New England Patriots

New England Patriots

Nov 3, 2024

Tennessee Titans

Tennessee Titans
  • Overview
  • Props

Rhamondre Stevenson Projections & Prop Bets

Rhamondre Stevenson projections and prop bets for New England Patriots at Jacksonville Jaguars on Oct 20, 2024

Rhamondre Stevenson Player Prop Bet: Carries

Carries Prop Bet Odds:

  • Carries 12.5 over: 105
  • Carries 12.5 under: -135

Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Patriots to run on 48.9% of their plays: the 3rd-greatest rate among all teams this week.

The model projects Rhamondre Stevenson to accrue 16.5 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 88th percentile when it comes to RBs.

The Jaguars safeties grade out as the 24th-worst group of safeties in the league this year when it comes to run defense.

Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet

A throwing game script is suggested by the Patriots being a -6.5-point underdog this week.

The leading projections forecast the Patriots to be the 10th-most sluggish paced defense in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, leading opposing offenses to average 28.79 seconds per play.

Projection For Rhamondre Stevenson Carries Prop Bet

Rhamondre Stevenson is projected to have 15.5 Carries in this weeks game.


Rhamondre Stevenson Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards

Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:

  • Receiving Yards 14.5 over: -135
  • Receiving Yards 14.5 under: 105

Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet

A throwing game script is suggested by the Patriots being a -6.5-point underdog this week.

The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 6th-most passes in football (37.8 per game) this year.

The model projects Rhamondre Stevenson to accrue 3.4 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 85th percentile among RBs.

This year, the deficient Jacksonville Jaguars defense has conceded a monstrous 59.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing running backs: the most in the league.

This year, the anemic Jaguars defense has been gouged for the 3rd-most adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing running backs: a colossal 7.85 yards.

Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the New England Patriots to pass on 51.1% of their plays: the 3rd-lowest frequency among all teams this week.

The leading projections forecast the Patriots to be the 10th-most sluggish paced defense in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, leading opposing offenses to average 28.79 seconds per play.

The Patriots offensive line ranks as the 4th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.

Projection For Rhamondre Stevenson Receiving Yards Prop Bet

Rhamondre Stevenson is projected to have 15.4 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.


Rhamondre Stevenson Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards

Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:

  • Rushing Yards 45.5 over: -110
  • Rushing Yards 45.5 under: -110

Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Patriots to run on 48.9% of their plays: the 3rd-greatest rate among all teams this week.

The model projects Rhamondre Stevenson to accrue 16.5 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 88th percentile when it comes to RBs.

The Jaguars safeties grade out as the 24th-worst group of safeties in the league this year when it comes to run defense.

Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet

A throwing game script is suggested by the Patriots being a -6.5-point underdog this week.

The leading projections forecast the Patriots to be the 10th-most sluggish paced defense in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, leading opposing offenses to average 28.79 seconds per play.

Projection For Rhamondre Stevenson Rushing Yards Prop Bet

Rhamondre Stevenson is projected to have 66.3 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.


Rhamondre Stevenson Player Prop Bet: Receptions

Receptions Prop Bet Odds:

  • Receptions 2.5 over: -120
  • Receptions 2.5 under: -108

Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet

A throwing game script is suggested by the Patriots being a -6.5-point underdog this week.

The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 6th-most passes in football (37.8 per game) this year.

The model projects Rhamondre Stevenson to accrue 3.4 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 85th percentile among RBs.

This year, the shaky Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has allowed a staggering 89.7% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing RBs: the 8th-largest rate in the league.

When it comes to safeties in defending receivers, Jacksonville's safety corps has been awful this year, ranking as the worst in the NFL.

Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the New England Patriots to pass on 51.1% of their plays: the 3rd-lowest frequency among all teams this week.

The leading projections forecast the Patriots to be the 10th-most sluggish paced defense in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, leading opposing offenses to average 28.79 seconds per play.

The Patriots offensive line ranks as the 4th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.

Projection For Rhamondre Stevenson Receptions Prop Bet

Rhamondre Stevenson is projected to have 2.5 Receptions in this weeks game.


