Josh Jacobs projections and prop bets for Green Bay Packers at Chicago Bears on Nov 17, 2024
Josh Jacobs Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 68.5 over: -110
- Rushing Yards 68.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
With a 6.5-point advantage, the Packers are favored this week, suggesting more of a reliance on rushing than their typical approach.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projection model to have 132.9 total plays run: the 4th-most on the slate this week.
The predictive model expects Josh Jacobs to earn 18.0 rush attempts this week, on balance, putting him in the 95th percentile among running backs.
Josh Jacobs's 83.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season marks a noteworthy boost in his rushing skills over last season's 63.0 rate.
The Bears defense has produced the 6th-worst efficiency against opposing run games this year, allowing 5.00 adjusted yards-per-carry.
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
The projections expect the Packers to be the 10th-least run-heavy offense in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 38.2% run rate.
After comprising 81.5% of his team's rushing play calls last year, Josh Jacobs has been less involved in the rushing attack this year, currently accounting for only 60.9%.
The Chicago Bears safeties rank as the 4th-best safety corps in the NFL this year when it comes to run defense.
Projection For Josh Jacobs Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Josh Jacobs is projected to have 72.6 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
