-135
+132
-174
+126
-165
+110
-155
+100
-140
+135
-165
+130
-180
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
253
258
257
256
255
260
254
252
259
262
261
251
259
261
256
253
257
255
258
260
254
252
262
251
253
258
257
256
255
260
254
252
259
262
261
251
259
261
256
253
257
255
258
260
254
252
262
251
Consensus
-112
-116
-117
-112
-116
-116
-117
-112
-116
-
-
-
-119
-
-116
-120
-117
-117
-116
-116
-117
-120
-
-
-112
-112
-116
-116
-116
-114
-112
-112
-116
-
-
-
-116
-
-117
-120
-117
-120
-120
-119
-120
-120
-
-
-109
-117
-117
-109
-117
-117
-109
-109
-117
-
-
-
-117
-
-117
-125
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-125
-
-
-109
-117
-117
-109
-109
-117
-117
-109
-117
-
-
-
-117
-
-117
-125
-117
-125
-117
-117
-117
-125
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-110
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-120
-115
-115
-115
-120
-115
-115
-115
-115
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
34
35
35
34
34
35
35
34
Consensus
-124
-112
-117
-104
-129
-117
-116
-104
-142
-109
-125
+104
-142
-113
-109
+104
-125
-110
-115
-105
-125
-115
-120
-105
-
-120
-108
-
-
-120
-108
-
-125
-105
-130
+100
-125
-105
-130
-115