Mike Gesicki MLB projections and prop bets for Cincinnati Bengals at New York Giants on Oct 13, 2024
Mike Gesicki Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 19.5 over: -114
- Receiving Yards 19.5 under: -114
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals as the 2nd-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 63.2% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The projections expect Mike Gesicki to accrue 4.1 targets in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 78th percentile when it comes to tight ends.
After accumulating 23.0 air yards per game last season, Mike Gesicki has been rising this season, now pacing 35.0 per game.
Mike Gesicki has compiled significantly more adjusted receiving yards per game (33.0) this year than he did last year (17.0).
The New York Giants pass defense has been torched for the highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (94%) vs. tight ends this year (94.0%).
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The Bengals are a 4.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a running game script.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is anticipated by our trusted projection set to have only 125.0 offensive plays run: the 2nd-fewest on the slate this week.
The Giants pass defense has performed very well when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, yielding an average of 2.76 yards-after-the-catch this year: the fewest in the league.
As it relates to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, New York's unit has been excellent this year, ranking as the 5th-best in the NFL.
Projection For Mike Gesicki Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Mike Gesicki is projected to have 26.1 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
Mike Gesicki Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 2.5 over: 135
- Receptions 2.5 under: -165
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
The predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals as the 2nd-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 63.2% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The projections expect Mike Gesicki to accrue 4.1 targets in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 78th percentile when it comes to tight ends.
Mike Gesicki's 29.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive volume) has been significantly higher this season than it was last season at 18.9.
Mike Gesicki's pass-catching performance been refined this year, averaging 3.4 adjusted receptions vs a measly 2.0 last year.
The New York Giants pass defense has been torched for the highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (94%) vs. tight ends this year (94.0%).
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
The Bengals are a 4.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a running game script.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is anticipated by our trusted projection set to have only 125.0 offensive plays run: the 2nd-fewest on the slate this week.
As it relates to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, New York's unit has been excellent this year, ranking as the 5th-best in the NFL.
Projection For Mike Gesicki Receptions Prop Bet
Mike Gesicki is projected to have 2.7 Receptions in this weeks game.
