Pat Freiermuth projections and prop bets for Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers on Nov 17, 2024
Pat Freiermuth Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 2.5 over: -130
- Receptions 2.5 under: 100
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
This week's spread implies a passing game script for the Steelers, who are -3.5-point underdogs.
The predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers offense to be the 10th-fastest paced team in football (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.36 seconds per play.
Opposing QBs have averaged 41.6 pass attempts per game against the Ravens defense this year: most in the NFL.
Pat Freiermuth has run a route on 76.1% of his offense's dropbacks this year, placing him in the 86th percentile when it comes to TEs.
With a fantastic 3.3 adjusted catches per game (78th percentile) this year, Pat Freiermuth places among the leading pass-catching tight ends in the league.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
The model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 3rd-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 51.7% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
As it relates to pass-blocking (and the importance it has on all passing game statistics), the O-line of the Pittsburgh Steelers ranks as the 10th-worst in the league this year.
The Baltimore Ravens safeties grade out as the 3rd-best collection of safeties in football this year in regard to pass rush.
Projection For Pat Freiermuth Receptions Prop Bet
Pat Freiermuth is projected to have 2.9 Receptions in this weeks game.
Pat Freiermuth Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 26.5 over: -110
- Receiving Yards 26.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
This week's spread implies a passing game script for the Steelers, who are -3.5-point underdogs.
The predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers offense to be the 10th-fastest paced team in football (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.36 seconds per play.
Opposing QBs have averaged 41.6 pass attempts per game against the Ravens defense this year: most in the NFL.
Pat Freiermuth has run a route on 76.1% of his offense's dropbacks this year, placing him in the 86th percentile when it comes to TEs.
Pat Freiermuth's ball-catching skills have improved this season, with his Adjusted Catch% increasing from 73.2% to 91.7%.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 3rd-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 51.7% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
After totaling 27.0 air yards per game last year, Pat Freiermuth has seen a big decrease this year, currently boasting 18.0 per game.
As it relates to pass-blocking (and the importance it has on all passing game statistics), the O-line of the Pittsburgh Steelers ranks as the 10th-worst in the league this year.
The Baltimore Ravens pass defense has been quite strong when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, allowing an average of 3.92 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 4th-fewest in the league.
The Baltimore Ravens safeties grade out as the 3rd-best collection of safeties in football this year in regard to pass rush.
Projection For Pat Freiermuth Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Pat Freiermuth is projected to have 33.1 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
