Kyren Williams projections and prop bets for Los Angeles Rams at New England Patriots on Nov 17, 2024
Kyren Williams Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 85.5 over: -110
- Rushing Yards 85.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
This game's line suggests a running game script for the Rams, who are favored by 4.5 points.
At just 28.08 seconds per play, the Los Angeles Rams offense checks in as the 9th-quickest paced in the league (in a neutral context) this year.
This week, Kyren Williams is predicted by the model to secure a spot in the 96th percentile among running backs with 18.7 carries.
When it comes to the safeties' role in stopping the run, New England's unit has been awful this year, profiling as the 5th-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
At the present time, the 6th-least run-oriented team in football (37.4% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Los Angeles Rams.
The leading projections forecast Kyren Williams to be much less involved in his team's running game this week (72.1% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (83.2% in games he has played).
Kyren Williams's 79.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year conveys a noteworthy regression in his rushing skills over last year's 99.0 figure.
Kyren Williams's running efficiency has worsened this season, averaging just 4.02 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a 5.20 mark last season.
Kyren Williams profiles as one of the bottom running backs in the league at generating extra ground yardage, averaging a mere 2.49 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 11th percentile.
Projection For Kyren Williams Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Kyren Williams is projected to have 75.7 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
Kyren Williams Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 14.5 over: -110
- Receiving Yards 14.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
At the moment, the 6th-most pass-centric team in football (62.6% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Los Angeles Rams.
At just 28.08 seconds per play, the Los Angeles Rams offense checks in as the 9th-quickest paced in the league (in a neutral context) this year.
Kyren Williams's 79.1% Route Participation% this season illustrates a noteable improvement in his air attack utilization over last season's 67.6% rate.
The predictive model expects Kyren Williams to accrue 3.0 targets in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 77th percentile when it comes to RBs.
Kyren Williams's 83.6% Adjusted Catch% this year marks a material boost in his receiving skills over last year's 68.1% rate.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
This game's line suggests a running game script for the Rams, who are favored by 4.5 points.
As it relates to air yards, Kyren Williams ranks in the paltry 10th percentile among running backs this year, with just -4.0 per game.
When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the effect it has on all passing offense statistics), the offensive line of the Rams profiles as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year.
Kyren Williams has accrued quite a few less adjusted receiving yards per game (14.0) this year than he did last year (19.0).
This year, the stout New England Patriots defense has given up a paltry 26.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing running backs: the 5th-best in the league.
Projection For Kyren Williams Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Kyren Williams is projected to have 14.7 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
Kyren Williams Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 2.5 over: -110
- Receptions 2.5 under: -120
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
At the moment, the 6th-most pass-centric team in football (62.6% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Los Angeles Rams.
At just 28.08 seconds per play, the Los Angeles Rams offense checks in as the 9th-quickest paced in the league (in a neutral context) this year.
Kyren Williams's 79.1% Route Participation% this season illustrates a noteable improvement in his air attack utilization over last season's 67.6% rate.
The predictive model expects Kyren Williams to accrue 3.0 targets in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 77th percentile when it comes to RBs.
Kyren Williams's 83.6% Adjusted Catch% this year marks a material boost in his receiving skills over last year's 68.1% rate.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
This game's line suggests a running game script for the Rams, who are favored by 4.5 points.
When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the effect it has on all passing offense statistics), the offensive line of the Rams profiles as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year.
Projection For Kyren Williams Receptions Prop Bet
Kyren Williams is projected to have 2.2 Receptions in this weeks game.
