Josh Allen projections and prop bets for Tennessee Titans at Buffalo Bills on Oct 20, 2024
Josh Allen Player Prop Bet: Passing Yards
Passing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Passing Yards 205.5 over: -150
- Passing Yards 205.5 under: 115
Trends Favoring The Over Passing Yards Prop Bet
Josh Allen is positioned as one of the most effective QBs in the NFL this year, averaging an outstanding 7.72 adjusted yards-per-target while grading out in the 77th percentile.
The Titans cornerbacks grade out as the 7th-worst group of CBs in football this year in defending pass-catchers.
Trends Favoring The Under Passing Yards Prop Bet
This week's spread indicates an extreme running game script for the Bills, who are a huge favorite by 9.5 points.
Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Buffalo Bills to pass on 50.6% of their chances: the lowest clip on the slate this week.
The model projects this game to see the smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 121.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Buffalo Bills have called the fewest plays in football this year, totaling just 51.7 plays per game.
Opposing teams teams have been reluctant to rely on the passing game too much against the Tennessee Titans, averaging the 2nd-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 28.2 per game) this year.
Projection For Josh Allen Passing Yards Prop Bet
Josh Allen is projected to have 196.8 Passing Yards in this weeks game.
Josh Allen Player Prop Bet: Completions
Completions Prop Bet Odds:
- Completions 18.5 over: -130
- Completions 18.5 under: 100
Trends Favoring The Over Completions Prop Bet
The Titans cornerbacks grade out as the 7th-worst group of CBs in football this year in defending pass-catchers.
Trends Favoring The Under Completions Prop Bet
This week's spread indicates an extreme running game script for the Bills, who are a huge favorite by 9.5 points.
Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Buffalo Bills to pass on 50.6% of their chances: the lowest clip on the slate this week.
The model projects this game to see the smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 121.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Buffalo Bills have called the fewest plays in football this year, totaling just 51.7 plays per game.
Opposing teams teams have been reluctant to rely on the passing game too much against the Tennessee Titans, averaging the 2nd-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 28.2 per game) this year.
Projection For Josh Allen Completions Prop Bet
Josh Allen is projected to have 17.9 Completions in this weeks game.
Josh Allen Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 29.5 over: 105
- Rushing Yards 29.5 under: -135
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
This week's spread indicates an extreme running game script for the Bills, who are a huge favorite by 9.5 points.
Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Bills to run on 49.4% of their plays: the greatest frequency on the slate this week.
The weatherman calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
The leading projections forecast Josh Allen to notch 7.4 rush attempts in this week's contest, on balance: the 4th-most out of all quarterbacks.
With a stellar total of 30.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (78th percentile), Josh Allen ranks among the leading running QBs in the league this year.
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
The model projects this game to see the smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 121.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Buffalo Bills have called the fewest plays in football this year, totaling just 51.7 plays per game.
This year, the feeble Titans run defense has conceded a massive 3.97 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to opposing offenses: the 28th-largest rate in the league.
As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, Tennessee's collection of DTs has been fantastic this year, ranking as the 4th-best in the NFL.
Projection For Josh Allen Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Josh Allen is projected to have 37.4 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
Josh Allen Player Prop Bet: Pass Attempts
Pass Attempts Prop Bet Odds:
- Pass Attempts 29.5 over: -109
- Pass Attempts 29.5 under: -120
Trends Favoring The Over Pass Attempts Prop Bet
Trends Favoring The Under Pass Attempts Prop Bet
This week's spread indicates an extreme running game script for the Bills, who are a huge favorite by 9.5 points.
Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Buffalo Bills to pass on 50.6% of their chances: the lowest clip on the slate this week.
The model projects this game to see the smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 121.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Buffalo Bills have called the fewest plays in football this year, totaling just 51.7 plays per game.
Opposing teams teams have been reluctant to rely on the passing game too much against the Tennessee Titans, averaging the 2nd-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 28.2 per game) this year.
Projection For Josh Allen Pass Attempts Prop Bet
Josh Allen is projected to have 27.8 Pass Attempts in this weeks game.
Josh Allen Player Prop Bet: Carries
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
- Carries 6.5 over: 108
- Carries 6.5 under: -140
Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet
This week's spread indicates an extreme running game script for the Bills, who are a huge favorite by 9.5 points.
Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Bills to run on 49.4% of their plays: the greatest frequency on the slate this week.
The weatherman calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
The leading projections forecast Josh Allen to notch 7.4 rush attempts in this week's contest, on balance: the 4th-most out of all quarterbacks.
Comprising 20.4% of his team's rush attempts this year (83rd percentile when it comes to quarterbacks), Josh Allen's mobility makes him a dangerous weapon as a ball-carrier.
Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet
The model projects this game to see the smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 121.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Buffalo Bills have called the fewest plays in football this year, totaling just 51.7 plays per game.
As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, Tennessee's collection of DTs has been fantastic this year, ranking as the 4th-best in the NFL.
Projection For Josh Allen Carries Prop Bet
Josh Allen is projected to have 7.1 Carries in this weeks game.
Josh Allen Player Prop Bet: Interceptions
Interceptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Interceptions 0.5 over: -102
- Interceptions 0.5 under: -128
Trends Favoring The Over Interceptions Prop Bet
Tennessee's defense profiles as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year when it comes to inducing interceptions, notching a lowly 0.13 per game.
The Titans cornerbacks grade out as the 7th-worst group of CBs in football this year in defending pass-catchers.
Trends Favoring The Under Interceptions Prop Bet
This week's spread indicates an extreme running game script for the Bills, who are a huge favorite by 9.5 points.
Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Buffalo Bills to pass on 50.6% of their chances: the lowest clip on the slate this week.
The model projects this game to see the smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 121.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing teams teams have been reluctant to rely on the passing game too much against the Tennessee Titans, averaging the 2nd-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 28.2 per game) this year.
In logging a measly 0.00 interceptions per game this year, Josh Allen places among the best QBs in football (100th percentile).
Projection For Josh Allen Interceptions Prop Bet
Josh Allen is projected to have 0.4 Interceptions in this weeks game.
Josh Allen Player Prop Bet: Touchdown Passes
Touchdown Passes Prop Bet Odds:
- Touchdown Passes 1.5 over: -120
- Touchdown Passes 1.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
With an excellent ratio of 1.67 per game (87th percentile), Josh Allen places as one of the top touchdown passers in the league this year.
The Titans cornerbacks grade out as the 7th-worst group of CBs in football this year in defending pass-catchers.
Trends Favoring The Under Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
This week's spread indicates an extreme running game script for the Bills, who are a huge favorite by 9.5 points.
Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Buffalo Bills to pass on 50.6% of their chances: the lowest clip on the slate this week.
The Bills have been the 5th-least pass-focused offense in the NFL near the end zone (adjusted for context) this year with a 47.8% red zone pass rate.
The model projects this game to see the smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 121.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing teams teams have been reluctant to rely on the passing game too much against the Tennessee Titans, averaging the 2nd-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 28.2 per game) this year.
Projection For Josh Allen Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
Josh Allen is projected to have 1.4 Touchdown Passes in this weeks game.