Kareem Hunt projections and prop bets for Kansas City Chiefs at Las Vegas Raiders on Oct 27, 2024
Kareem Hunt Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 67.5 over: -120
- Rushing Yards 67.5 under: 100
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
With a 10-point advantage, the Chiefs are a massive favorite in this week's contest, indicating much more of an emphasis on running than their usual game plan.
In this week's contest, Kareem Hunt is forecasted by the model to rank in the 81st percentile when it comes to running backs with 14.8 carries.
After comprising 33.2% of his team's run game usage last year, Kareem Hunt has been more involved in the ground game this year, currently making up 66.3%.
This year, the fierce Las Vegas Raiders run defense has surrendered a meager 5.17 adjusted yards-per-carry to opposing squads: the 27th-best rate in football.
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Chiefs to run on 40.3% of their downs: the 11th-lowest clip among all teams this week.
Based on the game dynamics and tendencies of each team, the leading projections forecast this game (with an average of 26.71 seconds per play) will chug along at the 11th-slowest tempo among all games this week.
The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.
With a terrible record of 2.56 yards after contact (19th percentile) this year, Kareem Hunt places among the least efficient running backs in the NFL.
As it relates to the defensive ends' role in defending against the run, Las Vegas's collection of DEs has been tremendous this year, ranking as the best in football.
Projection For Kareem Hunt Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Kareem Hunt is projected to have 56.3 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
Kareem Hunt Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 11.5 over: 105
- Receiving Yards 11.5 under: -135
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 2nd-most pass-focused offense in football (context-neutralized) right now with a 66.6% pass rate.
The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.
The Kansas City O-line grades out as the 5th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.
Kareem Hunt's sure-handedness have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Catch% jumping from 70.9% to 100.0%.
Kareem Hunt's 9.2 adjusted yards per target this year marks a meaningful growth in his pass-catching talent over last year's 4.0 mark.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
With a 10-point advantage, the Chiefs are a massive favorite in this week's contest, indicating much more of an emphasis on running than their usual game plan.
Based on the game dynamics and tendencies of each team, the leading projections forecast this game (with an average of 26.71 seconds per play) will chug along at the 11th-slowest tempo among all games this week.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.0 pass attempts per game versus the Raiders defense this year: 2nd-fewest in football.
Kareem Hunt has been a more integral piece of his team's offense this year, playing on 58.1% of snaps compared to just 32.8% last year.
Kareem Hunt has accrued a meager -2.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: just 13th percentile when it comes to RBs.
Projection For Kareem Hunt Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Kareem Hunt is projected to have 15.6 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