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Player Props

  • Longest Rush
  • To Score a Touchdown
  • Total Receptions
  • Total Rushing & Receiving Yards
  • Total Receiving Yards
  • Total Rushing Attempts
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • Longest Reception
  • Total Rushing Yards
  • Longest Rush
  • To Score a Touchdown
  • Total Receptions
  • Total Rushing & Receiving Yards
  • Total Receiving Yards
  • Total Rushing Attempts
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • Longest Reception
  • Total Rushing Yards
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
14
15
15
14
14
15
15
14
Consensus
-125
-110
-118
-105
-125
-105
-120
-105
-120
-110
-120
-110
-120
-110
-120
-110
-
-105
-115
-
-
-105
-115
-
-125
-110
-125
-105
-130
-110
-130
-105
Open
Current
Book
No
Yes
No
Yes
Consensus
-
+550
-
+600
Consensus
-
+850
-
+750
Consensus
-
+350
-
+400
Consensus
-
+750
-
+800
Consensus
-
+550
-
+600
Consensus
-192
+147
-202
+144
Consensus
-
+350
-
+320
-
+550
-
+550
-
+900
-
+750
-
+400
-
+390
-
+800
-
+800
-
+500
-
+550
-
+160
-
+170
-
+380
-
+340
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
3
3
3
3
Consensus
-121
-108
-119
-109
-123
-111
-123
-111
-115
-110
-120
-110
-125
-110
-125
-110
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
75
76
74
73
77
75
76
73
74
77
75
76
74
73
77
75
76
73
74
77
Consensus
-116
-116
-
-
-
-117
-116
-
-
-
-114
-116
-
-
-
-116
-116
-
-
-
-117
-117
-
-
-
-117
-117
-
-
-
-117
-117
-
-
-
-117
-117
-
-
-
-114
-114
-114
-114
-
-113
-114
-115
-114
-
-115
-113
-114
-114
-
-115
-115
-114
-115
-
-115
-115
-120
-
-110
-115
-120
-
-110
-120
-115
-120
-120
-
-110
-115
-115
-
-110
-120
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
16
17
15
16
15
17
16
17
15
16
15
17
Consensus
-115
-
-
-113
-
-
-118
-
-
-114
-
-
-109
-
-
-125
-
-
-119
-
-
-115
-
-
-110
-105
-
-120
-
-125
-110
-105
-
-120
-
-125
-
-
-113
-
-110
-
-
-
-110
-
-113
-
-115
-110
-
-110
-
-120
-120
-110
-
-110
-
-120
-110
-
-
-120
-
-
-115
-
-
-115
-
-
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
15
15
15
15
Consensus
-120
-107
-119
-107
-125
+100
-120
-110
-122
-106
-114
-114
-130
-105
-120
+100
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+3433
+4766
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+910
+775
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
10
11
11
10
10
11
11
10
Consensus
-127
-101
-131
-106
-123
-104
-125
-107
-127
-106
-125
-113
-129
-106
-129
-108
-120
-105
-125
-105
-125
-105
-130
-105
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
56
54
55
53
57
51
13
12
14
56
55
57
54
51
53
12
13
14
56
54
55
53
57
51
13
12
14
56
55
57
54
51
53
12
13
14
Consensus
-115
-115
-116
-114
-112
-
-
-
-
-114
-118
-117
-117
-
-114
-
-
-
-114
-115
-112
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-117
-116
-120
-117
-
-115
-
-
-
Consensus
-
-
-
-
-
-
-105
-122
-105
-
-
-
-
-
-
-106
-114
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-106
-120
-106
-
-
-
-
-
-
-104
-115
-115
-127
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-119
-108
-119
-119
-
-119
-
-
-
-127
-115
-127
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-108
-119
-119
-119
-
-119
-
-
-
-115
-115
-120
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-110
-
-115
-
-115
-
-
-
-120
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-115
-
-115
-
-115
-
-
-
-110
-113
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-110
-
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-110
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-110
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-111
-118
-105
-
-
-
-
-
-
-104
-115
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-122
-106
-
-
-
-
-
-
-108
-115
-115
-115
-110
-110
-115
-110
-
-
-
-
-115
-120
-120
-115
-
-115
-
-
-
-120
-115
-115
-120
-115
-
-
-
-
-115
-115
-120
-115
-
-115
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-125
-
-
-
-120
-
-
-
-105
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-125
-
-
-
-120
-
-
-
-105
-
-
-
-