Kyle Pitts projections and prop bets for Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Oct 27, 2024
Kyle Pitts Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 3.5 over: -140
- Receptions 3.5 under: 110
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is forecasted by our trusted projection set to see 132.5 total plays run: the most among all games this week.
Opposing teams have averaged 39.9 pass attempts per game against the Buccaneers defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.
The predictive model expects Kyle Pitts to notch 5.6 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 89th percentile among tight ends.
With an outstanding 3.3 adjusted catches per game (76th percentile) this year, Kyle Pitts has been among the leading TE receiving threats in the NFL.
Kyle Pitts's 64.5% Adjusted Catch Rate this season marks a significant boost in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 60.1% rate.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
Kyle Pitts's 36.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially lower this year than it was last year at 44.8.
In regards to pass-blocking (and the influence it has on all passing attack metrics), the O-line of the Falcons grades out as the 9th-worst in football this year.
Projection For Kyle Pitts Receptions Prop Bet
Kyle Pitts is projected to have 3.5 Receptions in this weeks game.
Kyle Pitts Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 41.5 over: -110
- Receiving Yards 41.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is forecasted by our trusted projection set to see 132.5 total plays run: the most among all games this week.
Opposing teams have averaged 39.9 pass attempts per game against the Buccaneers defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.
The predictive model expects Kyle Pitts to notch 5.6 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 89th percentile among tight ends.
With a stellar 38.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (81st percentile) this year, Kyle Pitts rates as one of the top TEs in the pass game in the NFL.
Kyle Pitts's 64.5% Adjusted Catch Rate this season marks a significant boost in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 60.1% rate.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
After averaging 62.0 air yards per game last year, Kyle Pitts has produced significantly fewer this year, now pacing 45.0 per game.
Kyle Pitts's 36.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially lower this year than it was last year at 44.8.
In regards to pass-blocking (and the influence it has on all passing attack metrics), the O-line of the Falcons grades out as the 9th-worst in football this year.
Projection For Kyle Pitts Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Kyle Pitts is projected to have 40.1 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
