Joe Mixon projections and prop bets for Detroit Lions at Houston Texans on Nov 10, 2024
Joe Mixon Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 80.5 over: -114
- Rushing Yards 80.5 under: -114
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is anticipated by the projections to have 128.9 total plays run: the 5th-most on the slate this week.
The largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Texans this year (a colossal 62.6 per game on average).
The predictive model expects Joe Mixon to accumulate 18.9 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 95th percentile among running backs.
Joe Mixon has received 70.0% of his team's rush attempts this year, putting him in the 98th percentile among RBs.
Joe Mixon's 103.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season reflects a material gain in his rushing skills over last season's 61.0 mark.
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Texans are underdogs in this week's contest, indicating more of an emphasis on throwing than their standard game plan.
Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Texans to run on 39.0% of their opportunities: the 5th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop-off.
Opposing teams have run for the 5th-fewest adjusted yards in the NFL (just 100.0 per game) against the Lions defense this year.
The Lions defensive tackles rank as the 10th-best group of DTs in football this year in regard to defending the run.
Projection For Joe Mixon Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Joe Mixon is projected to have 73.6 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
Joe Mixon Player Prop Bet: Carries
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
- Carries 18.5 over: -115
- Carries 18.5 under: -113
Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is anticipated by the projections to have 128.9 total plays run: the 5th-most on the slate this week.
The largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Texans this year (a colossal 62.6 per game on average).
The predictive model expects Joe Mixon to accumulate 18.9 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 95th percentile among running backs.
Joe Mixon has received 70.0% of his team's rush attempts this year, putting him in the 98th percentile among RBs.
Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet
At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Texans are underdogs in this week's contest, indicating more of an emphasis on throwing than their standard game plan.
Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Texans to run on 39.0% of their opportunities: the 5th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop-off.
The Lions defensive tackles rank as the 10th-best group of DTs in football this year in regard to defending the run.
Projection For Joe Mixon Carries Prop Bet
Joe Mixon is projected to have 17.1 Carries in this weeks game.
