Kyle Pitts projections and prop bets for Seattle Seahawks at Atlanta Falcons on Oct 20, 2024
Kyle Pitts Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 41.5 over: -110
- Receiving Yards 41.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Falcons to pass on 60.9% of their opportunities: the 7th-greatest clip on the slate this week.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is forecasted by the projections to have 135.1 total plays called: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.
The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop.
Kyle Pitts grades out as one of the top pass-catching TEs this year, averaging an exceptional 35.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 86th percentile.
This year, the porous Seahawks defense has conceded a monstrous 61.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing tight ends: the 2nd-worst in the league.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The Falcons are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a running game script.
Kyle Pitts has notched quite a few less air yards this season (41.0 per game) than he did last season (62.0 per game).
Kyle Pitts's 32.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive volume) has been notably worse this year than it was last year at 44.8.
The Atlanta Falcons O-line ranks as the 7th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful influence on all pass attack metrics across the board.
Kyle Pitts profiles as one of the most unreliable receivers in the NFL among TEs, hauling in just 62.6% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 13th percentile.
Projection For Kyle Pitts Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Kyle Pitts is projected to have 41.5 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
Kyle Pitts Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 3.5 over: -114
- Receptions 3.5 under: -114
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Falcons to pass on 60.9% of their opportunities: the 7th-greatest clip on the slate this week.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is forecasted by the projections to have 135.1 total plays called: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.
The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop.
The leading projections forecast Kyle Pitts to garner 5.5 targets in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 89th percentile among tight ends.
The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has yielded the 5th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (84.7%) to TEs this year (84.7%).
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
The Falcons are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a running game script.
Kyle Pitts's 32.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive volume) has been notably worse this year than it was last year at 44.8.
The Atlanta Falcons O-line ranks as the 7th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful influence on all pass attack metrics across the board.
Kyle Pitts profiles as one of the most unreliable receivers in the NFL among TEs, hauling in just 62.6% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 13th percentile.
The Seattle Seahawks safeties profile as the 8th-best safety corps in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.
Projection For Kyle Pitts Receptions Prop Bet
Kyle Pitts is projected to have 3.7 Receptions in this weeks game.
