Rhamondre Stevenson projections and prop bets for New England Patriots at Jacksonville Jaguars on Oct 20, 2024
Rhamondre Stevenson Player Prop Bet: Carries
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
- Carries 12.5 over: 105
- Carries 12.5 under: -135
Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet
Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Patriots to run on 48.9% of their plays: the 3rd-greatest rate among all teams this week.
The model projects Rhamondre Stevenson to accrue 16.5 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 88th percentile when it comes to RBs.
The Jaguars safeties grade out as the 24th-worst group of safeties in the league this year when it comes to run defense.
Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet
A throwing game script is suggested by the Patriots being a -6.5-point underdog this week.
The leading projections forecast the Patriots to be the 10th-most sluggish paced defense in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, leading opposing offenses to average 28.79 seconds per play.
Projection For Rhamondre Stevenson Carries Prop Bet
Rhamondre Stevenson is projected to have 15.5 Carries in this weeks game.
Rhamondre Stevenson Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 14.5 over: -135
- Receiving Yards 14.5 under: 105
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
A throwing game script is suggested by the Patriots being a -6.5-point underdog this week.
The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 6th-most passes in football (37.8 per game) this year.
The model projects Rhamondre Stevenson to accrue 3.4 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 85th percentile among RBs.
This year, the deficient Jacksonville Jaguars defense has conceded a monstrous 59.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing running backs: the most in the league.
This year, the anemic Jaguars defense has been gouged for the 3rd-most adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing running backs: a colossal 7.85 yards.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the New England Patriots to pass on 51.1% of their plays: the 3rd-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
The leading projections forecast the Patriots to be the 10th-most sluggish paced defense in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, leading opposing offenses to average 28.79 seconds per play.
The Patriots offensive line ranks as the 4th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.
Projection For Rhamondre Stevenson Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Rhamondre Stevenson is projected to have 15.4 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
Rhamondre Stevenson Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 45.5 over: -110
- Rushing Yards 45.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Patriots to run on 48.9% of their plays: the 3rd-greatest rate among all teams this week.
The model projects Rhamondre Stevenson to accrue 16.5 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 88th percentile when it comes to RBs.
The Jaguars safeties grade out as the 24th-worst group of safeties in the league this year when it comes to run defense.
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
A throwing game script is suggested by the Patriots being a -6.5-point underdog this week.
The leading projections forecast the Patriots to be the 10th-most sluggish paced defense in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, leading opposing offenses to average 28.79 seconds per play.
Projection For Rhamondre Stevenson Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Rhamondre Stevenson is projected to have 66.3 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
Rhamondre Stevenson Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 2.5 over: -120
- Receptions 2.5 under: -108
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
A throwing game script is suggested by the Patriots being a -6.5-point underdog this week.
The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 6th-most passes in football (37.8 per game) this year.
The model projects Rhamondre Stevenson to accrue 3.4 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 85th percentile among RBs.
This year, the shaky Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has allowed a staggering 89.7% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing RBs: the 8th-largest rate in the league.
When it comes to safeties in defending receivers, Jacksonville's safety corps has been awful this year, ranking as the worst in the NFL.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the New England Patriots to pass on 51.1% of their plays: the 3rd-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
The leading projections forecast the Patriots to be the 10th-most sluggish paced defense in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, leading opposing offenses to average 28.79 seconds per play.
The Patriots offensive line ranks as the 4th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.
Projection For Rhamondre Stevenson Receptions Prop Bet
Rhamondre Stevenson is projected to have 2.5 Receptions in this weeks game.
