Tony Pollard projections and prop bets for Tennessee Titans at Buffalo Bills on Oct 20, 2024
Tony Pollard Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 25.5 over: -110
- Receiving Yards 25.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The Titans may pass less in this week's game (and hand the ball off more) given that they be rolling with backup QB Mason Rudolph.
This game's line indicates an extreme throwing game script for the Titans, who are huge -9.5-point underdogs.
Opposing offenses have averaged 30.7 pass attempts per game versus the Bills defense this year: 10th-fewest in the league.
This week, Tony Pollard is forecasted by the predictive model to rank in the 95th percentile among RBs with 4.8 targets.
With an impressive 13.8% Target% (95th percentile) this year, Tony Pollard rates as one of the pass-game running backs with the highest volume in the NFL.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The Titans have been the 8th-least pass-oriented team in the league (adjusted for context) this year with a 56.6% pass rate.
The predictive model expects the Titans to call the fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 60.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have run the 6th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 54.0 plays per game.
The weatherman calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
Tony Pollard comes in as one of the least efficient receivers in the league among RBs, averaging just 4.54 adjusted yards-per-target this year while grading out in the 20th percentile.
Projection For Tony Pollard Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Tony Pollard is projected to have 20.9 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
Tony Pollard Player Prop Bet: Carries
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
- Carries 17.5 over: 102
- Carries 17.5 under: -132
Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet
With a 43.4% rate of running the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 8th-most run-oriented offense in the league has been the Titans.
The weatherman calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
In this contest, Tony Pollard is predicted by our trusted projection set to finish in the 96th percentile when it comes to running backs with 17.6 carries.
While Tony Pollard has been responsible for 58.5% of his offense's rushing play calls in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be much less involved in Tennessee's rushing attack in this week's game at 43.5%.
As it relates to the safeties' role in run defense, Buffalo's group of safeties has been dreadful this year, projecting as the 10th-worst in the league. in the league.
Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet
The Titans may pass less in this week's game (and hand the ball off more) given that they be rolling with backup QB Mason Rudolph.
This game's line indicates an extreme throwing game script for the Titans, who are huge -9.5-point underdogs.
The predictive model expects the Titans to call the fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 60.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have run the 6th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 54.0 plays per game.
Projection For Tony Pollard Carries Prop Bet
Tony Pollard is projected to have 16.2 Carries in this weeks game.
Tony Pollard Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 3.5 over: -155
- Receptions 3.5 under: 120
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
The Titans may pass less in this week's game (and hand the ball off more) given that they be rolling with backup QB Mason Rudolph.
This game's line indicates an extreme throwing game script for the Titans, who are huge -9.5-point underdogs.
Opposing offenses have averaged 30.7 pass attempts per game versus the Bills defense this year: 10th-fewest in the league.
This week, Tony Pollard is forecasted by the predictive model to rank in the 95th percentile among RBs with 4.8 targets.
Tony Pollard comes in as one of the leading running backs in the pass game this year, averaging a stellar 3.2 adjusted receptions per game while ranking in the 88th percentile.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
The Titans have been the 8th-least pass-oriented team in the league (adjusted for context) this year with a 56.6% pass rate.
The predictive model expects the Titans to call the fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 60.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have run the 6th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 54.0 plays per game.
The weatherman calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
Projection For Tony Pollard Receptions Prop Bet
Tony Pollard is projected to have 3.2 Receptions in this weeks game.
Tony Pollard Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 68.5 over: -110
- Rushing Yards 68.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
With a 43.4% rate of running the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 8th-most run-oriented offense in the league has been the Titans.
The weatherman calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
In this contest, Tony Pollard is predicted by our trusted projection set to finish in the 96th percentile when it comes to running backs with 17.6 carries.
With an outstanding total of 63.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (81st percentile), Tony Pollard rates as one of the top RBs in the league this year.
This year, the strong Buffalo Bills run defense has yielded a puny 5.03 adjusted yards-per-carry to opposing offenses: the 23rd-smallest rate in the league.
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
The Titans may pass less in this week's game (and hand the ball off more) given that they be rolling with backup QB Mason Rudolph.
This game's line indicates an extreme throwing game script for the Titans, who are huge -9.5-point underdogs.
The predictive model expects the Titans to call the fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 60.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have run the 6th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 54.0 plays per game.
Projection For Tony Pollard Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Tony Pollard is projected to have 74.4 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
