Sam Darnold projections and prop bets for Minnesota Vikings at Tennessee Titans on Nov 17, 2024
Sam Darnold Player Prop Bet: Touchdown Passes
Touchdown Passes Prop Bet Odds:
- Touchdown Passes 1.5 over: -110
- Touchdown Passes 1.5 under: -120
Trends Favoring The Over Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
The leading projections forecast the Vikings to be the 8th-most pass-focused team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 62.1% pass rate.
Sam Darnold rates as one of the most accurate QBs in the NFL this year with an impressive 68.9% Adjusted Completion%, grading out in the 79th percentile.
Sam Darnold has been among the top TD passers in football this year, averaging an outstanding 1.89 per game while ranking in the 90th percentile.
Trends Favoring The Under Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
With a 6-point advantage, the Vikings are favored in this game, implying more of an emphasis on rushing than their standard approach.
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Vikings are projected by the predictive model to run just 62.8 offensive plays in this contest: the 5th-lowest number on the slate this week.
The Vikings have run the 8th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 55.4 plays per game.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.2 pass attempts per game versus the Tennessee Titans defense this year: 3rd-fewest in the NFL.
As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Tennessee's safety corps has been very good this year, grading out as the 7th-best in football.
Projection For Sam Darnold Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
Sam Darnold is projected to have 1.4 Touchdown Passes in this weeks game.
Sam Darnold Player Prop Bet: Passing Yards
Passing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Passing Yards 238.5 over: -110
- Passing Yards 238.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Passing Yards Prop Bet
The leading projections forecast the Vikings to be the 8th-most pass-focused team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 62.1% pass rate.
Sam Darnold's 240.0 adjusted passing yards per game this season shows a material boost in his throwing ability over last season's 33.0 rate.
Sam Darnold rates as one of the most accurate QBs in the NFL this year with an impressive 68.9% Adjusted Completion%, grading out in the 79th percentile.
Sam Darnold's 8.28 adjusted yards-per-target this season shows an impressive boost in his passing efficiency over last season's 7.2% mark.
Trends Favoring The Under Passing Yards Prop Bet
With a 6-point advantage, the Vikings are favored in this game, implying more of an emphasis on rushing than their standard approach.
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Vikings are projected by the predictive model to run just 62.8 offensive plays in this contest: the 5th-lowest number on the slate this week.
The Vikings have run the 8th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 55.4 plays per game.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.2 pass attempts per game versus the Tennessee Titans defense this year: 3rd-fewest in the NFL.
This year, the imposing Titans defense has conceded a feeble 182.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing teams: the 2nd-fewest in the NFL.
Projection For Sam Darnold Passing Yards Prop Bet
Sam Darnold is projected to have 236.4 Passing Yards in this weeks game.
Sam Darnold Player Prop Bet: Interceptions
Interceptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Interceptions 0.5 over: -115
- Interceptions 0.5 under: -115
Trends Favoring The Over Interceptions Prop Bet
The leading projections forecast the Vikings to be the 8th-most pass-focused team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 62.1% pass rate.
In tallying a staggering 1.22 interceptions per game this year, Sam Darnold stands among the weakest quarterbacks in football (5th percentile).
The Titans have intercepted 0.29 targets per game this year, grading out as the 3rd-worst defense in the NFL by this stat
Trends Favoring The Under Interceptions Prop Bet
With a 6-point advantage, the Vikings are favored in this game, implying more of an emphasis on rushing than their standard approach.
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Vikings are projected by the predictive model to run just 62.8 offensive plays in this contest: the 5th-lowest number on the slate this week.
The Vikings have run the 8th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 55.4 plays per game.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.2 pass attempts per game versus the Tennessee Titans defense this year: 3rd-fewest in the NFL.
As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Tennessee's safety corps has been very good this year, grading out as the 7th-best in football.
Projection For Sam Darnold Interceptions Prop Bet
Sam Darnold is projected to have 0.4 Interceptions in this weeks game.
