Josh Downs Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Josh Downs projections and prop bets for Buffalo Bills at Indianapolis Colts on Nov 10, 2024

Josh Downs Player Prop Bet: Receptions

Receptions Prop Bet Odds:

• Receptions 5.5 over: -155
• Receptions 5.5 under: 125

Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet

The Colts are a 4-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Opposing teams have averaged 35.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Buffalo Bills defense this year: 8th-most in the league.

In this week's contest, Josh Downs is predicted by the predictive model to rank in the 93rd percentile among WRs with 8.7 targets.

Josh Downs's 5.5 adjusted receptions per game this season marks a noteworthy improvement in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 4.0 mark.

Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet

At the moment, the 2nd-least pass-centric offense in football (55.3% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Colts.

The predictive model expects the Colts to call the 4th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.2 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The 5th-fewest plays in the league have been called by the Colts this year (a lowly 53.2 per game on average).

Projection For Josh Downs Receptions Prop Bet

Josh Downs is projected to have 6 Receptions in this weeks game.

Josh Downs Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards

Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:

• Receiving Yards 59.5 over: -135
• Receiving Yards 59.5 under: 105

Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet

The Colts are a 4-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Opposing teams have averaged 35.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Buffalo Bills defense this year: 8th-most in the league.

In this week's contest, Josh Downs is predicted by the predictive model to rank in the 93rd percentile among WRs with 8.7 targets.

Josh Downs's 56.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year marks a meaningful growth in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 43.0 mark.

Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet

At the moment, the 2nd-least pass-centric offense in football (55.3% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Colts.

The predictive model expects the Colts to call the 4th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.2 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The 5th-fewest plays in the league have been called by the Colts this year (a lowly 53.2 per game on average).

The Bills defense has yielded the 8th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (just 136.0) vs. wideouts this year.

Projection For Josh Downs Receiving Yards Prop Bet

Josh Downs is projected to have 65 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.