Sam LaPorta projections and prop bets for Detroit Lions at Minnesota Vikings on Oct 20, 2024
Sam LaPorta Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 3.5 over: -155
- Receptions 3.5 under: 120
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Lions to pass on 60.9% of their chances: the 7th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.
Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Detroit Lions are projected by our trusted projection set to run 66.3 offensive plays in this game: the 7th-most on the slate this week.
The 9th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Detroit Lions this year (a whopping 59.6 per game on average).
The passing games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may fall-off.
Opposing teams have averaged 47.4 pass attempts per game against the Vikings defense this year: most in the NFL.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
Sam LaPorta's 2.6 adjusted receptions per game this year represents a material regression in his pass-catching talent over last year's 5.0 mark.
When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Minnesota's group of LBs has been phenomenal this year, grading out as the 3rd-best in the league.
Projection For Sam LaPorta Receptions Prop Bet
Sam LaPorta is projected to have 4.5 Receptions in this weeks game.
Sam LaPorta Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 38.5 over: -150
- Receiving Yards 38.5 under: 115
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Lions to pass on 60.9% of their chances: the 7th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.
Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Detroit Lions are projected by our trusted projection set to run 66.3 offensive plays in this game: the 7th-most on the slate this week.
The 9th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Detroit Lions this year (a whopping 59.6 per game on average).
The passing games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may fall-off.
Opposing teams have averaged 47.4 pass attempts per game against the Vikings defense this year: most in the NFL.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Sam LaPorta has accumulated far fewer air yards this year (17.0 per game) than he did last year (53.0 per game).
Sam LaPorta's 34.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season indicates a remarkable diminishment in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 50.0 rate.
When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Minnesota's group of LBs has been phenomenal this year, grading out as the 3rd-best in the league.
Projection For Sam LaPorta Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Sam LaPorta is projected to have 46 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
