Stefon Diggs projections and prop bets for Houston Texans at Green Bay Packers on Oct 20, 2024
Stefon Diggs Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 5.5 over: -150
- Receptions 5.5 under: 120
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
At a -3-point disadvantage, the Texans are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on throwing than their typical game plan.
Our trusted projections expect the Texans to be the 8th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 63.0% pass rate.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is projected by our trusted projection set to see 136.1 plays on offense run: the most out of all the games this week.
Opposing QBs have averaged 36.3 pass attempts per game against the Packers defense this year: 7th-most in football.
Stefon Diggs comes in as one of the best wide receivers in the league this year, averaging a stellar 6.1 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 93rd percentile.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
The weatherman calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
Stefon Diggs has been much less involved in his offense's passing attack this year (22.6% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (29.9%).
The Texans offensive line grades out as the 7th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a harmful influence on all pass attack stats across the board.
When it comes to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Green Bay's group of safeties has been great this year, ranking as the 4th-best in football.
Projection For Stefon Diggs Receptions Prop Bet
Stefon Diggs is projected to have 6 Receptions in this weeks game.
Stefon Diggs Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 69.5 over: -115
- Receiving Yards 69.5 under: -115
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
At a -3-point disadvantage, the Texans are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on throwing than their typical game plan.
Our trusted projections expect the Texans to be the 8th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 63.0% pass rate.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is projected by our trusted projection set to see 136.1 plays on offense run: the most out of all the games this week.
Opposing QBs have averaged 36.3 pass attempts per game against the Packers defense this year: 7th-most in football.
Stefon Diggs profiles as one of the best WRs in the game this year, averaging a terrific 69.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 89th percentile.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The weatherman calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
Stefon Diggs has been much less involved in his offense's passing attack this year (22.6% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (29.9%).
Stefon Diggs has accumulated far fewer air yards this year (61.0 per game) than he did last year (105.0 per game).
The Texans offensive line grades out as the 7th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a harmful influence on all pass attack stats across the board.
When it comes to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Green Bay's group of safeties has been great this year, ranking as the 4th-best in football.
Projection For Stefon Diggs Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Stefon Diggs is projected to have 70.3 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
